Giuseppe Carteny

Drugs policy approach needs to change, Zack Polanski says The Green Party leader of England and Wales says there needs to be a

Drug laws have never stopped people from using drugs.

They've stopped people from using drugs safely.

It's time to legalise *and* regulate.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Coming out in June.

(when @casmudde.bsky.social & I will be presenting it at the @ces-europe.bsky.social conference in Dublin)

Life is stranger than fiction

Convergence, radicalisation, or ideological sorting? Exploring alignment patterns between radical and centre-right voters in Italy Alliances between centre-right and radical right parties in Western Europe have elicited varied responses and strategic adaptations depending on the national context. In this respect, Italy present...

And since it’s Christmas… 🎄✨
Grab your free copy here! 📄👇
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/KIZ5C...

Nonetheless, our study offers a complete account of how the relative weight of ideological and immigration attitudes reshaped voting probabilities inside Italy’s right-wing coalition — suggesting ideological sorting rather than contagion.

❗Limitations: In this study we rely on cross-sectional data. Panel data for the Italian electorate are limited in scope and depth, meaning we cannot track inter-individual change (i.e., radicalisation) and must rely on aggregate proxies. Moreover, we cannot and don't make any causal claim.

Examining the coalition reveals a mechanism: Anti-immigration voters previously voted for moderate parties, and then moved towards radical ones. This indicates a form of ideological sorting rather than a clear radicalisation of the centre-right electorate as a whole.

The correlation between ideological self-placement and voting choice did not increase linearly over time. For the electorate of the moderate-right-dominated coalition, being on the right has long mattered, and it remains almost equally important under today's radical-led coalition.

Anti-immigration sentiment has gained explanatory power, especially in 2022. These attitudes have become a stronger and more independent from ideological self-placement – this growth wouldn’t appear without controlling for left-right self-placement.

We expected two forces to increasingly shape coalition support over time:
- stronger right-wing ideological identification,
- and growing anti-immigration attitudes.

If both were rising, this would point toward a radicalisation of the coalition’s electorate. But we find a more complex picture.

From left to right: Giorgia Meloni, Matteo Salvini and Silvio Berlusconi.

Italy is a unique case in Europe: since the mid-1990s, radical and centre-right parties have governed together repeatedly, and since 2018 the balance of power has flipped — the radical right now dominates the coalition.

New Publication out! 🔥 Italy’s right-wing politics has changed dramatically over the past two decades. With @gippone.bsky.social and @leonardo-puleo.bsky.social we started from a basic question: Why has the radical right surged inside Italy’s right coalition? Radicalisation or something different?

Marginalia: A guide to figuring out what the heck marginal effects, marginal slopes, average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and all these other marginal things are | Andrew Heiss Define what marginal effects even are, and then explore the subtle differences between average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and marginal effects at representative values with the ma...

Nice post! About the R situation, I would take a look at this other one - www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2022/05...

Sanseito moves to forge relations with right-wing forces overseas | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis Sanseito, which advocates a “Japanese First” policy, continues to look beyond the nation’s borders to expand its influence and ride the wave of “anti-globalism” sentiment with other right-wing forces.

If only there was a catchy name for an international coalition of #farright actors 👇

Brahmani is presenting "Is there anything Left?: A Global Analysis on Changes in Engagement with Political Content on Twitter in the Musk Era" (journalqd.org/article/view...).
Joint work with @rosanavarrete.bsky.social and @giucarny.bsky.social

Last day at @ic2s2.bsky.social #IC2S2 and time for an @i2sc.net group photo with @brahmaninutakki.bsky.social, @ethel-mensah.bsky.social and @jianlongzhu.bsky.social.

Find Brahmani and Ethel at posters #21 and #93 today. Jianlong presented yesterday.

Thank you for everything, Ozzy. 🖤

Realignment within the right field: competition between the mainstream right and the far right Advanced democracies have seen the emergence of a new cleavage between universalism and particularism. While alignments to the new left and the far right – at the extremes of the cleavage – are hig...

Right-wing electorates across Europe are becoming more... Italian?

doi.org/10.1080/0140...

“The middle”

Attitudes toward Political Authoritarianism in Economically Advanced Democracies Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Attitudes toward Political Authoritarianism in Economically Advanced Democracies

Our Element is out! 🎉

Why do authoritarian-leaning leaders target women’s and LGBTQ+ rights? Is there a systematic pattern that reaches beyond individual country cases, and how is this reflected in people’s attitudes and societal norms?

www.cambridge.org/core/element...

A three-panel comic from Poorly Drawn Lines. The comic features cartoon birds, two with detailed faces and one represented as a grey, featureless shape with a tie. Panel 1: Two birds are talking. One says, “Welcome to work. You’ll spend your time here in two ways: overwhelmed and underwhelmed.” The other asks, “Is there a third option?” Panel 2: The grey bird responds, "Well, there's 'whelmed,' but I'm not sure if that's a word." Panel 3: The grey bird looks thoughtful and then simply says, "So no." The comic’s website, "poorlydrawnlines.com," is visible in the bottom right corner.

Induction for the new postdoc #AcademicChatter #PoorlyDrawnLines

Abstract of the article "The role of key European issues in the 2024 election campaign" by Alex Hartland, Daniela Braun, Giuseppe Carteny, Rosa M. Navarrete and Ann-Kathrin Reinl. Published online first in West European Politics.

Figure 3, displaying the effects of EU polity (left panel), environment (middle panel), and migration (right panel).

Figure 4, displaying the PTVs by most important issue, manifesto salience and individual variables for nine countries.

Figure 5, displaying pooled model interactions. Salience EU policy (left panel), Salience Environment (middle panel), and Salience migration (right panel).

@alexhartland.bsky.social Daniela Braun @giucarny.bsky.social @rosanavarrete.bsky.social & @annreinl.bsky.social observe a gap between the concerns of citizens & the issues political parties emphasise.

doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Part of the Symposium "European Parliament Elections 2024"

🚨⬇️Publication alert ⬇️🚨

How did public and party priorities interact during the 2024 European Parliament elections? Take a look at @alexhartland.bsky.social 's summary on how our work contributes to a better understanding of issue voting.

Ah, it's also #openaccess :)

People are correctly comparing the Trump attack on Harvard to Orban’s aggression against CEU, but I recall colleagues/students having (not much, but some) time to see options and consider relocation. The US admin is much faster, more irrational. Truly on steroids.

Romania presidential elections map. Antonescu got the Hungarian vote, steered by UDMR, and some Wallachian, PSD-heartland villages. Dan came out on top in Bucharest and surroundings and a string of other significant cities (Cluj, Iasi, Timisoara, Brasov, etc). Simion pretty much everywhere else.

Some statements from the last two days of
#COMPTEXT2025 worth discussing…🧐

🤓 come to the TOP cinema bar tonight to keep the conversation going and to
🥳 party with us after an inspiring conference!

🥂After Drinks & After Thoughts starting at 7pm🥂

@compcommlab.bsky.social
@comptext.bsky.social

After 3 packed days of research, workshops, and networking, #COMPTEXT2025 has officially wrapped up! In 48+ panels, 220+ presentations, and a full day of tutorials we received a great review of the state-of-the-art in our field. Thanks everyone and see you next year!

Alex Hartland presenting work on sentiment and stance detection in political text

Matilde Ceron presenting work on the relationship between gender and polarisation in political texts

Giuseppe Carteny presenting work on automated classification of gender topics in political manifestos

Another fascinating morning at #comptext25

I was happy to join a panel on data and themes from the Horizon project #ActEU with @matildecer.bsky.social on gender and polarisation, @giucarny.bsky.social on gender and climate change.

Looking forward to more from ActEU and more panels this afternoon!

I would be happy to see many from #COMPTEXT at our workshop VaLiSTAD in Copenhagen @ ICWSM in June to discuss the validation of social science TADA/ML methods (🔜 abstract deadline May 5). Please feel free to say hi and ask me or @indiiigo.bsky.social about this new workshop format ⬇️

Schrodinger’s phone call