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Pascal

@pascallth.bsky.social

Political analyst Right makes might Substack: https://pascallth.substack.com/

2,967 Followers  |  304 Following  |  4,059 Posts  |  Joined: 07.10.2023  |  2.2043

Latest posts by pascallth.bsky.social on Bluesky


To be fair, Macron also looks more like Biden or Hollande

28.02.2026 14:47 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So much vital equipment that was withheld from Ukraine's war of survival so that the US could use it on this war of choice

28.02.2026 11:48 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

BREAKING: President Trump confirms that the US has launched β€˜major combat operations’ against Iran, arguing that Iran has been a threat to the US for β€˜47 years’.

28.02.2026 07:42 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 7

I mean look at the difference across policy, politics and media towards Ukrainians vs almost any other group seeking protection (Hong Kongers are an exception to this tendency admittedly)

27.02.2026 23:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Reminds me of the same idea in the Foundation books - miniature computers and communications devices but they're still separate

It's one of the interesting things with predictions of the future, how we can imagine better versions of what we have but still can get stuck on the form of things

27.02.2026 21:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Ukrainian pilots of the 28th Mechanized Brigade documented Russian phosphorus attacks on residential buildings in Kostyantynivka, immediately followed by a FAB-1500 strike. Official estimates show about 2000 civilians still in the city.

27.02.2026 09:39 β€” πŸ‘ 264    πŸ” 98    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 10

Beneath the headline results, looks like further evidence of bloc style voting in the UK

Movement more within the right and the left than between the two sides
bsky.app/profile/luke...

27.02.2026 06:05 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Initial thoughts:

β–ͺ️Not as close as expected, Greens ahead by a fair amount

β–ͺ️There is a strong anti-Reform vote

β–ͺ️That vote is going to parties that aren't Labour

β–ͺ️Tories still struggling to find a space

β–ͺ️Pivot to the right has hurt both Tories and Labour

27.02.2026 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Oxford St is much too crowded any time it's a holiday and there are tourists - pedestrianisation is a necessary public welfare measure for what is one of the UK's biggest attractions

26.02.2026 15:29 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Ukraine war to decide 'third pillar' of global order: Polish FM | Macau Business International, MNA | The war in Ukraine will decide whether Europe or Russia becomes the "third pillar" of a new global order, Poland's foreign minister Radoslaw Sikorski said on Thursday, two days

Polish FM Sikorski: what happens in Ukraine war will decide the "3rd pillar" of the global order

β€œThis war will determine which actor becomes the third pillar - alongside the US China - of the new global balance of power. Will it be Russia or the EU?”

26.02.2026 14:57 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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Her party is still down relative to the last elections, but it's unlikely the situation will improve if they continue to wait, so might as well make the most of the bounce over Greenland

26.02.2026 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Denmark to hold parliamentary election as Frederiksen bets on Greenland crisis boost Denmark will hold a parliamentary election on March 24, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen announced on Thursday, seeking to capitalise on a surge in support for her defiant stance against U.S. pressure...

Snap elections in Denmark - date set for 24 March
www.reuters.com/world/europe...

26.02.2026 12:34 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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On the surface, these numbers look good for Ukraine

But proportional to the size of the population, Ukraine's losses are higher

Russia can fight a war of attrition longer than Ukraine can, it's reserves of men are deeper

These numbers are therefore a warning - something needs to change

25.02.2026 18:21 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Either we need to find a way to *significantly* increase Russian casualties (with what equipment? What production?)

Or we have to change our approach and get out of a war of attrition

25.02.2026 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On the surface, these numbers look good for Ukraine

But proportional to the size of the population, Ukraine's losses are higher

Russia can fight a war of attrition longer than Ukraine can, it's reserves of men are deeper

These numbers are therefore a warning - something needs to change

25.02.2026 18:21 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
25.02.2026 17:56 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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1st Ukrainian drone factory starts production in UK, Zaluzhnyi says Valerii Zaluzhnyi said the launch of Ukrainian drone company Ukrspecsystems' production in the U.K. has "a deep strategic logic" for integration into the British defense industry.

⚑️1st Ukrainian drone factory starts production in UK, Zaluzhnyi says.

Ukraine's Ambassador to the U.K., Valerii Zaluzhnyi, said that the launch of production by the Ukrainian drone company Ukrspecsystems in the U.K. has "a deep strategic logic" for integration into the British defense industry.

25.02.2026 17:32 β€” πŸ‘ 289    πŸ” 55    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 2

We can reasonably assume Fidesz voters are under-reported as more likely to be low engagement/harder to reach

Tisza have a good shot at a majority, but supermajority seems overly optimistic still

25.02.2026 11:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Alastair Campbell's diary: I’m in Ukraine, a nation let down by America Four years after the all out invasion, Ukrainians want more than just warm words. They want real help to end this war. Trump isn’t going to give it – so it’s down to us

"Four years after the all out invasion, Ukrainians want more than just warm words. They want real help to end this war. Trump isn’t going to give it – so it’s down to us"

Correct from @alastaircampbell2.bsky.social

www.thenewworld.co.uk/alastair-cam...

25.02.2026 09:54 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Europe doesn't have a plan

24.02.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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America doesn't have a plan

24.02.2026 19:56 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
No one has a plan to end the war Four years since the invasion

It's four years since Russia launched its full scale invasion of Ukraine, and the evidence suggests it will keep going on for longer still

No one has a serious or credible plan to end this war
pascallth.substack.com/p/no-one-has...

24.02.2026 08:24 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

But they have nothing to say about Russia striking US economic interests in Ukraine

24.02.2026 22:05 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Europe doesn't have a plan

24.02.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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America doesn't have a plan

24.02.2026 19:56 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Russia doesn't have a plan

24.02.2026 19:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Russia preparing a false flag attack to blame on Ukraine

24.02.2026 14:20 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Everyone should read this as one of the very few bits of commentary today that's actually realistic about our position

24.02.2026 09:36 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Hearing people sing Ukraine's praises is increasingly tiring when it is not followed up by real and sufficient action to help Ukraine win

Slava Ukraini rings hollow when all people will tolerate is for Ukrainians to keep dying for us in a war of attrition that favours Russia

24.02.2026 09:29 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
No one has a plan to end the war Four years since the invasion

It's four years since Russia launched its full scale invasion of Ukraine, and the evidence suggests it will keep going on for longer still

No one has a serious or credible plan to end this war
pascallth.substack.com/p/no-one-has...

24.02.2026 08:24 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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