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Danyel Fisher

@danyelf.bsky.social

Data visualization; user experience with data analysis; general joyful data nerdery

936 Followers  |  449 Following  |  344 Posts  |  Joined: 25.08.2023  |  2.2424

Latest posts by danyelf.bsky.social on Bluesky

Rightβ€”so what does β€œforecast” mean to you?

03.02.2026 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe I don’t understand what β€œforecasting” means in this context.

I think of the term more passively: meteorologists don’t get to influence a cold front.

03.02.2026 15:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Do you see a role for our candidates to try to shape opinion?

I hope the difference between you and a strategist is not β€œpoll 2024” vs β€œpredict 2028”

03.02.2026 14:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Your suggestions feel passive to me: forecast where voters will be, and acknowledge uncertainty.

Yet we repeatedly see that issues can be created and made salient: from trans athletes to abortion and immigration, voters were repeatedly told that they were important and so became it

03.02.2026 14:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

And the last, the new color scheme, was fast and elegant; I spent most of eyeballs playing with that to see whether a log, square, or linear mapping was right for the frequency distribution I was using

02.02.2026 21:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

- and adding a color scheme to reflect word usage

The first of those took 45 minutes of 5 minute back-and-forths. The second was similar -- for some reason, it kept deciding that I wanted a different design and reverting to a previous discarded concept, so I had to go back to the spe

02.02.2026 21:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Interesting. A recent example for me had instances:
- fixing a language stemmer for a full-text search (I fed it a handful examples, and had it open to a UI page that would show the text search result for some hard examples)
- fixing the keyboard keycaps for Hebrew text entry on an English keyboard

02.02.2026 21:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Perhaps when I'm doing viz work in a browser over React & Vite, it's easier because I can literally just look at the screen and say" no, that's not what I meant" 60+% of the time

02.02.2026 21:25 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hm. What part gets to you?

02.02.2026 21:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

For one off demos and prototype code, it can be a great way to burn through iterations quickly. A lot of tasks in the viz pipeline β€” scrape that file but this time add another column; switch color maps; see how it works on a squremap; add a click handler β€” become almost trivial

02.02.2026 21:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

… and that’s why my computer turns to crud when I have five or six instances of Claude running.

Extremely annoying

02.02.2026 20:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Are you counting his nephew?

02.02.2026 20:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Her statement is true. At the moment, Star Wars is showing on very few if any screens. (In fact, I bet it’s outselling Star Wars, Jaws, and Raiders of the Lost Ark put together!)

02.02.2026 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Call them anyway. It reminds them that you have their back and keeps applying pressure from the left.

02.02.2026 17:30 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sounds like 50/50–dell should be more flexible with their threshold, and Apple shouldn’t assume that an external monitor must have the same settings as an internal

28.01.2026 16:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

How you feel about elder abuse doesn’t change the fact that there is a check with your name on it signed by a little old lady, and all you have to do is claim it.

How you feel about extortion doesn’t change the fact that we used your name to get someone to pay to get his daughter back.

23.01.2026 01:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I’m glad that LLM Bullshit and Crypto Bullshit are finding bullshit nexuses. (Disclaimer: I use beads! I might use gastown someday! My point remains!)

23.01.2026 00:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Fair. I think those who are concerned are saying that there are a LOT of things going on that are pretty far outside our well-established democratic traditions.

16.01.2026 05:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I’m genuinely not trying to doomcast here. We’ve just had a lot of β€œTrump is doing an obviously illegal and unconstitutional thing that he doesn’t have the power to do”, and some largish number of them seem to have happened anyway.

16.01.2026 04:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Because they had an β€œinvalid election”, could Trump call out the national guard to keep that supermajority from being seated? Or have the DOJ investigate the fraudulent elections between November and their seating?

16.01.2026 04:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

The same way that speaking ill of the dead is a firing offense β€” it has entirely to do with who is doing the disrespecting and ill speaking.

13.01.2026 02:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œUse this dataset to help argue whether the draft was a bad idea and had negative consequences for the game and the players.”

09.01.2026 16:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes. And if MPD made it clear they wanted to know where ICE was acting, any one of those people could have called MPDs ICE tip line and let them know.

08.01.2026 19:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Somehow a crowd of observers was able to be there. If MPD made it clear they wanted to be present, I bet someone could have let them know.

08.01.2026 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is precisely the logic that leads people to revenge killings and vigilante justice. β€œSure, I’m not in favor of the death penalty, but that was MY brother he killed!”

One price of living in an ordered society is that we lose our ability to act that selfishly.

31.12.2025 06:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Rereading this conversation, I think that is consistently the distance between us.

31.12.2025 05:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think the difference between us is that you read that as a personal piece with a frisson of politics, and I read it as an explicitly political piece in which he uses a very limited telling of his experience to back up his political beliefs.

31.12.2025 05:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I do apologize for that, then β€” I see how it came across. Please understand that I meant a different meaning: that he is holding a grudge on behalf of a survivor.

31.12.2025 05:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My response isn’t callous: it’s to say that there are many people who have strong feelings about COVIDs effects.

Why is it selfless to hold a grudge on behalf of your son, and not on behalf of thousands of friends and strangers?

31.12.2025 05:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I have no belief that the mask mandates were perfect. No policy is, even the ones i most agree with.

But I am unwilling to damn the entire government structure for its attempt to manage a public health crisis because it has ill effects on me personally.

31.12.2025 05:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

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