Engineer Bet

Betting ticket for this week end
bettineering.my.canva.site#page-3

Wimbledon 🎾
Norrie v Jarry

I don't understand the odds here. For me Norrie's odds should be much shorter. Recent and 2025 forms are far better than Jarry's. I would give Norrie 70% chances to win rather than 50% as suggested from the odds.

Norrie for me on the moneyline.

Wimbledon 🎾
Kecmanovic v Djokovic

I don't see Djokovic losing this one but Kecmanovic may push him in 1 or 2 sets. If it goes to TB he may be able to take a set

I go with Djokovic to win 3-1

Wimbledon 🎾
Cilic v Munar

Cilic had a very good win against Draper but may struggle to repeat. Odds are too short IMO. Munar's form has been pretty good including grass.

I go with Munar to win 3-1

Wimbledon 🎾
Nakashima v Sonego

Nakashima's form has been pretty good recently. His game more suited for grass than Sonego's.

I go with Nakashima to win 3-1 as I think Sonego is too good to lose in straight sets.

Wimbledon 🎾
De Minaur v Holmgren

Holmgren comes with a very aggressive game and if not overwhelmed by the event should be able to push the Aussie in each set.

I go with Holmgren to score more than 13.5 games

Wimbledon 🎾
Mensik v Cobolli

2 players with limited history on grass. I think Mensik is more suited for grass with a very good 1st serve. May be a bit inconsistent at time with 2nd serve points % a bit weak. Cobolli will have some chances.

Going for Mensik to win 3-1.

Soccer | Ligue1 🇨🇵
Marseille v Lens

Lens is on 4 losses in a row with 11 conceded goals. They will have very hard time against an offensive team like Marseille.

I like Marseille with -1.5 Asian handicap @ 2.4

Soccer | La Liga 🇪🇸
Alaves v Villareal

Alaves at home is only 13pts in 12 games. Villareal is second best team away. Don't really understand the odds here. Villareal has a real chance to win.

Villareal @ 2.4 is good value. I am taking a bit more risks with -0.75 Asian handicap @ 2.85.

Montpellier Open - Preview ATP 250 Stats Rublev is #1 seed and Auger-Aliassime #2. On ATP250 events, #1 seed reaches SF 50% of the time, #2 44% of the time. #1 seed wins ATP250 events 25% of the time, #2 15% Montpellier stats.....

Tennis | ATP | Montpellier ATP250

My preview for the tournament.
betting-gazette.weebly.com/blog/montpel...

Wrap up of the last few weeks

Lots of bets on Australian Open. Managed to make around 10% ROI but lost my 12/1 outright with Zverev losing the final.

Betting performance after 25 weeks
593 bets -> 40% won
4000+ $ of bets -> 10.9% ROI -> 440 $ profit

Next
More bets & maintain ROI > 5%

Tennis | ATP | Adelaide
Outright market

Kokkinakis @ 23 looks good value. I think he has a real chance in the bottom half of the draw to reach at least the semis. On the plus side he is playing at home which will add an extra boost

Went OM to win to nil too @ 2.14. Le Havre's attack is just too weak IMO

Soccer | England | Premier league
Liverpool vs Man Utd

Taking advantage of a bonus bet from Unibet on same game multi.

Diaz to score
Liverpool to win
Liverpool to score more than 2.5 goals

Overall odd is 4.1. if lost enable a free bet of same amount. 🤞

Soccer | France | Ligue1
OM vs Le Havre

OM is simply better. They have struggled a bit at home but improved recently and simply cannot lose any points here.

OM -1.5 @ 1.9

Soccer | France | Ligue1
Angers vs Brest

Angers is stuck in the bottom section of the ladder. Not doing too good at home. Brest has been average in Ligue1 but with Champions League resuming later this month they had a real chance.

Brest @ 2.25

Soccer | Italy | Serie A
Venezia vs Empoli

BTTS @ 1.79 with Unibet seems like good value. Both teams have 50% games with BTTS since the start of the season. This one looks like a good candidate for both teams to score goals.

Soccer | France | Ligue 1
Lyon vs Montpellier

Montpellier is really weak and recent performances do not bring any optimism.
Lyon is better with a good strikers who may have plenty of opportunities. Should be able to clear the handicap.

Lyon -1.5 @ 1.95 with Unibet

Soccer | France | Ligue 1
Lille vs Nantes

Nantes is not playing too well and there are many internal issues as usual with this club. Coach may be under a lot a pressure + Lille has been far better since the start of the season & should clear the handicap.

Lille -1 @ 1.94 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague
Brighton vs Arsenal

I just think Arsenal is far better than Brighton and I don't see that reflected in the odds. I find odds for Arsenal far too attractive to be missed.

Arsenal to win @ 1.8 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague
Southampton vs Brentford

Brentford has been very poor away from home. If there is one game that Southampton can take, this may be the one.
Odds for Southampton looks too good to ignore.

Southampton to win @ 3.35 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague
Aston Villa vs Leicester

Only 2 clean sheets for Aston Villa at home. Leicester playing pretty offensive style may have opportunities to score.

BTTS @ 1.75 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague
Bournemouth vs Everton

Bournemouth at home is 66 % under 2.5 goals. Everton away is 66 % under 2.5 goals. Recent Everton's games have been low scoring.

Under 2.5 goals @ 2.02 (Unibet)

Soccer | Italy | Serie A
Monza v Juventus

Juventus still unbeaten. Crazy number of draws but I think they are well above Monza & should be able to contain them without too much trouble.
Monza does not score much & Juve does not concede mcuh.

Juve to win to nil @ 2.5 -> 7 units

Soccer | England | Premier League
Tottenham v Liverpool

2 high scoring teams. Goals Goals Goals.
Tottenham is 3.9 goals / game v 3.4 for Liverpool.
If we expect 3.5-4 goals overall I think Tottenham has a fair chance to score at least 2.

Tottenham over 1.5 goals @ 2.15 looks too good -> 5 units

Soccer | England | Premierleague
Everton v Chelsea

My angle here is that Everton is not impressive at all at home and Chelsea is top team away from home scoring nearly 3 goals per game. Match may be tight but still think Chelsea is far better than 58 % chances to win.

Chelsea @ 1.7 -> 10 units

Soccer | England | Premier League
Leicester v Wolverhampton

2 of the worst defense in the league both averaging more than 2 conceded goals per game. Leicester is playing a more offensive style with the new coach & expecting an open game.

My pick Leicester over 1.5 goals @ 1.98 -> 10 units

Now I see the score I am just sad I didn't watch the game. Too early for Australian time... And sad I did not bet more too 🤣 Hope you enjoyed the game 😉

Yeah I know the feeling. Never easy being a real fan 😉

Palace 8 matches at home
7 pts
6 goals for 10 conceded
The team will be the same as Wednesday when Arsenal will be back to the preferred line-up
I agree that the game may be tight but still see Arsenal as a strong favourite. Enjoy the game 😉