Michael L. Ross

Petrostate America The downsides of energy independence.

Recommended read: A @ForeignAffairs essay by two US professors argued that, as the US’s energy exports have grown, it has “begun to behave more like a classic petrostate”.

📝 @profmichaelross.bsky.social‬ and @‪erikvoeten.bsky.social‬

IEA: Oil still on track to peak by 2030; oil for fuel to peak in 2027

"annual growth slows…to just a trickle over the next several years, with a small decline expected in 2030, based on today’s policy settings and market trends"

Here are some of the most striking charts 🧵
1/8

When @erikvoeten.bsky.social and I first wrote in 2016 about "petrostates," we thought of places like Venezuela, Iran, Russia, Libya, and Iraq that "actively defy global norms, invade neighboring countries, (and) flout human rights." I never imagined the US would join this list.

Abstract of "Offshore Outlaws: Brexit and Oil Spills in the North Sea" by Anthony Calacino, Federica Genovese, Hayley Pring (University of Oxford)

🚨 WP w/ @acalacino.bsky.social & @hayleypring.bsky.social

It’s been a turbulent decade of globalization backlash. Populist projects wanna take back control everywhere.

Focusing on the case of oil and Brexit, we offer a story of the danger of this narrative and concrete merits of multilateralism: 🧵

We’re grateful that @natclimate.nature.com is featuring a project that the three of us worked so hard on and believe in so deeply!

I’m so sorry, Jeff, this is just terrible, for you, your lab, and everything we’re working for.

UCLA political scientist @profmichaelross.bsky.social wrote long ago about how regimes and insurgencies use derivative claims over as-yet uncaptured resources to fund violence: what he dubbed "booty futures."

Saddened but unsurprised that the US may wade into these blackwaters.

Twilight of the Populists? Perhaps it's possible that, despite it all, we have reached peak populism

New from me - is it possible we are actually at peak populism? This post is an exercise in working through a scenario - I may very well be wrong. But also, outside of America, I think something is shifting. Because of America. 1/n

benansell.substack.com/p/twilight-o...

YouTube video by Oilfield Witness The Methane Emissions of the LNG Lifecycle

We now have visual evidence of intense pollution from every stage of the #LNG supply chain, from the hole in the ground, to the export terminal, to the regasification import terminal (as bad as it sounds), to the power plant. It's astonishing to see, even for me.

narrated youtu.be/eyh4pcpBt7o?...

For a thumbnail of @profmichaelross.bsky.social new @worldpolitics.bsky.social review essay on climate, see 👇🏾

To Tax or Not to Tax In the January 2025 (Volume 77, Number 1) issue of World Politics, Michael L. Ross, professor in the Department of Political Science and the Institute for the Environment and Sustainability at the Uni...

Can a cap-and-trade system work in the US? What does a Trump administration really mean for climate politics? @profmichaelross.bsky.social answers these questions and more in @worldpolitics.bsky.social The Storied Teller. wpj.princeton.edu/storied-tell...

Demonstrator with a sign that reads "We can't recycle wasted time" at a protest against climate change, photo credit: Ivan Radic, CC BY 2.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

Starting with the final article in the January issue of @worldpolitics.bsky.social, have a read of Michael L. Ross' book review article, "The New Political Economy of Climate Change." @profmichaelross.bsky.social muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

awww...thanks Paasha!