Becca Lucas's Avatar

Becca Lucas

@beccalpaine.bsky.social

PhD candidate at KCL studying defence industry through the manufacture of UAVs. Turkish policy wonk in my spare time. Formerly of RAND Europe and RUSI. All opinions my own.

822 Followers  |  1,033 Following  |  63 Posts  |  Joined: 21.11.2024  |  2.134

Latest posts by beccalpaine.bsky.social on Bluesky

this is a very very big story because of the apparently totally fake story ICE/DHS put out about what happened.

06.10.2025 23:43 β€” πŸ‘ 5791    πŸ” 2029    πŸ’¬ 160    πŸ“Œ 67

Minna hits nail again πŸ‘‡

"This does not mean that European countries should not be resilient, but simply that resilience is a defensive measure, not a way to deter such attacks. Russia has, unfortunately, not gotten bored with finding new and creative ways to poke around. It is a whack-a-mole game."

05.10.2025 10:08 β€” πŸ‘ 73    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

β€˜The appeal to the mystical image of the β€œwarfighter” is that it avoids having to discuss war in concrete terms. It sells the attractive myth that by doing more of the parts of war that look cool and really make you feel like a man, you can actually win wars.β€˜

www.deadcarl.com/p/clausewitz...

01.10.2025 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 317    πŸ” 81    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 6

The Turkish Foreign Minister's remarks about the difficulties Turkey is facing in procuring the engines for its KAAN fighter jet are a well-known story among those who work in the Turkish defence industry. One of the projects funded by our CATS Network dealt with the question in detail.

01.10.2025 05:38 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

People of Illinois, we need your help.

Get your cell phones out – record what you see. Put it on social media. Peacefully ask for badge numbers and identification. Speak up for your neighbors.

We need to let the world know this is happening – and that we won’t stand for it.

30.09.2025 02:47 β€” πŸ‘ 40156    πŸ” 12545    πŸ’¬ 815    πŸ“Œ 448
Post image

A letter from the front in Portland....

28.09.2025 21:39 β€” πŸ‘ 93    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1
Chicago with no war in sight

Chicago with no war in sight

Chicago - still with nothing remotely resembling war

Chicago - still with nothing remotely resembling war

Just going to pop these here from a long run I did along the lake two months ago. Can Rand Paul tell me where the war is?

29.09.2025 11:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Feds in military gear flood downtown Chicago; top border official says arrests based on 'how they look' The immigration agents were spotted making arrests in downtown Chicago and River North neighborhood early Sunday.

In which a top US Border Patrol official, incredibly, tells my tall and Anglo colleague @chipmitchell1.bsky.social that he's not the type they're looking for as they go about downtown Chicago arresting people based on "how they look"

chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...

28.09.2025 23:49 β€” πŸ‘ 5432    πŸ” 2770    πŸ’¬ 302    πŸ“Œ 346

And while the SCOTUS decision about arrests based on appearance and race may be in keeping with some of the Founding Fathers’ approach to the world, it overturns the decades of judicial precedent since that tried to correct their mistakes. I am ashamed.

29.09.2025 11:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Feds march into downtown Chicago; top border agent says people are arrested based on β€˜how they look’ Immigration agents wearing tactical gear and carrying long guns made arrests in downtown Chicago and the River North neighborhood Sunday. β€œThis is not making anybody safer β€” it’s a show of intimidatio...

The Sun Times here also quotes a key fact - the numbers show that immigrants are not the ones committing violent crimes. So even if you try to suggest that there is justification for this abuse of power (which to be clear there is NOT) it can’t possibly work!

chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...

29.09.2025 11:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It is hard to articulate how it feels to watch not only the city where I built the first phase of my adult life, but now the city where I grew up overtaken by masked men in fatigues with long guns. This is the opposite of everything that could ever make America great #chicago #stopICE

29.09.2025 11:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, this is really, really bad.

25.09.2025 22:13 β€” πŸ‘ 72    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0

Today’s Trump–Erdoğan meeting underscored how dependent Turkey remains on the West for its defense needs, and on the East for its energy needs.

Despite claims at home and abroad that Ankara’s expanding indigenous defense sector makes it β€˜strategically autonomous,’++

25.09.2025 22:16 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
Post image Post image

A last lazy long run before marathon training starts in earnest! And a beautiful fall day for it

21.09.2025 16:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So Trump tells Europeans to increase their defence budgets & buy more US kit, & the Pentagon tells them they can’t have it. Maybe it’s time for Europe to stop thinking it can rely on the US, & start investing in a rapid build-up of domestic arms production, even if it’s slightly lower quality.

19.09.2025 18:45 β€” πŸ‘ 298    πŸ” 115    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 12

I'd just highlight again that this is precisely how Erdogan did it in Turkey.

16.09.2025 16:55 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A question: for years I have wanted to do the Istanbul marathon. This fall seems like a good opportunity for a variety of reasons. However I’m also conscious of what’s currently going on politically in Istanbul. Is it insensitive to go as a tourist right now?

13.09.2025 10:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Race bib from Tallinn half marathon

Race bib from Tallinn half marathon

After COVID (and turning 30) my body changed. I had to change my mindset and learn to love my body again. To do that I focused on what my body can DO rather than what it looks like - and it can run a half marathon! #tallinnhalfmarathon

13.09.2025 10:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

From Princeton Professor of Politics and International Affairs, @jshapiro.bsky.social.

07.09.2025 19:58 β€” πŸ‘ 2005    πŸ” 577    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 17

We are witnessing the destruction of the remnants of Turkey’s already agonizing parliamentary democracy, as police forces occupy the Istanbul headquarters of the main opposition party, firing tear gas and plastic bullets both inside and outside against party members, MPs, and protesters.

08.09.2025 11:56 β€” πŸ‘ 114    πŸ” 58    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 11

In front of main opposition CHP’s Istanbul HQ, police tear-gassed opposition MPs resisting the government’s move to replace the party’s elected officials with hand-picked trustees. Erdoğan is lifting a page from Putin’s playbookβ€”ensuring the opposition is obedient and his hold on power is permanent.

08.09.2025 11:07 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Every time I’m about to delete X, I’m reminded that - as great as BlueSky is - it’s quite limited outside of English-language sources especially Turkish (unless I’m missing something?). To follow the rest of the world I unfortunately think I need to stay on X….

08.09.2025 09:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
While a 200 megawatt coal-fired unit can be destroyed by one or two missiles, the equivalent capacity wind farm would comprise 35 turbines, requiring hits from at least 35 missiles. β€œBuilding more solar or wind or battery storage is not only about the green transition, it’s about energy security.”

While a 200 megawatt coal-fired unit can be destroyed by one or two missiles, the equivalent capacity wind farm would comprise 35 turbines, requiring hits from at least 35 missiles. β€œBuilding more solar or wind or battery storage is not only about the green transition, it’s about energy security.”

While the Trump administration tries to cancel offshore wind for "national security" reasons, here's the CEO of Ukraine's largest private energy company

07.09.2025 23:41 β€” πŸ‘ 244    πŸ” 95    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 7
Post image

Help me with some math/logic. If you add up the following, what do you get?

1. β€œWe can simply declare against all evidence that drug gangs are terrorists.”

08.09.2025 09:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Some thoughts on the most recent assault on the CHP:

1) As the regime's loyalty test with the CHP fails to achieve the desired outcomes, the CHP leadership is exposed to accelerated and aggrevated forms of domination test.

08.09.2025 07:50 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

The collective yawn from US based press over the Turkish government's legal assault of the main opposition CHP is quite remarkable. Yes, Turkey's "slide towards authoritarianism" has been going on for a long time; but it is quickly nearing a precipice.

06.09.2025 11:59 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

This is what democracy looks like! A people united will never be defeated. We want federal forces out of DC NOW! #WeAreAllDC #FreeDC

06.09.2025 17:16 β€” πŸ‘ 17122    πŸ” 4965    πŸ’¬ 264    πŸ“Œ 204
Preview
What it's like to be a Middle East Studies professor in 2025 Basically, it sucks. Last week, Tuft's Dan Drezner and my GW colleague Dave Karpf published really good pieces on what it's like to be, respectively, a dean of international affairs and a professor o...

What it’s like to be a Middle East Studies Professor in fall 2025 - my new post surveys the field, and my colleagues.

Basically it sucks and it’s getting worse. But we haven’t given up.

abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io/what-its-lik...

25.08.2025 17:17 β€” πŸ‘ 95    πŸ” 46    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 10

Really interesting points here - it’s easy to get excited about new technologies but important not to get caught up in the hype!

04.08.2025 18:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Netanyahu is not an accidental Prime Minister.

Many well-meaning people of vaguely liberal - left inclinations have supported Israel because they retained a fantasy of what Israel was.

Too slowly, people are realizing they Israel they loved wasn't the one that existed in the real world.

03.08.2025 17:47 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

@beccalpaine is following 20 prominent accounts