William Alberque

Fire in the hole? US threatens new nuclear testing Are we really going to start this all over again?

Thank you! You also can read the facts and sources on my Substack, here:

walberque.substack.com/p/fire-in-th...

🌏 In a conversation about the second-order impacts of the US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities, I asked @walberque.bsky.social if this is yet another US administration failing to pivot to Asia. Here's his super interesting response. 🔗 FULL CONVERSATION HERE: bit.ly/4npKtbI

Antidotes is a banger. Up there with Susan versus Youth Club.

YouTube video by DW News Israel follows up US attack on Fordo nuclear site | DW News

I enjoyed this one. Terry asked great questions.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=PcfU...

What's next in the Israel-Iran war as US steps in? – DW – 06/22/2025 DW Middle East expert Shani Rozanes says Donald Trump's direct military intervention has cemented US-Israel ties — calling it unprecedented. But is military action really effective in stopping Iran's ...

DW is also very good:

www.dw.com/en/whats-nex...

YouTube video by Дежурный по Америке / RTVI US Ультиматум Трампа и жёсткий ответ лидера Ирана ][ Новые ограничения на выпуск криптовалют

RTVI

www.youtube.com/watch?v=8n4a...

I like the BBC. They treat me right

www.instagram.com/reel/DK2gsVR...

The Marshall Suite, duh.

And the Arms Control Poseur single.

Back once again with the ill behaviout, it’s @walberque.bsky.social

True.

You’re never alone with the Dirty Three.

I have cassettes and tons of vinyl (you can see some singles here), but my camera is by the cds, what can I say!

This is the lad who Channel 4 have got on now as a uranium enrichment expert

The Fatboy Slim remix of Wildchild’s Renegade Master is an all time banger.

Thank you!

Inläst: Så kan Europa bygga en kärnvapensköld Kvartal · Episode

Hey, dropped a deep dive on Macron’s nuclear pitch to Europe last week—yep, it’s on Spotify, because why not listen to geopolitical chess moves while you’re pretending to work out? If you’re into that whole “English version” thing, hit me up! open.spotify.com/episode/5lS0...

How North Korea’s role in Russia’s war undermines the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty The nuclear dimension has been a key aspect of the Russo-Ukrainian War since its onset in February 2014. Behavior in this war, not just of Moscow and Kyiv but of other states as well, has been conditi...

By observing the NPT, Ukraine is now disadvantaged in the face of two nuclear-armed states.

With @walberque.bsky.social, The @stimsoncenter.bsky.social, in The @kyivindependent.com.web.brid.gy @kyivindependent.com

@sceeus-ui.bsky.social @konflikt-sicher.bsky.social @baks.bund.de @dgap.org

If you’d like more on Russian non strategic nuclear weapons doctrine, I just published this report. I wish I’d seen these materials before I wrote it, certainly, but I think my conclusions are consistent with the findings by @maxseddon and @xtophercook

www.iiss.org/research-pap...

No surprises on conventional precision strike - consistent with work by Dave Johnson and others (e.g., @KofmanMichael) on SODCIT - strategic operations to destroy critical infrastructure targets. Also consistent with the idea of civilian targeting. 6/6

cgsr.llnl.gov/content/assets…

Takeaways (cont):

4) Russia's naval nuclear doctrine is consistent with its very real shortcomings and precarious position compared to the US Navy, therefore integrating nuclear planning at lower levels, giving commanders wide targeting flexibility after initial nuclear use. 5/6

Takeaways (cont):

3) Russia has done extensive work to target with nuclear and conventioanl precision strike civilian and military infrastructure in Japan, and at least some theoretical targeting against targets in South Korea, Iran, Azerbaijan, North Korea, and even China. 4/6

Takeaways (cont):

2) Russian non-strategic nuclear weapons remain a part of the surface fleet (inc. missiles, bombs, torpedoes, depth charges, all with hot-swappable conventional and nuclear warheads), despite promising to remove them in the Presidential Nuclear Initiatives. 3/6

Four key takeaways for you:

1) Russian doctrine for the use of non-strategic nuclear weapons by the Russian Navy includes a much lower threshold for nuclear use than previously thought, and far lower than the Kremlin has claimed in the years since the end of the Cold War. 2/6

Leaked Russian military files reveal criteria for nuclear strike Doctrine for tactical nuclear weapons outlined in training scenarios for an invasion by China

BREAKING NEWS! A big story by @maxseddon and @xtophercook for the @FT on leaked Russian documents, including a revealing briefing on Russia's naval non-strategic nuclear weapons (and conventional prompt strike) doctrine. Buckle up, this is a big one. 1/6

www.ft.com/content/f18e...

Leaked Russian military files reveal criteria for nuclear strike Doctrine for tactical nuclear weapons outlined in training scenarios for an invasion by China

Information source with a commentary by @walberque.bsky.social:

www.ft.com/content/f18e...