Ariel Ortiz-Bobea's Avatar

Ariel Ortiz-Bobea

@arielob.bsky.social

Applied econ & policy prof at Cornell. Researching how people cope w/ environmental change. Posts about climate, agriculture, environment & academia. https://arielortizbobea.github.io

10,395 Followers  |  522 Following  |  256 Posts  |  Joined: 03.07.2023  |  2.0293

Latest posts by arielob.bsky.social on Bluesky

Thatโ€™s what I imagined. I hope you keep at it. To me this is such a fundamental aspect of science. We (researchers) think we are immune to all sorts of biases, but we are subject to path dependence and what others before us chose to explore and โ€œfoundโ€ to be true.

25.11.2025 03:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We're going through the second 100-year shock to the academic job market in the past 5 years

25.11.2025 00:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 19    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

We need candidates for AEA directors and presidents to be talking about concrete things like this, not how many top articles, cites or awards they have.

25.11.2025 00:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Economics Job Market Update: November 2025 - A Historic Low

Update on the state of the job market courtesy of a nudge by @gottliebecon.bsky.social

It's bad!

paulgp.com/2025/11/24/j...

24.11.2025 15:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 46    ๐Ÿ” 21    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

Eva, cool study. I imagine you've had this in the works for quite a while. So congrats!

One point that I don't know if you can address here (or later) is to what extend people use previous published results as priors. i.e. does confidence and/or accuracy increase the more mature a literature is?

25.11.2025 00:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ“ข Just accepted in #JAERE ๐Ÿ“ข is now posted at @aereorg.bsky.social!
๐Ÿ“ Follow @aereorg.bsky.social to stay updated on all things REEP and JAERE.
#EconSky ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰

13.11.2025 13:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Enough time for catcher to take a selfie

28.10.2025 03:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That was a poor pitch down the middle! You canโ€™t do that with that guy

28.10.2025 03:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€œIf you can afford itโ€

20.10.2025 14:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Serious scholars have examined what happens when we change the number of H1-B visas issued.

Cities that get more H1-B immigrants subsequently see the wages of natives *rise* substantially.

Skilled immigrants bring new ideas, fill labor shortages and make us all more productive.

22.09.2025 14:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1579    ๐Ÿ” 547    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 37    ๐Ÿ“Œ 24
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Submission: 8th Annual NBER Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy Conference, Page 1 of 2 - MyNBER

Hey, #EconSky! Got a policy-relevant paper that you want folks in DC to see? Present & publish it with NBER's Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy.

Submission deadline is Oct 20.

Conference is in DC on May 21, 2026.

More details below.

conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...

11.09.2025 19:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 22    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Congrats from an Australia-loving academic!

09.09.2025 23:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

just read the settlement is for $3k per title ๐Ÿ˜ณ

06.09.2025 13:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

First time seeing people out protesting against the government and congress in Watkins Glen, NY

01.09.2025 17:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Just added my signature to the letter.

This is a no brainer.

Itโ€™s wild weโ€™re having a conversation about US central bank independence in 2025. But here we are.

Please read and consider adding your signature.

28.08.2025 00:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 34    ๐Ÿ” 13    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Congratulations Val!!

09.08.2025 12:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Opinion | Trump Wants You to Believe Climate Change Isnโ€™t Dangerous A Trump administration proposal runs counter to both basic logic and a growing mountain of science documenting direct harms from climate change.

tinyurl.com/54237ctx

01.08.2025 19:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Is it more effective if the experts cited respond jointly? separately? Is it better to respond by chapter? Who is considered to have a more "legitimacy" in submitting comments? How are comments weighted in the review process? Is there evidence that the comments make a difference?

01.08.2025 20:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Are there lawyers out there who have written about the most effective way to submit comments to government reports like the recent DOE one?

01.08.2025 20:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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E.P.A. Is Said to Draft a Plan to End Its Ability to Fight Climate Change

I have written about this before, when it was suggested as a possibility shortly after the inauguration. A quick summary here--in short, there's little clever or thoughtful about it, though there is some legal strategy at work, however cynical.

1/n

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/22/c...

23.07.2025 15:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Our paper is officially out ๐ŸŽ‰

We argue that climate clubs show promise:

- A climate club with coordinated penalties could curb 68% of excess emissions from free-riding

-Unilateral carbon tariffs? Not nearly as effective

09.07.2025 20:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 20    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Academia drastically affects your body weight composition โ€ฆ you bulk up on thick skin!

27.06.2025 01:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I'd love to fund studies of interventions that reduce real-time pollution exposure, in the US, on outcomes related to violence and criminal behavior.

(There is strong evidence that such exposure increases violence in real time; the next question is how much interventions can mitigate this effect.)

23.06.2025 11:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 45    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yeah makes senseโ€ฆ you may also have holidays in Dec that could alter driving and traffic.

05.06.2025 22:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thanks for sharing. Any ideas why December is lower than Jan and Feb which are colder months?

05.06.2025 22:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Telling prospective PhD students that they should not worry about stating their research interests on their statement was not in my bingo card for 2025.

29.05.2025 18:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Trump Has Cut Science Funding to Its Lowest Level in Decades The lag in funding extends far beyond D.E.I. initiatives, affecting almost every area of science: chemistry, computing, engineering, materials and more.

Trump Has Cut Science Funding to Its Lowest Level in Decades www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

22.05.2025 14:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 384    ๐Ÿ” 187    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19    ๐Ÿ“Œ 25
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Facing lawsuit, USDA says it will restore climate change-related webpages The U.S. Department of Agriculture has agreed to restore webpages related to climate change after it was sued earlier this year over the deletions.

Who, us, delete #climate info?

USDA has agreed to restore climate change-related webpages to its websites after it was sued over their deletions by the Northeast Organic Farming Association of NY and others,
@melinawalling.bsky.social reports:

14.05.2025 15:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

no guns?

01.05.2025 18:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Donโ€™t know. Note the report cannot be โ€œcancelledโ€ by the executive but the law does not explicitly require external experts or give details about their selection

As I understand it the executive can fire us w/o reason (weโ€™re not paid btw) but they have to produce the NCA report at least every 4 yrs

29.04.2025 11:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@arielob is following 20 prominent accounts