xenobladeenjoyer

That would basically guarantee a Jones win against Miyares lol. Spanberger would win by like 20 and get him over the finish line.

Don't forget Hegseth and Vought.

Trump mocked a disabled reporter on live TV in 2016 and still won, so good on Kaine for not folding.

This doesn't indicate that much ticket splitting tbh. No Republican can make it past the low 40s. For Miyares to win, he would either have to get Dems to leave the AG race blank or get them to vote for him.

Republicans still can't get past the low 40s. That's not good for them, especially Miyares.

This is around the time in 2021 when Biden's approval began to fall off a cliff and Youngkin was neck and neck with McCauliffe in many polls. I think you're forgetting the environment back then.

Alright, that explains a lot. Thanks for posting this.

I wonder if Trump would like her more if she was white. That's my thing about this election, I just don't see a Black woman turning out the Republican base.

I just have a very hard time believing that Dem voters will either refuse to vote for Jones or vote for Miyares. The president of the United States literally attempted a coup and still won the popular vote. Yesterday, he said Dems are "gnats" and suggested they should be targeted.

I'm glad this scandal came out at the beginning of the month because knows what will happen by the end of October. Talk of the Kirk shooting fell off a cliff by the end of September.

This is a massive overcorrection. Jones would have to underperform Spanberger by high single digits to low double digits to lose, depending on how much she wins by. I'd wait for actual high-quality polling.

At this point, Jones will most likely underperform Spanberger & Hashmi but the level of ticket splitting would have to be insane for him to outright lose to Miyares. Especially since he's probably already racked up a lot of votes from early voting.

I typed my previous comment thinking you were talking about Jones' reckless driving conviction, not his texts. I still think Reid's Nazi porn scandal is just as morally reprehensible. I also think that voters will not care about either of them since who knows what bad shit Trump will do by November.

To be clear, I'm not saying what Jones did isn't horrible. I'm just saying that there is a massive double standard by the media when a Republican says something reprehensible vs. a Democrat doing the same thing.

The selective outrage to this is insane. Republicans are never forced to disavow their violent rhetoric.

Republicans talk like that literally all the time, what do you mean lol.

Reid's scandal is 1,000 times worse than what Jones did.

All three of those unions have Black presidents?

There's just no reason for Republican donors to spend money on a campaign that's guaranteed to lose. I don't even think more money would help Sears because all of her ads are just about trans people and not the economy or federal job losses.

Who the fuck is Charles?

Why are they polling a candidate who isn't even on the ballot?