We’ll see. Carney is the best available leader to get us out of this mess, but he has also agreed to further talks after the Cdn elections on economy and security, and the Trump regime (and many Cdn export sector businesses) will want that impossible thing: security in the trading relationship.

Well, that’s a different position, and one I endorse. “Pissing on your leg” and objecting to the idea that a two-party outcome will save us are two different things. Americans have a two-party system. It meant that people frustrated with the Democrats only had radical Republicanism available.

Surely it depends on the riding. There are numerous ridings where the only plausible progressive candidate is the New Democrat. Splitting progressive votes with the Liberal elects a Conservative just as surely there as voting NDP in much of Atlantic Canada.

Because it is a multi-party system, with first-past-the-post voting rules, sharp differences in constituency size by population, and very strong regional differentiation in voting patterns, that is really hard to assess. Also, historical patterns in support for each party have shifted rapidly.

It is a remarkable shift. But the graph says to me that the most recent Liberal spike means that non-Conservative voters are rallying around the Liberal Party, more than the Conservative vote is collapsing. It is still super-important. Do I have that right?

I appreciate the work you do here. But in this instance I have a question. We know that PM Trudeau will not be contesting the next elections. What does this kind of poll question establish for the reader during a lame-duck period? Genuine question.

A soft version of regime change, or maximally, destabilization? In any case, if it doesn’t make sense from within one policy silo, maybe another silo is in play.

Hi Leah: I work on resource politics, land politics and climate. Political science, University of Victoria, BC Canada.

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