Viktoria Allert

"I now consider it more like a 50-50, whether we cross that critical tipping point that sends the AMOC into a downward spiral this century."

@rahmstorf.bsky.social

Listen now: overshootpod.com

Das 🇩🇪-Ticket wird bald für 14 Mio. Menschen teurer. Doch anstatt Bahntickets, verbilligt die Bundesregierung jetzt ernsthaft für 350 Mio. €/Jahr Flugtickets. Diese Regierung ist sozialpolitisch eine absolute Zumutung & klimapolitisch ein Totalausfall. Wie kann man nur so schiefe Prioritäten haben?

Climate reporting deluged by high carbon adverts Newspapers in Britain carried more adverts for polluting travel than reports of the last climate conference.

"Without action, the signal from scientists will be drowned out in the marketing noise from oil companies"

In Deutschland hängt der Bildungserfolg wie in kaum einem anderen OECD-Land von der sozialen Herkunft ab.

Schulleistungsstudien und Bildungsberichte zeigen es immer wieder aufs Neue: Das Einkommen und der Bildungshintergrund der Eltern entscheiden wesentlich mit, welche Schule ein Kind besucht, wie gut es lernen kann und welchen Weg es nach der Schule einschlägt.

Local citizen assemblies to overcome resistance to the mobility transition? Analyzing discourses in a municipality in rural Germany Policy changes in the mobility transition will only be possible with sufficient public support for shifting mobility cultures and the necessary lifest…

"Public discourses of delaying climate action manifest in local debates and are referenced by citizens to criticize proposed changes to the mobility system"

German study asks whether asking public (who mostly drive) about changing transport policy really works www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Opinion piece in @szde.bsky.social on why the 20-point-plan, like earlier initiatives, denies Palestinians basic human rights, including self determination, and how States like Germany are, and have been, untrustworthy actors in the question of Palestine.

www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/pala...

This is an excellent point that generalizes.
Researchers often defend suboptimal practices by referring to future studies with better designs.

But: Why would anybody run those studies when you can just throw a bunch of variables into a regression and make sweeping "preliminary" claims?

An entire segment of the population is being repeatedly told that ’illegal immigration‘ - which is in fact barely 5% of immigration - is the dominant problem in this country. This is a media-driven phenomenon.

'When someone says we can’t miss the boat, I ask: where is the boat going? What exactly will this technology improve? That’s rarely discussed. Since when did [universities] become Big Tech's free PR department?'
— Nicky Dries, Future of Work Lab at the Catholic University of Leuven

AI-generated ‘participants’ can lead social science experiments astray, study finds Data produced by “silicon samples” depends on researchers’ exact choice of models, prompts, and settings

A lot of psych is already conducted with online convenience samples & ppl are probably excited about silicon samples bc it would allow them to crank out more studies for even less 💸

How about we reconsider the idea that sciencey science involves collecting own data.
www.science.org/content/arti...

Greta Thunberg: “They kicked me every time the flag touched my face” – Greta Thunberg on her days in Israeli captivity Beating, kicking, and threats of being gassed in cages. Greta Thunberg and several others from the flotilla ar

www.aftonbladet.se/nyheter/a/25...

Ironically, as Paul Stern argued, insisting on only system change can itself become a discourse of delay. When system change is treated as the only legitimate form of action, it risks sidelining the solutions that could reduce emissions right now.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Bild einer trostlosen deutschen Fußgängerzone

Ich hab auch ein Problem mit dem Stadtbild in Deutschland, aber was das mit Migration zu tun hat, ist mir nicht klar

it's ok

Israel accused of detaining Greta Thunberg in infested cell and making her hold flags Activist tells Swedish officials she has been subjected to harsh treatment, including insufficient food and water

“They dragged little Greta [Thunberg] by her hair before our eyes, beat her, and forced her to kiss the Israeli flag. They did everything imaginable to her, as a warning to others”

According to another observer, she was “wrapped in the Israeli flag and paraded like a trophy”

Israeli Defense Minister Katz: "Those who remain in Gaza City will be terrorists and terror supporters."

In other words, Israel declares its intention to exterminate everyone in Gaza City who could not move south.

That is what calling everyone 'terrorists and terror supporters' means.

In "Scientists must act on our own warnings to humanity", dr Gardner and dr Wordley argue that scientists should join civil disobedience movements to fight the climate and ecological crises. - Nature Ecology and Evolution, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-0979-y. "Under current business as usual pathways, global heating will cause a temperature increase of 2-4.9°C by 2100 (...), and a simultaneous ecological crisis threatens the extinction of a million species over the next few decades (...). We face the complete loss of sea ice, tropical rainforests, and coral reefs, and will suffer heatwaves, droughts, and storms that may render much of the planet uninhabitable and cause devastating human suffering and conflict. Scientists have worked hard to communicate the severity of these crises – to each other through peer-reviewed publications, but also to policymakers and the wider public. On two occasions we have collectively issued stark ‘warnings to humanity’; in 1992 when the Union of Concerned Scientists warned that “a great change in our stewardship of the earth and the life on it is required, if vast human misery is to be avoided and our global home on this planet is not to be irretrievably mutilated” (...). Beyond our day jobs, many scientists have also tried to influence policy through available political and economic channels – we have voted in elections, written letters and emails, donated to advocacy groups, and marched in the streets. Many of us have also tried to reduce our personal use of the Earth’s resources. However, none of these efforts have worked at the necessary scale. It is time for a new approach. (...) ‘Acceptable’ forms of influence are not working, and we are running out of time – people in countries such as India and Mozambique are already suffering from climate breakdown. The scientists who alerted the world to the climate and ecological crises have a moral duty to join the popular movements demanding political action."

"The scientists who alerted the world to the climate and
ecological crises have a moral duty to join the popular movements demanding political action."

Call by @charliejgardner.bsky.social and Claire Wordley in @natecoevo.nature.com, 2019.
scientistswarning.forestry.oregonstate.edu/sites/defaul...

While a vast majority of diplomats walk out before Netanyahu's speech at the UN making him speak in front of an almost empty room, the Israeli military forces Palestinians in Gaza to listen to it by bringing massive loudspeakers and blasting the sound into Gaza.

Ein Flyer mit diversen gezeichneten Frauen, darauf steht: SPASS AUF DER WIESN, ABER SICHER! TIPPS FÜR MÄDCHEN* UND FRAUEN*

Und wo ist der Flyer, der Männer auffordert sich nicht wie übergriffige Arschlöcher zu verhalten?

Geplante Groß-Demo "All Eyes on Gaza" in Berlin – "Wir müssen für die Menschenrechte zusammenstehen" In Berlin ist eine Groß-Demonstration zum Gaza-Krieg geplant. Der Violinist und Mitorganisator Michael Barenboim hat die Veranstaltung verteidigt und das Vorgehen Israels in dem von Palästinensern bew...

I feel like a broken record, but it's important to keep repeating this: Germany has the obligation to prevent and punish genocide.

Today, we go to the streets to demand this

www.swr.de/kultur/gesel...

Es ist an der Zivilgesellschaft, die mehrheitlich den Genozid ablehnt, unsere Regierung zur Einhaltung des humanitären Völkerrechts zu bewegen - insbesondere priviligierte Gesellschaftsschichten tragen hierfür Verantwortung. Wir sehen uns auf der Straße!

Leserbrief in der ZEIT: Heute mal wieder eine ZEIT gekauft und im Zug gelesen: Martensteins Polemik, in der er vor sich hin weint, dass die Sozialschmarotzer einem hart arbeitenden Mann wie ihm per Erbschaftsteuer ein Menschenrecht nehmen wollen, ist in ihrer Ignoranz nicht zu ertragen. Er scheint sich im Thema überhaupt nicht auszukennen, keift aber einfach mal grob in die Richtung, wo er die Kommunisten vermutet, die ja bekanntlich kurz davor sind, Deutschland zu übernehmen. Dass es selbst in den progressivsten Entwürfen Freibeträge bis zu 700.000 Euro geben soll, die das bekannte »Oma Erna ihr klein Häuschen« quasi steuerfrei vererbbar lassen, oder dass selbst in der CDU immer mehr Stimmen laut werden, die über die großen Erbvermögen sprechen wollen – das scheint der ängstliche Martenstein nicht hören zu wollen. Oder er ist wirklich schon auf dem Weg in die Vergreisung, wo man es auch einfach nicht mehr schafft, den Debatten zu folgen. Dann sollte man aber auch keine Kolumnen in der ZEIT schreiben dürfen. Pierre Baigorry (Peter Fox), per E-Mail

Großartig: Niemand geringeres als Peter Fox (!) zerlegt Harald Martensteins Blödsinn über die Erbschaftssteuer in einem Leserbrief in der ZEIT.

Ob Pierre Baigorry alias Fox selbst mal über den Freibetrag kommen wird, wenn er sein Haus am See vererbt?

1.) that men’s private emotional thriving—as opposed to their material conditions—should be a matter addressed by public policy and 2.) both the blame for and responsibility to fix this supposed problem lies with women

Reminder that "not acting" shapes the future as much as "acting" does and that not choosing is a choice.

Vor 4 Jahren erschien übrigens mein Buch, „Amerikas Gotteskrieger“. Was gab es damals Empörung wegen des Titels (und Inhalts) - die Warnung vor christlichem Nationalismus & Theokratie (noch dazu von einer jungen Frau!) wurde als hysterisch abgetan. Jetzt titelt der Spiegel genau das: „Gotteskrieger“

A month ago, the famine in Gaza, deliberately created by the Israeli government, was officially confirmed by UN agencies. Since then, there has been an eerie silence in the media here, with far fewer reports than there were before. But it hasn't ended. On the contrary, it has intensified.

Look who came with

Francesca Albanese tonight at Wembley. ‘This cruelty did not start 700 days ago.’ ‘Britain planted the seeds of this catastrophe.’

Israel has committed genocide in Gaza, says UN inquiry Commission’s 72-page legal analysis cites examples including scale of killings, aid blockages and forced displacement

Another report, same conclusion. When will States intervene in accordance with their obligations?

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/s...

The rise of radical-right parties doesn’t begin with the “left behind.” It begins with those most insulated from stigma. In Spain, the better-off broke the taboo first, making it easier for others to follow.

📄 Full paper here: osf.io/preprints/so...

Feedback is more than welcome! 🙏