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Eli

@eli.nflforecastr.com

Vikings fan first. Senior DS student second. Case Cookus University. Vikings focused visualizations and stats. Building @nflforecastr.com

127 Followers  |  473 Following  |  32 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024  |  2.4076

Latest posts by eli.nflforecastr.com on Bluesky

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When accounting for yards drawn from DPI, Defensive Holding, and Illegal Contact, Justin Jefferson has produced the most receiving yards in the league. He has also drawn the most of those types of penalties at 11. The next closest is 6 (Metcalf, Mooney, Higgins, N.Brown, M. Evans)!

02.12.2024 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Case Cookus

01.12.2024 22:41 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Pass charts for the Vikings and Cardinals offense and defense. Will be interesting if the Vikings can generate any 20+ explosives against a defense that doesn't allow many. The Cardinals offense throws a lot of passes in the 0-10 game. Possible Van Ginkel sighting? #Vikings #MINvsARI #SKOL

01.12.2024 15:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Vikings weekly epa performances vs the Cardinals weekly EPA per play performances. Vikings have been more consistent than the Cardinals, but if the Cards can have a high efficiency day on offense, the game could get interesting. #Vikings #MINvsARI #SKOL

01.12.2024 15:42 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There’s definitely something to this. When removing turnovers and sacks, where the Vikings thrive, they drop to the 3rd defense, 4th when adjusting for schedule. So their defensive ranking is definitely being pulled up by those high variance plays. They get torn up across the middle consistently.

28.11.2024 22:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I figured it would create some problems. I think the OT0 is a good solution to communicate that. One other idea I had, it would be cool to color code the stats displayed in tables to show if they’re above or below league average. As long as it doesn’t get too messy, it could provide good context.

28.11.2024 19:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Of course! The little changes can do a lot of good. Out of curiosity, how does it handle overtime? Does it start counting back up?

28.11.2024 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Take the Points

I designed a 4th down decision making quiz. 5 new questions every day at midnight. Try it and let me know what you think!

array-carpenter.github.io/takethepoint...

27.11.2024 17:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Super cool idea!

28.11.2024 17:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Harrison Smith is the 8th oldest defensive back since 2012 (and oldest since 2020) to take more than 100 snaps through 12 weeks. Stephon Gilmore is the 20th oldest player to take more than 100 snaps since 2012. Side note; 4 Terence Newman seasons being the top 4 is pretty funny.

28.11.2024 03:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Schedule Adjusted EPA for play. Total Offensive EPA per Play on X axis. Total Defensive EPA per Play on Y axis. Red dotted lines represent expected performance.

Schedule Adjusted EPA for play. Total Offensive EPA per Play on X axis. Total Defensive EPA per Play on Y axis. Red dotted lines represent expected performance.

Schedule Adjusted EPA for play on offense. Dropback EPA per Play on X axis. Rush EPA per Play on Y axis.

Schedule Adjusted EPA for play on offense. Dropback EPA per Play on X axis. Rush EPA per Play on Y axis.

Schedule Adjusted EPA for play for defense. Dropback EPA per Play Allowed on X axis. Rush EPA per Play allowed on Y axis.

Schedule Adjusted EPA for play for defense. Dropback EPA per Play Allowed on X axis. Rush EPA per Play allowed on Y axis.

After week 12, the Vikings are still the best defense in the NFL using EPA per play (regardless of if we adjust for schedule or not). They are far and away the best rush defense. Looking at total adjusted epa, the Vikings rank 5th in the NFL. #SKOL #MinnesotaVikings #Vikings

28.11.2024 01:51 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Xtadium is the app

25.11.2024 23:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/eli....
It’s true!

25.11.2024 21:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Sam Darnold and the Minnesota #Vikings won in overtime yesterday against the Chicago Bears. Darnold did enough again and helped move the Vikings to 9-2.

Week 18 Detroit @ Minnesota could be a big one.

25.11.2024 15:07 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Great visualization! I wonder if the rolling epa graph would be better with game seconds, or using game seconds instead of play id. Small change but I think it would be a little more clear when the big swings occurred. Good stuff tho!

25.11.2024 15:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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After SNF, Justin Jefferson is second in the league in yards from DPI. He also leading the league in DPI drawn. As a team, the Vikings are second in DPI yards, with 7 of their 9 DPIs coming from JJ. #SKOL #Vikings #MinnesotaVikings

25.11.2024 15:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Caleb has really wanted to throw picks today. Gotta happen eventually

24.11.2024 19:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A look at the stat matchup between the Vikings and Bears units. Looking like defense will be the story of this game. NOTE: Im still working through the code to produce this, so if you notice anything funky, let me know. Wanted to get it out before the game. #SKOL #MINvsCHI #Vikings

24.11.2024 17:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Vikings and Bears weekly performance by epa. Last week the bears had one of their best offensive performances of the season, but the defense struggled. The last two weeks have been two of the Vikings best overall performances since early this season. #SKOL #MINvsCHI #Vikings

24.11.2024 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you!

22.11.2024 02:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How do you decide what tier to put a team in? Clustering? Or just vibes?

22.11.2024 01:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Is Daniel Jones trying to one up Trey Lance by playing safety in practice? And since Ed Donatell is the only coordinator that can get Jones paid, what contract would Jones receive playing safety in a Donatell system?

21.11.2024 20:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I did a similar thing for EPA here, looking at how their schedule performed against other opponents. Extremely impressive against the run! Allowing -.306 EPA to an expected -.062!

20.11.2024 18:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Vikings rank third in opponent-adjusted EPA per play! And rank first in opponent-adjusted Defensive EPA per play, by a lot! This stat attempts to determine how they are expected to perform against their schedule versus how they actually did perform.

19.11.2024 16:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Vikings Pass Charts for the Vikings Titans game. Will Levis tore up the right side of the Vikings defense. Sam Darnold was effective in the 10-30 yard range, completing 6 of 9 passes.

18.11.2024 18:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

2 refs called it on the field so I wish there was a better angle than the one I’ve seen. It looks like the helmet hits in the chin/neck area, so I can understand why it was called. He was also in the process of at least moving up, so I can at least see how a ref would interpret it as a launch.

18.11.2024 00:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Is lowering your head and jumping into a player not a flag?

17.11.2024 19:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Gave us a free one for missing the facemask the play before

17.11.2024 18:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Vikings and Titans weekly performances by EPA. The Titans best performance was a week 4 game against the Tua-less Dolphins. Vikings only have two games with a negative total EPA, their two losses. #SKOL

17.11.2024 17:27 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

-Darnold-Jefferson chemistry on deep right streaks shows (EPA +1.94 20-30yds, Packers touchdown, Colts game are 2/9 targets here)
Looking forward to bringing more Vikings-focused data breakdowns like this. SKOL!

16.11.2024 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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