Ming :3

That said, I think the way Polymarket is running their socials is sensationalist and wrong. And the ethics of gambling are a totally different matter. But functionally, prediction markets are incredibly effective tools for prediction, seriously! The math and economics check out.

Indeed, if you look at what past resolutions were, you find that e.g. very close to 9/10 markets that were at 90% probability did in fact occur, this is called calibration and they track their stats publicly. They have a very low Brier score, which beats any given individual expert.

Hey so you are correct this would be crazy! Thankfully this isn't quite how it works. It's not based on the percentage of people who bet, it's weighted by money. This creates financial incentive to get the number as accurate as possible. A given foolish gambler's bet will be corrected by others.

i dont listen to daft punk and i logged onto this site for the first time in weeks specifically to see ur reaction bc I saw that thomas was doing a live set

nape mango jumpscare

@jappa.bsky.social ‪yo hows it going japphog

seme a? mi sona ala a e kon sina

a! mi wile e soweli suwi pi toki pona lon tomo mi a!

トキポナで話しかけていただいたり、嬉しかったです！ また彼らで何か描けたらと思います😊
mi pilin pona tan ni: sina lukin e sitelen mi. mi wile sitelen e toki sitelen sin!
#tokipona

sitelen sina li suwi mute a! jan li kama pali e musi pi toki pona la, jan ale pi toki pona li pilin pona!

musi mute a!!

sitelen lape mi la jan Sonja li toki e ni: "nimi pakala li ike tawa toki Pisin. mi ante e ona. ni la jan ale o toki e nimi palala"
mi pilin ike mute a. mi wile ala ante!!

I see. But you're saying below a certain level of fluency it's worth considering not calling them speakers, right? How is that different than saying below a certain level of fluency it's worth considering not calling them fluent speakers?

Wait pan isn't cognate with the romance words for bread?? plot twist of the century

feeling a bit confused reading this, I would have summarized your position expressed previously as "fluency is an arbitrary metric so we shouldn't care about how the term is used at all" whereas this sounds like "fluency is important and we should try to avoid misusing the term"

toki a, mi ala kama sona e toki pona. taso mi sona ala e ni: ilo pi kulupu Elepenlapu li pona tawa toki pona anu seme? mi o kama sona.

elevenlabs has a new free (for now) speech to text service! if you set language to "detect", it can transcribe toki pona! it even nailed my tokiponization of elevenlabs. really cool that emergent knowledge of toki pona happened here! also it detected it as "Esperanto" the second time, lol

toki ni la nimi "は" li sama nimi "la"... ni li musi tawa mi

"n. n. a. mi sona. n. pona"

lon la mi wile e wan taso. mi wile toki lon kulupu pi toki pona sama ni:
1. jan pi mute lili li lon
2. toki mute li lon
3. tenpo pi jan mute li sama mi (tenpo mi li sike suno 21)
4. jan li pilin ante lon ijo suli la ona li pilin ike ala li toki sona
sina sona e kulupu pona tawa ni la o pona e mi a 🙏

sina pali e lipu pu sin anu seme?

Interesting that DeepSeek understood "la" so well. Maybe because it has so much Chinese data from across the great firewall? I don't know Chinese, but it seems like it has a common "topic-comment" sentence structure analogous to "la", and it doesn't even require a grammatical particle inbetween.

one time I put chocolate milk syrup in cream of wheat and it was fire, this sounds much more sophisticated though

Sure but if there's more words to pick from you get to utilize subtle associations implicitly. You could call a tightly occupied room a can of sardines, a barren and imposing room a jail cell, etc.

mi sama

nimi Inli mute li sama nimi Nijon. nimi Inli mute li sama ala nimi Nijon. nimi ante li wile e nasin ante

epiku, kokosila, oko. kijetesantakalu is cute and silly but it bothers me a bit because it blurs the lines of a joke. like, imagine if Pingo was used frequently, kind of as a joke, but to the point where you also practically never saw tomo/ilo tawa (or similar)

oh yeah then fair! It's definitely more fun to use a variety of words when possible

if I say "kon nasa li moli ala e jan", how would you agree? to me "lon" here means "yes, your words describe something real". I'm not sure there's always another word that unambiguously expresses agreement to certain complex propositions

hey, you're a quick learner! this is all grammatically correct (though you might have wanted to say "ni li pana e sona mute tawa mi", but what you said also works, technically!)

wawa a!