Meeting Of The Tribes

Given it's highly likely Cory Bernadi wins an upper house seat in SA, it's time for a guessing comp. How long do you think it will take before Bernardi quits One Nation and becomes an indi or micro party MP? I'm predicting 13 weeks max. He will also take a few others with him too.

How power works in Australia. Gambling does enormous damage to Australians and our economy. Banning gambling ads makes sense, but it would reduce the commercial media's bottom line. The ALP are so frightened of media power, the "terrible for the country" situation stays in place. Labor R gutless.

The Libs have a couple of options here. 1. Do a deal with ON and lose middle Australia completely (and potentially make ON the official opposition) or 2. Preference the ALP above ON and blow up their right wing base. It's like getting to choose the method of their execution.

The full throttle media cheerleading of Hanson is creating a bit of a problem. Her fans actually think they will win elections, and I'm tipping they won't accept losing well. They've already been red-pilled to blame voter fraud, immigrants, and preferences. This isn't ending well.

Here are some other legendary "difficult" women. Rosa Parks, Virginia Giuffre, Emmeline Pankhurst, Greta Thunberg, AOC, Susan B. Anthony, Kathrine Switzer. I wonder if Albo considers them difficult too.

The world needs more "difficult" women like Grace Tame who take on powerful people, and less difficult women like Hanson who shit on the vulnerable. #gracetame

The LNP has spent decades making rural voters angry, turning them into anti govt, anti immigrant, and anti renewable energy victims. These voters now think Hanson is the solution to their “woe is me” grievances. They’ve also pissed off moderate city based libs so no seat is safe now. Game over.

hand labor an enormous majority while seriously pissing off their ex-rabid base that has already migrated to One Nation. It really is a case of choosing the least horrendous option. There is a post-election option: form a new centre right party that believes in science and isn't racist AF #SAvotes

The Liberal Party have managed to put themselves in one hell of a tight spot. For the SA election, they have two options: preference ON ahead of Labor, lose official opposition status, and seriously piss off the voters they need to regain power or 2. Preference Labor ahead of One Nation and...

Part 2. The big winner from the LNP implosion could be the independents. A huge majority of those small L libs (especially people from a NESB) will be preferencing independents second, labor next, then the greens and then the racists last.

They've got big $$ and big media backing. Getting Hanson / Joyce on air is a ratings winner, but asking tough questions is career suicide for any journo. They've also hoovered up the idiot far right micro party vote. ON will get a very low preference flow so their 2PP popularity Is an illusion.

It's genuinely frightening how stupid One Nation supports are. Hanson's daughter makes a Facebook post saying her mum is fine and this is just another false AI generated story. This is followed by endless posts saying "Get well Pauline" and "The majors will stop at nothing to take out Pauline".

One hour until the greatest grudge match in Olympic history since the USSR / Hungary waterpolo bloodbath in 1956. Last time Canada played the USA in hockey there were 4 fights in the first 9 seconds of play. #glovesoffhockey #canadavUSA #elbowsup

Bookies are paying $1.01 for a SA Labor election victory and $67 for a One Nation win. Hanson's mob are already making excuses (immigrants can vote / rigged / make sure you vote using a pen etc). These cookers will have excuses in their back pocket on election night. You're going to lose. Own it.

Same shit but they've done a shovel re-brand.

I’m calling him Angus Hanson from now on.

If there was a new centrist party in Australia, like the old democrats, the libs would be polling in the single digits, and The Australia would still be telling readers how great they are.

You’d be hard pressed to find an ex polly with worse political judgement. He thought Deves was a great candidate too.

Winning back One Nation flippers by adopting Hanson's anti-immigrant talking points will guarantee a massive electoral defeat for the LNP. 51% of voters are either immigrants or children of immigrants. They can spot "One Nation lite" a mile off. Women voters are just one of his problems.

It never ceases to amaze me why the current libs take leadership advice from ex PMs and premiers who lead the LNP to devastating election losses. Why TF would anyone think people like Kennett and Abbott are worth listening to?

Or in the case of Taylor and Hastie, you don't need to scratch them at all.

I'm tipping a high percentage of the Lib preference flow won't go to One Nation. I'd suggest the conservative who haven't moved to One Nation by now, aren't going to preference the openly racist scumbags on election day.

Will the Lib and Nation Parties preference the independent ahead of One Nation? That's going to be interesting to watch.

What a day in Australian politics: The new opposition leader blows the racist dog whistle that hard it starts to sound like a One Nation foghorn, and the ALP blows another $4bil on the dumbest defence purchase in the country's history. #auspol

"If someone doesn’t subscribe to our core beliefs, the door must be shut." Well it didn't take long for Taylor to show his true colours (pale orange). Sure he may pull back a few voters from scum nation, but he'll lose more immigrant, first gen, and city votes in the process. Demographics matter.

Angus Taylor real is an idiot if he thinks this is an election winning agenda. He won’t out one nation, Hanson’s party but he will make the LNP uncompetitive in 80% of the country’s electorates.

The Libs problem is they think Tony Abbott's negative 3 word slogan campaign strategy will work again. Voters remember what a massive FU he was, and that campaign strategy was a once off. Labor would have to do something seriously corrupt / incompetent to lose govt to a tired negative rabble.

the voters are never happy about going back to the polls because of a quitter, and I have a gut feeling PHON will have a very low preference flow. Conservatives who haven't gone ON by now aren't going to jump aboard the SS Racism. No doubt Hanson will have a massive sook about majors picking on her

above an indi could result in another racist idiot in Canberra and really upset voters anywhere left of Adolf Hitler on the political spectrum. The betting markets have the Nats favourite at $1.87, Libs at $3.30, an indi at $5.50 and PHON at $7.50. The un-named indi is a good bet because

The Farrer by-election preferences are going to be fascinating. It's really hard to see the Libs in the top 2. They will preference the Nats candidate 2nd but the big question is, do the L & NP candidates go indi above PHON? Putting Indi above PHON will really piss their base off. Putting PHON