SIEPR

table showing how U.S. manufacturing output and productivity have declined since 1970.

New paper from SIEPR's Jared Bernstein @jaredb-econ.bsky.social and Daniel Posthumus delves into U.S. manufacturing's slide and what to do about it. Key insights: The 2000s China Shock tells only part of the story, and Trump tariffs will only make the underlying problem worse.

tinyurl.com/bbrmb28f

What’s next for Fannie and Freddie: SIEPR’s latest Policy Brief, from fmr NEC deputy director Daniel Hornung and Stanford econ PhD student Ben Sampson, looks at 3 potential reforms and introduces a framework for assessing their possible impacts on mortgage rates, homebuyers.

tinyurl.com/35mxsnrf

The future of the innovation economy Three experts spanning artificial intelligence and economics explore the implications of AI and how it could transform creativity, jobs, education, and public policy through the rapidly evolving “inno...

How could AI transform creativity, jobs, education and public policy? SIEPR's @nealemahoney.bsky.social and @susanathey.bsky.social, and @drfeifei.bsky.social, share their insights in this special episode of the Stanford Engineering's "Future of Everything" podcast. 👇

tinyurl.com/4wn3ekyz

Women and men almost always feel differently about the economy, SIEPR's @nealemahoney.bsky.social and Ryan Cummings @weakinstrument.bsky.social find in a new analysis of University of Michigan consumer sentiment data. 👇

How does Clarivate pick its potential Nobel prize winners? Chemistry World talks to the head of research analysis at the Institute for Science Information on how they decide which researchers are producing Nobel-worthy research

www.chemistryworld.com/news/how-doe...

Please join us in celebrating Nick Bloom on his Clarivate Citation Laureate recognition for his work measuring economic uncertainty! Bloom joins a distinguished list of Stanford economists who have previously been honored, including Nobel Laureates Paul Milgrom, Robert Wilson & Paul Romer. Link ⬇️

3/3 Policy recommendations include rolling back tariffs, cutting bureaucratic red tape, subsidizing child care, and promoting competition in health care, food production and other key industries. #affordability #inflation #costofliving #housing #healthcare #energy #econsky

2/3 Their framework is built on basic economic principles of enhanced supply, direct subsidies, and competition policy.

🧵 The affordability squeeze in this country is real. In a new SIEPR Policy Brief, @jaredb-econ.bsky.social and @nealemahoney.bsky.social introduce a 3-legged framework for addressing the problem of rising costs for basic necessities, from health care to housing. tinyurl.com/f5hb93u5

Lots of ideas in this proposed research agenda for economists thinking about the effects of #AI on the #economy, including implications for #innovation and #geoeconomics. Courtesy of
@erikbryn.bsky.social, @akorinek.bsky.social and Ajay Agrawal.
tinyurl.com/ycxjx4ah

This is startling. The number of deaths every year tied to wildfire smoke now outnumber traffic fatalities, according to @washingtonpost.com coverage of a new @nature.com study from @marshallburke.bsky.social and others.

An extraordinary new tool from @marshallburke.bsky.social, SIEPR senior fellow @stanforddoerr.bsky.social, and Andrew Wilson. If you've got the evidence they're looking for, they want to hear from you. 👇

A contracting population need not be a catastrophe The economics of a shrinking world

This just in: @economist.com cites research by SIEPR's Chad Jones and @nickbloom.bsky.social in examining if a shrinking world really would be catastrophic and whether #AI could help with one possible downside: fewer new ideas. #innovation #globalpopulation. Gift link: tinyurl.com/3de7bf5x

📣 Applications open for the 2026 SIEPR Predoctoral Research Fellows Program. This is a great opportunity for college grads to learn how the economy works and explore careers in economic policy research. Deadline is Sept. 19 for a guaranteed full application review. Learn more: tinyurl.com/2p8x9nta

Guido Imbens: A Causal Pioneer Gary Seidman profiles Stanford economist Guido Imbens, who is reshaping how researchers establish cause and effect in the real world

Don't miss this terrific profile of Guido Imbens, SIEPR senior fellow and 2021 Nobel Prize winner, in the September issue of the IMF's Finance & Development Magazine. tinyurl.com/bde7d3dj

Key insight from SIEPR director @nealemahoney.bsky.social and Caleb Brobst, a SIEPR predoctoral fellow:

Great example of how AI is advancing economics research, from SIEPR Senior Fellow @jacksonmatthewo.bsky.social:

(5/5) “It sort of saddens me,” Mahoney tells the WSJ. “I think one of our superpowers as a country is our relentless optimism…It is the fuel for entrepreneurship and other exceptional achievements.”

Digesting inflation The impact of inflation on consumer sentiment decays at a rate of about 50 percent per year

(4/5) Mahoney and Cummings first explored the mismatch between opinions about the economy and the data here: tinyurl.com/3kx3vh4a

Trouble Ahead vs Trouble Behind Understanding the consumer sentiment gap now and then

(3/5) The story also references Mahoney's insights into how #consumersentiment is now driven by fears about the future: tinyurl.com/ba7bx6yn

What People Don't Know About The Economy

(2/5) The story cites Mahoney's research with SIEPR's Ryan Cummings @weakinstrument.bsky.social and Ben Harris of @brookings.edu on how Americans’ views on the #economy versus what the data show have diverged since the #Covid19 pandemic: tinyurl.com/333f777d

Exclusive | Americans Lose Faith That Hard Work Leads to Economic Gains, WSJ-NORC Poll Finds Trump is contending with a disconnect between the nation’s sour outlook and traditional measures showing a robust economy.

🧵 Is the American dream a mirage? Shocking new @wsj.com poll finds that 70 percent of Americans now think so. In exploring this and other findings, the WSJ begins with a quote from SIEPR director @nealemahoney.bsky.social, lamenting the loss of Americans' "relentless optimism."

tinyurl.com/mryzy2ny

This just in from SIEPR director @nealemahoney.bsky.social and Adam Shaw: New #tariffs on small shipments, set to take effect Aug. 29, are a terrible idea for a lot of reasons. 👇

Some warning signs in this timely look at the country's No. 1 job engine, from SIEPR director @nealemahoney.bsky.social and Caleb Brobst, SIEPR predoctoral research fellow. #EconSky #LaborMarket

As China tries to lock down control over global supplies of rare-earth minerals and other critical resources amid its trade war with the U.S., @economist.com speaks to SIEPR Senior Fellow @mmaggiori.bsky.social about the challenges of wielding geoeconomic power.

One key takeaway: Let payments of the TFFF fund be forest-linked loans and that’ll lead to more forests conserved at lower costs.
@stanforddoerr.bsky.social
#econsky

Deforestation in the tropics will be a key issue at the upcoming @UN.org climate conference ‪@cop30brazil.bsky.social‬. In our latest policy brief, SIEPR Senior Fellow @bardharstad.bsky.social outlines ways to strengthen a proposed global fund designed to help finance conservation. ⤵️
bit.ly/4ouaEyB

People can no longer pay for basics like a home, health care and groceries. @jaredb-econ.bsky.social and SIEPR director @nealemahoney.bsky.social explain why there's an affordability crisis and what can be done about it: tinyurl.com/4hs3dmxj

#Housing #AbundanceAgenda #BuildMore

#Retirement
#Financial planning
@kaine.senate.gov

In our latest policy brief, Andrew Biggs and John Shoven of SIEPR make the case for 2 steps that could go a long way toward solving the looming crisis.
bit.ly/3HinGhJ