Change Research

Congrats to John Ewing for winning the election for Mayor of Omaha, Nebraska, last night, by 11,000 points. We're proud to have partnered with you, and it's always doubly rewarding when our polling is accurate and our client wins!

🧵(3/3) Mother’s Day is sweet. The data? Not so much.
→ 85% of Black women say today’s moms face more pressure
→ 91% of Black moms and 83% of Hispanic moms say economic strain is a major stressor
→ 39% believe tech has made parenting easier

🔹 68% say moms face more pressure than previous generations
🔹 Only 28% think society values mothers more than earlier generations
🔹 81% say economic strain is the #1 challenge for moms

(2/3)

What Moms Really Need (Hint: It's Not Flowers) New polling reveals what Americans really think about motherhood today

What Moms REALLY Need (Hint: It’s Not Flowers) 💐
Our nationwide poll provides some challenging numbers. The perception of motherhood today = more stress, less support. (1/3)
shorturl.at/pCfCs

Kamala Harris Didn’t Lose to the Couch New Voters, Not Drop off, Determined Harris' Defeat

New data analysis shows Harris didn't lose because Democrats stayed home. Even with 100% turnout of 2020 Biden voters, she would have lost. One key factor? New 2024 voters broke heavily for Trump.
Get the story here: shorturl.at/4Ys0E

Happening today at Noon!

Some *very* useful new polling data on Democrats from @changeresearch.com:

"Our new nationwide poll suggests that ideology is less important to primary voters than willingness to fight."

90% of Ds prefer a "moderate fighter" to a "quiet progressive." changeresearch.substack.com/p/the-new-ce...

📊 NJ VOTER RESEARCH
75% rate the economy as "not good/poor"
Universal concern about affordability
54% say the Trump administration is effective
53% feel Trump’s second term is underperforming his first

Join our May 2 briefing Just for Jersey, for exclusive findings.
Register now: shorturl.at/94aso

We asked 631 Democrats how they feel about their elected Democrats. Here's what we found:

Corruption is no longer a background issue—it’s at the center of American political life. #VoterSentiment #Corruption #PollingData

When asked:

“How concerned are you about presidents using government resources to benefit themselves or their political allies?”

80% of voters say they are concerned
98% of Democrats
88% of Independents
62% of Republicans

📊 SURGE IN CONCERN:

Since Nov. 2024, the share of voters who say corruption is their most important political issue has grown by 21 points.
➕ 30 pts among Democrats
➕ 3 pts among Republicans

42% say corruption is their top political concern

Results from a recent @changeresearch.com poll in North Carolina. Thom Tillis has a real fight to keep his Senate seat if Roy Cooper runs. carolinaforward.org/blog/april-2...

Today!

📈 Join us Friday 4/18 9am CT/12pm ET

BRIEF: New research on perceptions of the economy (69% feel income falling behind costs) and on attitudes towards Abundance.

Get the data! Register: shorturl.at/Tag1p

The New Central Axis of Democratic Primary Politics BONUS Briefing on American Economic Aspirations

New Poll:
90% prefer a moderate fighter over a quiet progressive
95% prefer a progressive fighter over a quiet moderate

Our Lead Analyst, Ben Greenfield argues that the new central axis in Dem primaries isn't left vs. center—it's fight vs. flight.

Read more on Touch Grass: shorturl.at/WDucQ

📈 Join us Friday 4/18 9am CT/12pm ET

BRIEF: New research on perceptions of the economy (69% feel income falling behind costs) and on attitudes towards Abundance.

Get the data! Register: shorturl.at/Tag1p

The recent deportation of a Maryland father with no criminal record brings this debate from abstract policy to real human impact.

The partisan gap is enormous - let's dig into the numbers 🧵

📊 NEW RESEARCH: Should the government deport Venezuelan immigrants without criminal records under the Alien Enemies Act?

Americans are divided, but the majority (50%) say no - it "goes against American values and due process."

The Gap Between What People Mean and What We Ask Lauren Goldstein on how abortion - like many issues - really isn't polarizing.

I got to talk to @lauren-goldstein.bsky.social of @changeresearch.com about a recent post she wrote on her personal substack about getting past identity labels to understand people's real values and beliefs about abortion. Find out more here: www.crosstabspodcast.com/p/the-gap-be...

What factors do you think contribute to such high voter satisfaction even in our politically divided climate? #PoliticalDiscussion #VoterPsychology

(4/4) Interestingly, policy implementation rather than ideology appears to be the key factor.
#GovernanceIssues #PolicyConcerns

Our nationwide survey interviewed 2,732 registered voters from February 23-27, 2025, with a margin of error of ±2.3%.

(3/4) What's driving voter dissatisfaction? For those expressing regrets about voting for President Trump, top concerns are:
Federal workforce reorganization (44%)
Leadership style & communication (42%)
Handling of domestic issues (31%)

(2/4) Breaking down the regret by voting choice:
Trump voters: 6% express regrets about their vote choice
Harris voters: 3% express regrets
Third-party voters: 19% express regrets
Non-voters: 29% wish they had voted

#VoterSatisfaction #PoliticalPolling #ElectionData

📊 NEW RESEARCH FINDINGS 📊
While 93% of Americans have no regrets about their 2024 presidential vote, our new survey reveals interesting patterns among those who do. Third-party voters are nearly 4x more likely to express regret (19%) compared to major party voters. Thread 🧵

Americans on Government, Budget, & Taxation - Change Research

Read more: shorturl.at/NbrOy

💰 Tax fairness survey results: 77% say Congress members pay too little in taxes, 71% say the same about large corporations. Meanwhile, 61% of Americans believe "people like them" pay too much. There is bipartisan agreement that the middle-class tax burden is too high.

🤔 When asked whether they thought of “government” more as politicians or as programs and services, 70% of voters indicated that they think of "government" more as politicians rather than programs/services (25%).

📊 Our new internal survey shows overwhelming support for increasing funding to Social Security (+59% net support), Medicare (+52%), and food assistance (+45%), while voters favor cuts to DEI programs, foreign aid, and student loans.