TheLastGonzo

If my caucus was any sort of indication, national Dems really need to wake the fuck up about what voters want them to do about ICE.

I could watch this a million times

The US immigrant population generated more in taxes than they received in benefits from all levels of government every year from 1994 to 2023.

The Cato study provides the first-ever 30-year analysis of the fiscal effects of immigration on government budgets.

https://ow.ly/jy8a50Y8kM3

Welche Europäer Kontakt zum Sexualstraftäter Epstein pflegten Die Veröffentlichung der Akten zum Sexualstraftäter Jeffrey Epstein führt auch in Europa zu Konsequenzen. In Norwegen, Großbritannien und der Slowakei kam es zu Suspendierungen und Rücktritten.

In Norway, UK and Slovakia, revelations in the Epstein files have forced resignations. The disclosure concerning these figures were trivial compared with what was learned about Trump cabinet secretaries and other figures in the Trump inner circle, but there have been no resignations in the US.

SHOCKING FEDERAL COURT MOMENT: DOJ attorney Julie Le, "The system sucks, this job sucks" to Judge Jerry Blackwell who pressed her on why so many court orders are being ignored by ICE/Trump admin. She asked to be held in contempt just so she could get 24 hours of sleep. @FOX9

This is unreal. An AUSA talking like that in open court is about as close as you can come to a total breakdown. Never heard of anything like it.

Three Dog Night is one of those bands you never really think about but they had an astounding number of great songs

Matthew Yglesias & @mattyglesias X.com 1-2 percentage points is a small number but it's a very big deal. bostonreview.net/forum/how-not-... Adam Bonica and Jake Grumbach claim to find only "small" electoral benefits of moderation, on the order of one to two percentage points. Their subtext is, who could possibly care about an effect of this size? In fact, campaign professionals emphasize to me that this is an enormous effect compared to what you get from spending on campaign ads or mounting field programs to mobilize and turn out voters. A swing of one to two percentage points would have been enough for Hillary Clinton to win in 2016 or for Kamala Harris to win in 2024. Two is a small number, but I don't think that's small change for the world. It's a little bit hard for me to understand what this debate is even supposed to be about given that the skeptics of moderation are willing to concede that both of Trump's election wins were within the bounds of what they say can be plausibly achieved by moderating. To underscore the point: since 2012 there have been seventeen Senate races decided by less than the Bonica-Grumbach margin of moderation. 7:29 AM • 2/3/26 • 14K Views

To begin with, Yglesias is way off in claiming that moderation increases a candidate's vote share by "one to two percentage points.' We don't know where he got these numbers, but they aren't in our essay; as our cited graphic shows, the best estimate is less than half a percentage point. He also need not speculate that moderating would have flipped important congressional races — we ran the numbers ourselves and found that moderation would have flipped none of the close House races in 2024. But we're used to seeing incorrect numbers on this subject. In any case, Yglesias's incorrect numbers are not as important as missing the central failures of popularism in recent years. Consider how it has hindered Democrats' leadership on public opinion. G. Elliott Morris is exactly right that trajectories are far more important than what polls say at any given moment. Throughout 2025, as Yglesias was arguing that Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration, the public turned dramatically against Trump on the issue in part due to the leadership of some Democratic leaders like Senator Chris Van Hollen. Now even Trump himself is reportedly "looking to change the subject to his economic agenda as his administration faces growing backlash over his

We have no idea where Yglesias got his numbers but they’re wrong. This debate has for so long been plagued by numbers basically pulled out of thin air

Right pic is from my and @adambonica.bsky.social’s response essay: www.bostonreview.net/forum/how-no...

😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂

Johnson is either lying or too stupid to be in government.

This is entirely untrue. Administrative warrants are not presented to a judge - they are filled out by ICE /CBP agents with no judicial oversight.

Johnson had a duty to Americans to know what is happening on his watch.

The evolution of immigration politics over the past year illustrates the Strategist's Fallacy with particular clarity. Early last year, Matthew Yglesias and others counseled Democrats to avoid talking about immigration. Their reasoning was straightforward: immigration represented Trump's strongest issue, and Democratic activists drawing attention to cases like Kilmar Abrego Garcia's -a Maryland father unlawfully deported to El Salvador —were increasing the "salience" of a topic that allegedly damaged the party's electoral position. Democrats should redirect attention elsewhere, they said. This strategic advice assumed voters' preferences on immigration were so rigid that Democratic messaging could not influence them. It treated public opinion as a fixed fact of political reality, not an object that was going to move in the short term or that could be moved. And it ascribed too much influence over voting decisions to issue attitudes.

@gelliottmorris.com continues to have been right about immigration as an electoral issue

www.bostonreview.net/forum/how-no...

I’ll take my Minnesotans every damn day against a “triple encirclement” of Stephen Miller, Tom Holman & Scott Bessent.

They don’t know shit.

They can’t do shit.

They don’t believe in shit.

UK privacy watchdog opens inquiry into X over Grok AI sexual deepfakes Information Commissioner’s Office to investigate whether Elon Musk’s companies have complied with data protection law The Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO) has opened formal investigations into X and xAI over whether Elon Musk’s companies have complied with data protection law after the chatbot Grok was used to generate sexual deepfake images without consent. More details soon … Continue reading...

UK privacy watchdog opens inquiry into X over Grok AI sexual deepfakes

Paris prosecutor's cybercrime unit raids X’s French office The cybercrime unit of the Paris prosecutor's office on Tuesday launched a search of the French offices of social media platform X. The raid was connected to an ongoing investigation launched in January…

Paris prosecutors raid the French offices of Elon Musk's X as part of an ongoing investigation of algorithm manipulation and illicit data extraction that has expanded into alleged complicity in spreading child sex abuse materials and sexualizing deepfakes. www.france24.com/en/france/20...

What happened to KOC?

It makes me sad that I agree with this.

I had to provide 7 days' notice in order to conduct oversight of the Whipple detention facility in Minneapolis this past weekend.

Interestingly, what is typically the most “safe” mutual aid work—like delivering food to people in need—is now the most necessarily secretive, while that which is typically “risky”—directly confronting armed agents of the state—is unavoidably public and open.

Poll Shows Massive Participation in Minnesota Shutdown Against ICE 1 in four Minnesota voters took part in January 23 day of action, or had a loved one who did.

A new poll finds that 1 in 4 Minnesota voters took part in the Jan 23 shutdown against ICE, or have a loved one who did. Of those, 38% DID NOT WORK, either because they made the choice to stay out, or their workplaces closed. By me, @thomasbirm.bsky.social, @bloomekatz.bsky.social

Trump claims Minnesota lost billions to fraud. The evidence to date isn’t close. The fraud allegations have been used as a justification for federal immigration enforcement against Minnesota’s Somali population.

Healthcare fraud in Minnesota, sensationalized by Trump and Rupert Murdoch, is trivial compared to healthcare fraud in Texas and Florida, which lead the nation in this category. News you'll never see on Rupert Murdoch TV. www.startribune.com/trump-claims...

With the surge of ICE agents here in Minnesota, I want to ensure every Minnesotan knows their rights. My office launched a new webpage with a number of guides to help you know your rights and how to protect yourself.

Visit ag.state.mn.us/Immigration to learn more.

“All over my neighborhood we keep finding empty cars, the glass shattered into diamonds on the snow, the people missing. Tiny private automotive kristallnachts, everywhere and ongoing.”

I was a White House ethics lawyer.

I used to advise people not to even accept a free cup of coffee from someone who had interests before them. And staff followed those rules.

I can’t even find the words to describe the scale of Trump’s corruption here.

A reminder that Bad Bunny performs in front of the biggest audience on earth in seven days

Yesterday, five-year-old Liam and his dad Adrian were released from Dilley detention center. I picked them up last night and escorted them back to Minnesota this morning.

Liam is now home. With his hat and his backpack.

Ellison on Trump: "That sounds like a petty child who will not tolerate any challenge to his massive and highly delicate ego. As he's wearing his fancy tuxedo going to whatever fancy ball he's going to, Minnesotans are standing in the 9 below weather fighting for our very democracy and lives."

#OnThisDay Feb 1, 1942: Vidkun Quisling becomes Minister President of Norway, actively supporting Nazi war efforts and the deportations of his own people to concentration camps. His name becomes a famous eponym for those who collaborate with enemy forces occupying their own country.

DEARLY BELOVED. WE ARE GATHERED HERE TODAY TO DISMANTLE THIS THING CALLED ICE. Prince artwork with a post that says the above with the caption "Minneapolis for the win"

DEARLY BELOVED.
WE ARE GATHERED
HERE TODAY TO
DISMANTLE THIS
THING CALLED ICE.

via @feralgemini.bsky.social

Former Texas Lege reporter here. A Dem hasn't held this seat since 1990. Tarrant is the safest of red suburban counties. There is no way the TX and national GOP aren't in panic mode right now.