Another pair of articles on this topic which I highly recommend, in this case both from the @lowyinstitute.bsky.social
www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre...
www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre... @connorpobrien.bsky.social @quahsayjye.bsky.social
04.02.2026 06:56 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
I'm sort of arguing with myself here, as I'm very pro middle powers stepping up & very worried about the direction of the US & what it means for Australia, so I want the idea to work, but history & practicality isn't really on his side. I'm sympathetic but wanted something meatier as to what's next.
28.01.2026 09:19 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
I don't ultimately disagree & I tried to acknowledge those positive dimensions in the full piece but I think we need to be wary about painting a picture of middle power coalitions drastically changing the global balance of power - which I'd say he does set out as one of several policy proposals.
28.01.2026 09:19 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
On this topic, and for similar concerns articulated at greater length and in more comprehensive and compelling terms, I would also strongly recommend @limdarrenj.bsky.social most recent episode of "Australia in the World", especially pt.2 from 9.00-16.30.
www.podbean.com/pw/pbblog-wr...
26.01.2026 06:19 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Defence secretary, former Turnbull aide to become next Australian ambassador to US
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese described Greg Moriarty as an โoutstanding Australian public servantโ in announcing he would take the prestigious posting.
Greg Moriarty is a very sensible appointment as Australia's next Ambassador to the US. Indeed, of the options touted, the clear standout. Long-term Sec. of Defence Dept, fmr. Ambassador, and best placed to build on existing ties to senior USG officials.
www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
25.01.2026 01:42 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
I can tell you who's not: Canadians on Threads! ๐
22.01.2026 12:29 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Yeah, that resonates with me, too. I don't hate it, to be clear, it just fell a bit flat in the second half ๐
Maybe it's also testament to the fact that we've had to dance this dance for a while now in Asia, when Canada and the Europeans have a different dynamic to manage, so I'm hungry for more?
22.01.2026 07:38 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
For more perspectives on Mark Carney's rupture of the international order speech, I recommend:
@seva.bsky.social
hegemon.substack.com/p/the-strong...
@georgeeaton.bsky.social @newstatesman1913.bsky.social
morningcall.substack.com/p/morning-ca...
@economist.com
www.economist.com/briefing/202...
22.01.2026 07:13 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Carney bells the cat?
On Tuesday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney delivered what has been described by many prominent analysts and commentators as one of the most consequential gโฆ
I've expanded on my reasons why in my blog, but in short, there's a major disconnect between between the diagnosis of the problem and the proposed solutions which are...what middle powers are already doing?
Have a read and let me know what you think!
davidmandrews.com/2026/01/22/c...
22.01.2026 01:07 โ ๐ 4 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 3 ๐ 3
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's speech at the World Economic Forum on Tuesday has been described by many prominent analysts and commentators as one of the most consequential geopolitical speeches in recent decades, but I confess that it left me feeling somewhat underwhelmed.
22.01.2026 01:07 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0
That would have been a pretty courageous "all in on red" move, to be sure. I will comfort myself with the knowledge (comforting lie?) that AUKUS is but one of many institutions I wax lyrical on...albeit one with the most media interest ๐
21.01.2026 06:17 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Phase 1 of the books have arrived, and interim desk is set up. Starting to feel more settled into Jakarta. ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฉ
13.01.2026 10:40 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
"American Ivy" might still be my favourite, but this is the series that most corresponds with my personal knowledge and expertise and has guests from the US military, defence industry, veterans' community, outdoor clothing companies, and an array of journalists including @shashj.bsky.social
07.01.2026 02:54 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
It ranges across military and socio-cultural history from the 1800s to the Second World War, Vietnam and the GWOT; logistics and defence science & tech; geopolitics & deterrence; veterans' affairs, mental health, and homelessness; and, of course, fashion.
07.01.2026 02:54 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
I say it every season, but Avery @trufelman.bsky.social's Articles of Interest is an exemplary podcast and I cannot recommend it enough.
This season was "Gear": all about the interplay between the military, fashion, and the outdoor industry.
07.01.2026 02:54 โ ๐ 23 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
A lovely penultimate afternoon in Sydney at Greenwich Baths, but even more importantly given my birding proclivities, we were graced by an osprey gliding over the harbour bays - my first ever sighting in the wild ๐คฉ
06.01.2026 06:56 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Teach them young, the ways of Age of Empires 2.
"Mandaten...Fisk...Gaderer."
30.12.2025 05:22 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Happy Christmas, all! โ๏ธ
24.12.2025 21:47 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
After Bondi, we crave certainty โ but quick fixes are dangerous
We wonโt make Australia safer with rapidly conceived solutions for the massacre. They could make us less safe.
Clearly there is an expectation, and broad social license, to take steps urgently, but a longer and more comprehensive review would allow for a better assessment of downstream consequences from any reforms.
www.smh.com.au/national/aft...
22.12.2025 03:31 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
To that end, I can see benefit in both the Richardson Review that is due by April 2026, as well as pursuing a (suitably targeted) Royal Commission over a longer period of time to address the full range of challenges brought up by the attack of 14 December.
22.12.2025 03:31 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
"There is also a temptation, after attacks such as Bondi, to promise absolute security. That temptation should be resisted. No open society can guarantee perfect safety without eroding the freedoms that terrorism seeks to undermine."
22.12.2025 03:31 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
"...It also underscores the social cost of operating permanently at heightened thresholds."
"The danger after Bondi isnโt only that we ask the wrong questions but that we answer them too quickly."
22.12.2025 03:31 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Sage advice from @johncoyne14.bsky.social @aspi-org.bsky.social in the SMH:
"trad[ing] precision for speed...raises uncomfortable questions about why rapid regulatory changes are now being pushed through with limited analysis when existing laws appear adequate but imperfectly applied..."
22.12.2025 03:31 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
The final stage of packing up the house ahead of the move to Indonesia: getting my Warhammer minis ready to travel. Stay strong, brothers - for the Lion! ๐ซฃ๐ค
16.12.2025 04:31 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Now, as always, I condemn the senseless ancient hatred of antisemitism & stand in solidarity with the Jewish people. We must never forget & never cease our efforts to ensure the safety & security of all Australians; especially our most vulnerable communities.
Lord, have mercy.
15.12.2025 11:07 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
I'm so deeply sorry that such a hideous act has been perpetrated against Australia's Jewish community. Indeed, against Sydney and Australia as a whole.
I am praying for the recovery of all victims, the ongoing safety of Jewish Australians, and that justice is done.
15.12.2025 11:07 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Marie-Curie Postdoc, Aberystwyth University. Currently researching transregionalism in world politics. Interested in Asian security, Indonesia's foreign policy, history and theory in IR.
@ecfr.bsky.social ideas and analysis on Europeโs security, defence, enlargement, resilience and eastern neighbourhood dynamics
President/vice-chancellor of the Swedish Defence University, professor of leadership.
Director @aies.at - one of Austria's leading thinks tank in European foreign, security, and defence policy
Associate Professor at the Air Force Academy, Norwegian Defence University College. Used to do Soviet history before I turned to Air Power studies.
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Dean, Royal Danish Defence College. BoD, Innovation Fund Denmark. On strategy, security, and social sciences. Usual disclaimers apply.
Professor of International Security at the University of Edinburgh
Creator of the National Security and Defence Documents Dataset
Also: critical security studies, emergency powers, parliaments, UK, Scotland, Australia, undersea infrastructure
Assoc Prof at the University of Exeter's Strategy and Security Institute. Also currently: NATO Defence College, RN Strategic Studies Centre, UofE Press (co-edit the 'Exeter Strategic & Security Studies' book series). @blagden_david on The Other Place.
Wider Europe, rules-based international order, security & defence
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EU foreign, security & defence policy. Now: @crisisgroup.org. Then: @ceps.eu, @eudiplomacy.bsky.social. Usual caveats. ๐ช๐บ ๐บ๐ฒ๐น๐ป
Consultant, after 40 years with FCO, Cabinet Office, HM Treasury. Specialties: national security, defence, geopolitical analysis.
Defence and Security Analyst. Former Director General, Royal United Services Institute. Former Professor of Defence Studies, King's College London. Now Visiting Professor at KCL and University of Exeter and holds Fellowships at a number of institutions.
Research Professor at NUPI ๐ง๐ป
Security, defence, NATO, Arctic, Nordics plus some cyber and Balkans
Head International Security @SWP, ex @IFSHHamburg & Bundestag staffer, @KoerberIP myl_2019, all things defence policy| usual caveats, Foto Credit @european Commission
SWP is a Berlin-based research institute advising political decision-makers on foreign and security policy. http://bit.ly/SWP_PrivPol / Netiquette: http://bit.ly/SWP_Net_en
Defence Analyst | Navy Veteran | Analyses of emerging technologies from naval warfare perspective | Correspondent at Defense News, Naval News & Shephard News โ๏ธ
Researcher at Norwegian Defence University College / Royal Norwegian Naval Academy. Specialising on Russian military and maritime strategy. All views my own