One of the major shadow fleet insurance companies, New Zealand based Maritime Mutual, has been sanctioned by UK
At their peak they insured 1 in 6 shadow tankers.
www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-...
www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-...
@probabilitynpower.bsky.social
Think tanker. Senior Fellow at IISS.
One of the major shadow fleet insurance companies, New Zealand based Maritime Mutual, has been sanctioned by UK
At their peak they insured 1 in 6 shadow tankers.
www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-...
www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-...
๐จ Deep dive into the ongoing shadowing of the Russian vessel #SpartaIV.
From "mysterious" stops near Sardinia to electronic warfare (GNSS jamming) off the coast of Portugal.
Read the full technical report here:
๐ seawarning.blogspot.com/2026/02/inte...
#OSINT #MaritimeSecurity #NATO #Portugal
Irish Defence Minister says Ireland considering boarding and inspecting Russian Shadow Fleet ships jrnl.ie/6957232
Fair to say an escalation in how Ireland is posturing around the sanctioned ships.
Speaking at the Munich Security Conference, the EU's top diplomatic official Belรฉn Martinez Carbonell warned that Russia's shadow fleet is now one of the most direct maritime security threats facing Europe. #MSC2026
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/eu-official-...
The Swedish Maritime Administration have decided to install radar beacons in ten locations in order to decrease dependency on GPS navigation. www.praktisktbatagande.se/batnytt/dess...
15.02.2026 07:31 โ ๐ 68 ๐ 24 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 3Shadow tanker BORACAY had two Russian "technicians" on board as her voyage past Denmark coincided with multiple drone sightings
CNN now shows how at least one of the technicians is actually a mercenary and many other tankers are crewed by mercs. As reported by DK pilots earlier
A Wargame Shows Just How Vulnerable Europe Is to a Russian Attack Deterrence depends not only on capabilities, but on political will. โGermany will hesitate. And this was enough to win,โ said Franz-Stefan Gady, a Vienna-based military analyst who played the Russian chief of general staff.โ
05.02.2026 11:57 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0โFive, ten incidents like that, it starts to have a more strategic effect,โ he addedโฆ โSometimes I think they just want to keep us engaged and busy, investigating all these various operations of very minor significance, when the really big things are happening behind our backs.โ
02.02.2026 20:04 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0A Liberia flagged freighter turned up in Denmark to pick up a new anchor.
The weeks before she was driving back and forth over an area of Baltic Sea particularly dense with comm cables and pipelines with a pit stop in Ust-Luga, Russia.
Hope someone, eg a cop, found out where the old one is.
Spy cameras on Norwegian gas plant:
Cameras that monitored Melkรธya discovered
The police in Finnmark have discovered two advanced cameras that continuously filmed the gas plant on Melkรธya in the municipality of Hammerfest.
#NATO #RAF #SAF selection of nato aircraft seen on the flight radar operating over and around the baltic sea and states - swedish / 2x RAF ISR assets, USAF tanker visible. #SVF680 #4A81F8 #AE04FD #RRR7228 #43C91D #BalticSea
28.01.2026 12:56 โ ๐ 7 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Baltic Sea coastal states + UK released an open letter damning Russia's GPS-jamming and clarifying that normal rules for shipping also applies to the shadow fleet.
Interpreted* as "Baltic Sea closes for shadow fleet".
Cautiously optimistic I note ~60 sanctioned tanker active.
Dozens of tankers carrying Russian oil are stuck at sea after Indian refineries refused to buy the cargoes, Bloomberg reported. About 60 million barrels have accumulated on ships since August, with no unloading in sight. #Russia
28.01.2026 09:20 โ ๐ 347 ๐ 69 ๐ฌ 7 ๐ 2โA Russian flag will make the shadow fleet less shadowy and more strategic. The Kremlin may dispatch submarines and fighter jets to protect some ships. This will make it harder for Western forces to intervene.โ
economist.com/finance-and-...
"...Russia is willing to absorb higher attrition rates on cruise missiles if the payoff is significant: disabling manoeuvring generation far from the front, disrupting power routing from nuclear plants, and forcing Ukraine into nationwide load-shedding." rochan-consulting.com/russian-stri...
27.01.2026 09:11 โ ๐ 67 ๐ 23 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0Polandโs energy infrastructure was targeted in a cyberattack now assessed as Russia-linked, involving an APT Sandworm. If the operation had succeeded, it could have caused major operational disruption, potentially a limited blackout. www.welivesecurity.com/en/eset-rese...
24.01.2026 07:05 โ ๐ 19 ๐ 20 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0Sweden, Finland Propose Strict Ban on Services for Russia-Linked Tankers
maritime-executive.com/article/swed...
Poland suffered a major cyberattack on its power grid at the end of December and "came very close to a blackoutโ, the government has revealed.
โEverything points to Russian sabotage," says the digital affairs minister.
"Denmark has sent an advance military command to Greenland as preparations are made to deploy larger forces to the Arctic territory...The advance command is tasked with preparing for the arrival of additional units" cphpost.dk/2026-01-14/n...
14.01.2026 12:15 โ ๐ 224 ๐ 66 ๐ฌ 11 ๐ 14Finland can now reintroduce anti-personnel landmines.
10.01.2026 07:50 โ ๐ 33 ๐ 15 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 14โRussia has brought war back to Europe, and we must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents or great-grandparents endured.โ A stark message from NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in Berlin.
A must read speech www.nato.int/en/news-and-...
Two explosions targeted a railway line that connects Poland and Ukraine. Prime Minister Tusk is calling these attacks โan unprecedented act of sabotage aimed at the security of the Polish state and its citizens.โ
www.reuters.com/world/explos...
'Closer analysis of the photo reveals two new radomes on the Yantar. The question is: what was this Russian spy ship doing with those new domes in the Dutch EEZ?'
07.11.2025 21:57 โ ๐ 34 ๐ 19 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 1Brussels Zaventem Airport was temporarily closed this evening after a report of a drone in its airspace. The drone sighting, which occurred shortly before 8 p.m., prompted the suspension of all incoming and departing flights. All incoming flights were diverted to Liรจge.
04.11.2025 20:30 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0๐๐ฉ๐ช๐ฐ๏ธ
โGermany's defence minister has warned that his country's satellites are being shadowed by Russian satellites.
Boris Pistorius cited concerns over two ๐ท๐บ Luch/Olymp satellites shadowing Intelsat satellites used by German forces and others.โ
German Chancellor Merz says Russiaโs violations of NATO airspace in Poland and Romania are part of Putinโs long-term strategy of border testing and sabotage. He stressed that peace in Ukraine cannot come at the expense of sovereignty, warning a dictated peace would only embolden Moscow.
17.09.2025 08:54 โ ๐ 329 ๐ 41 ๐ฌ 7 ๐ 2The Russian fishing vessel which experienced machine failure in Denmark this weekend crossed three different undersea cables while drifting. It stopped close to undersea gas infrastructure and close by Danish military intelligence hq and CPH Airport. Experts suspect spying.
In Danish.
As Sabotage in Europe Mounts, So Do Calls to Retaliate Against Russia www.nytimes.com/2025/09/13/w...
13.09.2025 18:31 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0I wrote this week on a new IISS report tracking suspected Russian sabotage in Europe. It shows a quadrupling in incidents between 2023 & 2024, as well as a more recent lull. That could indicate a change in Russia's calculusโor just a temporary pause.
www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
So far, 32 people have been arrested in Poland for allegedly collaborating with Russia in acts of sabotage, according to PAP Polska Agencja Prasowa.
One Colombian national has already been sentenced (link) the others, including Belarusian and Russian citizens, remain in pre-trial detention.