@paweladrjan.bsky.social
Economist at Indeed Research fellow at Regent's Park College, Oxford ๐ Using data to make the world of work better for all ๐ https://sites.google.com/site/paweladrjaneconomics/ Sevilla, Espaรฑa
โWhy do the Nordics & Dutch speak English so much better than the Germans, Italians & French?
โก๏ธ New Working Paper:
Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek
www.nber.org/papers/w33984
A ๐งต 1/12
Full paper (open access):
doi.org/10.1016/j.la...
This isn't just about pandemic response. It's path dependency:
- Organisational learning
- Tech already in place pre-COVID
- Permanently higher worker demand (chart ๐)
Employers adapted to #WFH and many aren't turning back, despite some highly publicised #RTO calls
Even as restrictions eased, advertised WFH (a forward-looking signal) kept rising - unlike realised WFH, which fell post-COVID and stabilised.
This suggests firms have locked in new norms for remote working
Is working from home just a pandemic blip? Not according to the data.
We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries.
The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019โ2023) and has been stable since
๐งต
For more details about the data and methodology, see my paper with @rlydon.bsky.social: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
27.05.2025 06:26 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Analysis by our Japan economist Yusuke Aoki: www.hiringlab.org/jp/blog/2025...
27.05.2025 06:25 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
The Indeed Wage Tracker is now live for #Japan ๐ฏ๐ต
Posted #wages in Japan rose 3.6% year-over-year in April 2025, based on a 3-month average.
This represents moderation from a recent peak of over 4% but it's still higher than anytime from 2019 to early 2024.
๐ New job posting data shows a growing North-South divide in Europeโs labour market as of mid-April:
๐ช๐ธ Spain up 4% in the past month, now 65% above pre-pandemic levels
๐ฎ๐น Italy high & holding steady
๐ฉ๐ช Germany & ๐ฌ๐ง UK sliding
No crash anywhere (yet) but a continued divergence
For a detailed analysis and projections by country, check out my blog post with Reamonn Lydon and Vahagn Galstyan: hiringlab.org/uk/blog/2025...
#wages #inflation #labourmarket #monetarypolicy #europe #uk #us
This gradual deceleration signals that the euro area is moving toward wage growth rates consistent with the ECB's 2% inflation target.
Takeaway:
No major surprises for monetary policy in the latest data through the end of 2024 ๐ฏ
4/
Using real-time advertised wages & collective bargaining agreements, we forecast official wage growth series.
Our central projection shows euro area Compensation per Employee growth slowing from 4.4% in Q3 to 4.1% in Q4 2024, aligning with the @ecb.europa.eu forecast of 4.2%
3/
๐ช๐บ Posted #wages in the #euro area grew 3.3% in 2024, but the pace varied by country, reflecting different rates of real wage catch-up after the recent period of high #inflation:
๐ซ๐ท 1.8%
๐ฉ๐ช 2.8%
๐ฎ๐น 2.9%
๐ฎ๐ช 4.3%
๐ช๐ธ 5.0%
๐ณ๐ฑ 6.1%
2/
Line chart titled โEuro area wage growth has slowly trended down.โ With a y-axis range of 0% to 8% and an x-axis range from 2019 to 2025, the chart shows the yearly percentage change in nominal wages in job postings for the euro area (3.7%), the UK (7.0%), and the US (3.1%) to December 2024.
๐ข New data from the #Indeed Hiring Lab! ๐ Ahead of this weekโs ECB Governing Council meetings, weโve released December data from our Wage Tracker.
In a new blog post, @rlydon.bsky.social, Vahagn Galstyan and I dive into euro area wage trends and their implications for monetary policy. ๐ช๐บ๐งต 1/
CALL FOR SUBMISSIONS: Research in Labor Economics (RLE) Submission Deadline November 29, 2024 Notification Deadline December 15, 2024 Research in Labor Economics (RLE) is planning to publish a volume highlighting research on New Developments in Labor Economics. The editors Solomon Polachek (SUNY Binghamton and IZA) and Benjamin Elsner (University College Dublin and IZA) are soliciting up to ten new papers showcasing new developments in labor economics. They welcome submissions tackling new questions as well as submissions that look at traditional labor economics questions with new methods and/or interesting new data. The editors seek to publish papers from a broad range of topics, for example: The impact of new technologies on the labor market New findings on the influence of labor market institutions New developments in research on migration Measuring labor market dynamics with new data Taxation, labor supply, and inequality Education, skill formation, and the labor market Gender and the labor market New developments in personnel economics In order to meet the publication deadline, please submit a detailed abstract (full papers are even more desirable) by November 29, 2024, to the RLE website:
๐๐ via @ckrafftc
Research in Labor Economics (RLE) is planning a volume highlighting research on New Developments in Labor Economics. The editors Solomon Polachek and @ben_elsner are soliciting up to ten new papers showcasing new developments in #laborEconomics. โฆ 1/2
A pre-publication version of our paper is available here: sites.google.com/site/pawelad...
17.12.2024 12:03 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0A big thanks to the editors @benelsner.bsky.social and Solomon Polachek, referees & contributors to this special volume on Big Data in Labour Economics.
Curious about how big data transforms labour market analysis? Explore the issue here: emerald.com/insight/publ... (paywalled)
This work led to the Indeed Wage Tracker, a forward-looking indicator of wage momentum across countries.
data.indeed.com#/wages
Excited to share that my paper with Reamonn Lydon is now published in Research in Labor Economics!
Main insights:
โ
Online job postings offer timely insights into wage trends
โ
Post-pandemic wage growth surged, especially for lower-paid jobs โ signalling strong labour demand
Todayโs JOLTS report was reasonably good!
- Job openings ticked up to 7.7 million (from 7.4).
- The quits rate rose for the first time in 17 months.
- Layoff rate = 1.0 -> Below pre-pandemic all-time lows.
Hires rate weak at 3.3%, but could be a blip given slight pickup in recent months.
Trying something new:
A ๐งต on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their ๐ look more professional than my ๐?"
It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social
๐ www.ft.com/content/73a1...
๐จNew research๐จ
Official labour market data has โlostโ almost a million workers and is over-stating the scale of Britainโs economic inactivity challenge.
Moreโก๏ธhttps://buff.ly/4fz1ifQ
Blog post: www.hiringlab.org/fr/blog/2024...
18.11.2024 16:34 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
I've always thought of #France as a country particularly fixated on formal diplomas. But French employers are gradually placing less emphasis on degrees in job postings. Is this a shift towards valuing #skills over formal #qualifications?
New research by #HiringLab's Lisa Feist ๐
Escribo hoy en @cincodias.bsky.social sobre brecha de gรฉnero en el mercado de trabajo y por quรฉ, segรบn la evidencia, hemos puesto el ojo en las polรญticas menos adecuadas.
La conciliaciรณn, los horarios laborales y la educaciรณn deben ser los territorios a trabajar.
t.co/EXYrddCy4M
Excited to present new research on the labour market impact of Poland's "LGBT-free zones" at @econupo.bsky.social tomorrow.
This is early work in progress with @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I look forward to the feedback.
Details: www.upo.es/area-analisi...
๐จNext #EconUpo #Seminar๐จ
๐"Exclusionary Government Rhetoric and Migration Intentions"
๐ฃ๏ธPawel Adrjan (Indeed)
๐
Monday 18, Nov.
๐12 noon
๐Boardroom. Building 3. #pablodeolavide
We are hiring! You will work on a series of exciting papers with me, @emilynix100.bsky.social, Kristiina H, Ning Zhang & Martti Kaila while developing your own research agenda. Please reach out with any questions!
Job ad: econjobmarket.org/positions/11218
#EconSky #EconJM
I put together a quick starter pack of people working on migration economics! Check it out: go.bsky.app/39gHy57
Feel free to nominate yourself or others to add to the list!
It looks like it. It's visible across occupations
16.11.2024 08:58 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
