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John Smillie

@johnsmillie42.bsky.social

Husband, father, dog owner, hiker, climate action advocate, amateur energy nerd, heat pump evangelist, audiobook enthusiast.

4,557 Followers  |  891 Following  |  9,775 Posts  |  Joined: 21.08.2023  |  2.6374

Latest posts by johnsmillie42.bsky.social on Bluesky

As an energy nerd (who may or may not run a multivairable regression model on household energy usage) and financial analyst by profession, "My bill was super high!" complaints leave me wanting. Did rates change? Did usage change? Was it really hot or cold? Aberrant bill? Catch up charge?

04.12.2025 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

That would be important to resolve!

04.12.2025 00:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hot tub? Meat freezer? Dialysis? What's going on in there

04.12.2025 00:19 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Does anyone else read these baffled at how much electricity people use? In September?

I have an EV, a home from 1915, and everything electric except when it dips below 20ΒΊF outside, and I don't understand how they spent 3x my bill in September of all months on 10% higher rates.

04.12.2025 00:16 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 1

That's good! But still being at 26 months seems kinda long?

04.12.2025 00:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I knew it would be bad (though it is even worse), so I voted, donated, and even did some phone banking accordingly. I guess do more?

It's hard to know what to takeaway from an election where a garbage man with garbage policies and a garbage campaign won.

03.12.2025 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

ah that explains Toyota over Hyundai

03.12.2025 21:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

95% if you move closer

03.12.2025 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Bragging about record LNG exports as we head into heating season is certainly a choice with affordability being the watch word of the day.

h/t @athada.bsky.social

03.12.2025 19:42 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Mine is quite good even without snow mode on

03.12.2025 19:34 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Pretty effective way to raise costs on the American consumer while also polluting more.

03.12.2025 18:37 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I don't think he heard me...

03.12.2025 17:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Ugh there was a Volts guest that kept framing it like that and I had to keep yelling "Dividends are not the only cost of capital!"

03.12.2025 17:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hmm surprised to see Toyota but not Hyundai.

03.12.2025 16:55 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Snake-inspired tech adds 4K thermal vision to standard cameras A new snake-inspired system lets standard CMOS sensors capture 4K infrared images at room temperature without cooling.

interestingengineering.com/innovation/s...

Could basically turn every smart phone into an IR camera.

A new era for building efficiency obsessives...

03.12.2025 16:15 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

www.geekwire.com/2025/gates-b...

TerraPower passed final review hurdle before NRC decides on construction permit

03.12.2025 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Why Healthcare Costs Are Rising So Much with Jonathan Cohn

Well, they are trying "lift the tariffs and act like we solved a problem"

As for Healthcare, as discussed here, they actively fought any attempt to extend the subsidies for purely ideological reasons. So I don't think they are much interested in looking better.

open.spotify.com/episode/4qvI...

03.12.2025 14:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Climate Change Is Already Costing U.S. Households Up to $900 Per Year A new working paper from a trio of eminent economists tallies the effects of warming β€” particularly extreme weather β€” on Americans’ budgets.

Even with a limited scope and only looking at current state, we are already at $900 per household in the US.

$119B annually in one country.

heatmap.news/economy/clim...

03.12.2025 13:35 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Also, we already have a crap load of electrification to do without data centers. And a lot of it is more flexible (EV charging) and thus more likely to put downward pressure on rates.

03.12.2025 13:31 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Energy Secretary Says Data-Center Boom Will Drive Down Power Costs Chris Wright says growth in electricity production to power AI will make electricity cheaper in the long run.

www.wsj.com/articles/ene...

There are ways in which this could be true (incr. load factor decr. cost of fixed infra. w/o requiring more infra, rate makers set rates that shift more system burden on to DCs, waste heat used for district heating cutting winter peaks)

But I don't see those happening

03.12.2025 13:31 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

At 4/gallon, and 33% efficiency, you are at $318/MWh just on fuel. Definitely more than Vogtle.

03.12.2025 04:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Just $20, but it's my pleasure. Keep up the good work.

03.12.2025 03:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The first 30 years will certainly be a lot more expensive than the second thirty.

03.12.2025 01:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

K, then just the diesel gen sets then

03.12.2025 01:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But here I am counting just "utility cost to procure", which is higher than say total production divided by homeowner capital outlay

03.12.2025 01:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Guess it depends on how many year you lock in with the German feed-in tariff or NEM 2.0 or NJ or MA net metering then. Even locking in 10 years at German retail rates and then like 4 cents for the remaining 10 years would put you over Vogtle.

03.12.2025 01:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There are also net metered rooftop solar installations in Germany and a few US states that are more expensive than Vogtle, though that's a bit of a policy choice.

03.12.2025 01:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Diesel gen sets on remote islands

03.12.2025 01:09 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

I gave in honor of the vegan mcrib

03.12.2025 01:05 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The temperature for superciritcal CO2 is quite low (31.1ΒΊC), but it is a lot of pressure (73 atmospheres).

A full scuba tank is about 200 atmospheres, so I guess I am still comfortable strapping that to my back.

03.12.2025 00:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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