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The Analyst

@militaryanalyst.bsky.social

Military analyst, economist, historian, enemy of dictators everywhere. Advisor to governments. β€˜Devils Advocate Services’. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ AVAILABLE ON: TheMilitaryAnalyst.com

5,170 Followers  |  96 Following  |  8,308 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024  |  2.0819

Latest posts by militaryanalyst.bsky.social on Bluesky

Indeed. Yet over production seems to be initial cause and that can be remedied. If we can get to the point Russia is forced into collapse then we can all be happy. Once the market rebounds it will be too late for them.

25.11.2025 08:08 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s under the military justice system which is under the Pentagon - but Senate and House armed services committees should be on it. The house hasn’t been sitting and the senate occupied by bigger issues.

25.11.2025 07:13 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

After Kursk in 1943 it was pretty much a rapid roll back that just rolled faster and faster. IMHO the Nazis lost the day they attacked.

25.11.2025 07:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

DOOM IS COMING FOR RUSSIA

JP Morgan analysts predict Brent crude will fall to $50 in 2026, and then $30 in 2027.

Russia will be facing a disaster at those prices.

25.11.2025 07:04 β€” πŸ‘ 123    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 0

Is everyone quivering in fear? No?

25.11.2025 07:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

we can’t cope with defending ourselves from a second rate power that can’t even beat Ukraine after 4 years? Really?
We are getting it together. Ukraine has shown the way. We see our past mistakes and we’re correcting them. We can do it. We really don’t need America if we act together.

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 100    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

As long as we remain united and strong willed we can deter Russia - as we proved with the air incursion issues over Estonia. It’s about attitude and determination not just resources.
Russias economy is smaller than Italy - with oil - so take that away and you have a minnow. Are we really saying

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 74    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

accept a European based NATO in charge of of its own security then there is the intel/comms infrastructure that needs addressing but it’s not impossible to overcome,and the nuclear issue? We have two nuclear powers in the alliance and they can both make new weapons.

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

anyone. The last issue that really matters is intel sharing. We have been perennially over reliant on America and again both Britain and France have long moved to improve that situation. Others are on board but it takes time. It’s not an over dependence but reliant, and we need to move on. If we

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

but it will be and soon.
Overall conventional forces are being restored and improved. Germany and Poland especially are making major strides to defend the East. Finland and Sweden have already altered the situation in the North now they are in NATO.
Russia is in no position to militarily invade

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

none of our own.
The other main issue has been NATO communications systems.
The US has the satellites and Europe doesn’t. That used to be true - but every year that’s becoming less so. European nations have developed their own systems out of need and much of it is now deployed.
It’s not as good yet,

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 65    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Partnership program, where allied air forces carry American tactical nuclear bombs, is the real reason SACEUR remains American. In principle they have long accepted it wouldn’t be a bad thing if a European took the role, but they won’t do that if we rely on their tactical nuclear weapons and have

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 58    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

less important than it was but it hasn’t been withdrawn because Congress passed a bill banning the use of federal funds to exit Europe and preventing the president from unilaterally withdrawing from NATO. So even if we want it to leave it’s currently illegal.
American nuclear weapons - the Nuclear

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 57    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

WHY NATO DOESN’T NEED AMERICA

I worked for years inside the command structure and it’s barely changed in principle. The only reason there is a SACEUR who is American is because the US supplied the majority of the air and land power and it had nuclear weapons.
It’s land component is considerably

25.11.2025 06:59 β€” πŸ‘ 116    πŸ” 34    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 4

Why are we giving Putin the time of day? Why do we give Trumps fragile child ego the same? Is it really worth the price? We have to stop putting America on a pedestal. It fell off years ago. We must stand up for ourselves.

25.11.2025 06:20 β€” πŸ‘ 86    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

town, and in four years, when Stalin had routed the Nazi war machine all the way from Leningrad/Moscow/Stalingard to Hitlers bunker in Berlin, he hasn’t even managed the Donbas, almost 2.5% of the same distance. And as he keeps trying the economy is draining away into bankruptcy and collapse.

25.11.2025 06:20 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

have no place. The peace at Moscow’s price brigade are having to face the reality that nothing will ever satisfy Putin. He dressed up in military fatigues again and hears nothing but the fact his army is making small advances in some farmland, has destroyed more rubble in a now valueless Ukrainian

25.11.2025 06:20 β€” πŸ‘ 55    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

NEGOTIATION IS POINTLESS

28 points down to 19 points, none of which Moscow will accept. In Russia they know this and there’s plenty of blame that it’s Europe who have prevented an end to the war. That’s how Moscow and its supporters are framing it. And I say let them. The peace at any price brigade

25.11.2025 06:20 β€” πŸ‘ 102    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1

order since 1946. Let’s not start to think it’s been reversed since.
If we don’t have principles and adhere to them we have a problem. Act like the enemy, and you become the enemy.

25.11.2025 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 55    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

much to my and many others disquiet, orders have been carried out by service personnel when they should know better. Officers are taught, go through ethics training to ensure they know what they’re doing is wrong. Yet it’s happening.
β€˜I was only following orders’
has not been a defence to an illegal

25.11.2025 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Venezuela. Regardless of the regime there, these orders and their execution are widely considered illegal.
One senior commander already left over the issue and military lawyers have said repeatedly that they consider it illegal to carry out such attacks without just cause. The regime carries on and

25.11.2025 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hegseth is considering recalling the senator and former astronaut to the air force so that he can be courtmartialed for telling serving personnel to disobey illegal orders.
In recent weeks the Navy has carried out punitive strikes and killed without evidence some 20+ people on small
boats out of

25.11.2025 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

ETHICS: ILLEGAL ORDERS

One of the most disturbing elements of the Trump regime is the issue raised by Senator Mark Kelley. That he reminded military personnel and leaders what they are taught at their colleges and training grounds. You do not have to execute an illegal order.
As a reserve officer

25.11.2025 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Nearly at 32,000 this morning

25.11.2025 05:49 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I’ve seen it mentioned but until it happens it’s meaningless talk. Never believe anything until it’s real.

24.11.2025 22:15 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Belgium.
It doesn’t want to be sued by anyone for giving their money away. And several European states are afraid that many other countries will move out of the Eurobanking system if they feel their deposits are unsafe.

24.11.2025 22:10 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

a long standing ovation. There is no doubt where Sweden’s allegiance lies.
Slava Ukraine!

24.11.2025 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 86    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

no end to the wars of conquest.
He warned that we cannot simply look at aggression and pretend it doesn’t matter and move on.
It is he said, crucial for Europe to stand by its principles. Russia is a criminal state and we must not forget it. Do not close our eyes to what’s happening.
He received

24.11.2025 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 68    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

ZELENSKY SPOKE TO SWEDENS PARLIAMENT

His speech was largely about principles, the principles of democracy, the principles of defining the right of nations not to be invaded and their people harmed.
Putin he said wants to break the principle of territorial integrity and if that happens there will be

24.11.2025 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 110    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I do not know how these tech men and women live with themselves.

24.11.2025 18:28 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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