Thomas J Wood

The rightward shift in young men's partisanship is recent -- since 2024.

data from the @pewresearch.org 's NPORS study.

Even Republicans have not recovered their pre-pandemic levels of economic confidence.

Data from the University of Michigan ISR's (bsky-less?) consumer sentiment survey

Presidential vote has only been correlated with life expectancy since 2008, and even then the effect is strongest among whites.

While liberals have moved almost a full scale point more supportive of free trade since the election (on a 7pt scale) conservatives are unmoved.

A super interesting case for the role of elites in shaping mass attitudes.
Data from the incredible @prl.bsky.social 's 'America's Political Pulse.'

Outside of a tiny number of super polarized issues (in this case, immigration and climate change), the American public basically agrees on the topics deserving of national attention.

Data from AP-NORC.

Gun control attitudes continue to depolarize (on the margins!) in the 2024 General Social Survey.

Data from @norc.org

It's only on questions of race where younger generations are less tolerant -- for the other speakers on the GSS, Gen Z/Millenials basically indistinguishable from other Americans.

National political spending preferences by partisanship, 1972-2024.

Fascinating that numerous policy areas have seen negligble polarization over this period. Data from @norc.org's GSS

Confidence in national institutions, by partisanship, 1974-2024.

The collapse in Democrats' Supreme Court confidence in 2022-2024 is the largest single year change seen in 50 years. Data from the GSS @norc.org

The newly released GSS shows Whites continue to liberalize in their perceived cause of racial economic inequality.

Stark class income * partisan effect also apparent in 119th Congress's congressional districts:

Whoa nice to think of a mere in bsky w/ a lede!

But sure Dems becoming marginally less expansionary in abortion attitudes

Abortion attidudes depolarized (on the margins!) in the newly released 2024 General Social Survey from @norc.org.

Presidential vote among whites shows continued income polarization (data from @electionstudies.bsky.social's 2024 timeseries), with income negatively correlated to GOP presidential vote.

It's not just the coastal universities -- a plurality of conservatives perceive even the flagship public university in their state to be liberal.

Ha fair enough.

I'm always down for new ways to burnish Chicago's credentials!

Is the Catholic Theological Union affiliated with the UofC?

If the Papal pick leaked, no one made it to the bookmakers...

With the release of the 2024 ANES, further evidence that Trump's invovlement in US politics had the effect of *reducing* authoritarianism in the public (in a thermostatic style--of course!--with larger changes among Democratic voters)

Data from @electionstudies.bsky.social CDF and 2024ts

The Australian Federal election swing in historical context (1943-2025).

The shift in two-party preference is more modest than I expected, given the swing in seats. #auspol

In April, Republicans in the UofM Consumer Sentiment adjudged national business conditions the best they'd been since the pandemic.

The 2024 election saw a modest *depolarization* in whites' answers to the racial resentment battery among @electionstudies.bsky.social respondents.

In the newly released 2024 ANES (@electionstudies.bsky.social), racial groups see modest partisan differences in affect.

Other groups (Big Business, Labor Unions, the FBI) less polarized than recent cycles.

Partisanship swamps other factors in determining support for recent policies, even when they seemingly implicate traditional support for free expression.

Data from @thefireorg.bsky.social's April 2025 National Speech Index, part of @prl.bsky.social's fantastic national panel.

Bookies' odds for Papal conclave

Perhaps this was obvious just from reading the coefficients, or perhaps this dosage effect (ie that both partisan groups polarized in the opposite direction, and in a constant magnitude) was better demonstrated with a figure.

🤷‍♂️

Might be taste, but I find it far easier to grasp experimental results in a figure of contrasts rather than a regression table.

Simple setup-4 experimental conditions (control and 3 dosage levels) interacted with pid, 5pt dv (a typical design).

From this table-how does pid interact with dose?

More partisan atttitudinal asymmetries -- since the presidential election, Democrats' national pride/trust in government has collapsed, while Republicans' values have only edged upwards.

Data from @prl.bsky.social

The Politics of Skin Tone A nuanced examination of the salience of skin tone within African American politics. Research shows that skin tone is associated with significant differences in life experiences. On average, African A...

Excited to share that my new book is now available for pre-order! This book has been a labor of love for the past decade & I am grateful to a whole community of people who supported this project.

Get 30% off your purchase using code UCPNEW at UChicago Press! Link: press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Much of the talk about new media (especially podcasts) being a hub for GOP-aligned news misses a broader point: under a Democratic president, Republicans appear to distrust all sources of government information.

Data from @apnorc.bsky.social State of the Facts 2024.