PSA Political Psychology Specialist Group

There's still time to register - looking forward to seeing you around!

Our autumn seminar series continues tomorrow at midday, with
@klaramueller.bsky.social presenting important insights into causal inference in political psychology research.

Register to attend: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...

After a great first session today, our @psapolpsychology.bsky.social autumn seminar series continues next week with what promises to be a fascinating talk by @klaramueller.bsky.social!

Sign up here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...

*TODAY - PSA EVENT * #Political #Psychology Seminar Series - The Bright and Dark Sides: Personality Traits & Party Members’ Campaign Activity, with Stavroula Chrona, Paul Webb and @timbale.bsky.social, organised by @psapolpsychology.bsky.social
📆 16 Oct, 12 - 1pm, Online
➡️https://buff.ly/RqDKzgh

This looks 🤩 - don’t miss it!👀👇

👇Find out more about the #Political #Psychology Autumn seminar series 👇taking place online 12.00 - 13.00 on
📆16 Oct 📆23 Oct 📆13 Nov 📆4 Dec

Come along to the first session of our autumn seminar series, online tomorrow at midday!

Register to attend: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/a6e76a...

More info on the whole series:
www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

Our autumn online seminar series gets started in two days' time, with a fascinating presentation on the personalities of UK party members - work co-authored by Stavroula Chrona, @timbale.bsky.social and Paul Webb.

For more info, and to register: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g....

Our autumn seminar series starts next Thursday 16th October at 12:00!

Stavroula Chrona (profiles.sussex.ac.uk/p226073-stav...) will give a fascinating presentation on the personality traits of UK political party members.

More info on the series and sign-up links here: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

Following the success of our spring seminar series earlier this year, we @psapolpsychology.bsky.social are running an autumn/winter series, with four online presentations by great scholars.

Please do register and come along to hear about some really fascinating research!

Another chance to see me profess my love (and the limits) of charts to change minds. Thanks @psapolpsychology.bsky.social for hosting! And check out the whole autumn series which looks excellent.

Honoured to be part of the @psapolpsychology.bsky.social seminar and to present some *still-steaming* findings. See you there (registration link below), looking forward to a great discussion!

And don't miss the other fascinating talks in the autumn seminar series! ➡️ www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

Finally, three weeks later on Thursday 4th December at 12:00, @williamlallen.bsky.social rounds out the series by presenting important insights into the partisan attitudinal effects of data visualisation of refugee numbers.

Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/c939c6...

Third, three weeks later on Thursday 13th November at 12:00, @stefaniereher.bsky.social will present important work (with @robjohns75.bsky.social and @lbernardi.bsky.social) on public perceptions of politicians with mental health problems.

Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/e51a98...

Second, one week later on Thursday 23rd October at 12:00, @klaramueller.bsky.social will speak on major methodological developments in event-based causal inference in political psychology and behaviour research.

Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...

First up, on Thursday 16th October at 12:00, Stavroula Chrona (profiles.sussex.ac.uk/p226073-stav...) will present fascinating new work (with @timbale.bsky.social and Paul Webb) on the psychology and personality of political party members.

Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/a6e76a...

Political Psychology | The Political Studies Association (PSA) Political Psychology is a multi-disciplinary group established to provide a forum for collaboration, discussion and support for political psychology scholars and practitioners as well as to facilitate...

This time in two weeks, we will launch our autumn/winter seminar series. We have an exciting line-up of four online talks covering a range of topics in political psychology.

All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.

Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

Dr Francesco Rigoli | City St George's, University of London Dr Francesco Rigoli, Reader, is an academic at the School of Health and Psychological Sciences of City, University of London.

The final session of our online spring seminar series is today at 12:00 (UK)! Francesco Rigoli (www.citystgeorges.ac.uk/about/people...) is presenting fascinating and important work on global ideological extremism and polarisation.

Register to attend here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/4d8e13...

We're getting closer to the registration deadline @qmip.bsky.social conference!

If you like political psychology, you'll be pleased to know @kesimahendranprof.bsky.social is a keynote speaker!

www.bps.org.uk/event/qualit...

@psapolpsychology.bsky.social @bps-social-psych.bsky.social

Join us at midday tomorrow for the last presentation of our spring seminar series, by Francesco Rigoli!

www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

This time next week, come along to the final session of our spring seminar series!

Francesco Rigoli (www.citystgeorges.ac.uk/about/people...) will be presenting on global ideological extremism and polarisation.

Just get in touch with us (the easiest way is to send an email to @mbarnfield.bsky.social) and we will happily extend the series to accommodate you in an extra session.

Following Ralph's excellent talk today, our current spring seminar series lineup concludes in three weeks' time with a talk by Francesco Rigoli (www.citystgeorges.ac.uk/about/people...) on global ideological extremism.

But if you would like to present in one of our seminars, you can still do so!

Tune in during your lunch break!

Looking forward to @ralphscott.bsky.social's talk, which kicks off in half an hour! Come along: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/3ab643...

Tomorrow at 12:00 (UK)!

Don't miss @ralphscott.bsky.social's online talk on education-based social identity, in the penultimate session of our spring seminar series.

Register here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/3ab643...

Out now and open access with my wonderful colleagues! How much does wishful thinking affect who people expect to be governing parties before and after elections? 🧵

The Effects of Forecasts on the Accuracy and Precision of Expectations Abstract. Quantitative forecasts have become increasingly prominent as tools for aiding public understanding of sociopolitical trends. But how much, and wh

Out now at @poqjournal.bsky.social! Do election forecasts set realistic election expectations? doi.org/10.1093/poq/... 🧵 (w/ @mbarnfield.bsky.social, @florianstoeckel.bsky.social, @benlyons.bsky.social, @vittoriomerola.bsky.social, @jasonreifler.bsky.social and other awesome BlueSky-less colleagues)

Title page. Title: Wishful thinking in response to events: Evidence from the 2021 German federal election. Abstract: When making uncertain judgments about the political future, people consistently see desired outcomes as more likely. But when major events reduce uncertainty about what is possible in the future, how do people's expectations respond? In a panel study conducted during the 2021 German federal election, we find that citizens' predictions of likely coalitions converge after the election takes place, but even after this convergence those expectations remain marked by significant partisan gaps. The election result substantially reduces uncertainty about coalition formation—decreasing, but far from eliminating, differences in expectations between groups with different preferences. Our findings provide a clear case of static wishful thinking (contemporaneous association between preferences and expectations) without dynamic wishful thinking (divergence over time in expectations in line with preferences), suggesting that citizens' expectations of the future, regardless of their prior commitments, respond accordingly to events, but wishful thinking persists even in contexts of dramatically reduced uncertainty.

Plot visualising three ways expectations might change in response to events: divergence, convergence, or parallelism.

Plot showing how expectations that different parties would enter into the governing coalition changed from before to after the 2021 German federal election.

Our paper "Wishful Thinking in Response to Events" is now out @electoralstudies.bsky.social!

w/ @polpsychjoe.bsky.social @florianstoeckel.bsky.social @vittoriomerola.bsky.social @benlyons.bsky.social @jasonreifler.bsky.social et al

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Next week, in the penultimate online seminar of our spring series, @ralphscott.bsky.social will be discussing new work on education-based social identity. Wednesday 14th May at 12:00 UK!

Register to attend here:

events.teams.microsoft.com/event/3ab643...