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Paolo Santini

@paolosantini.bsky.social

Labor economist interested in inequalities, workers' voice, and minorities. I like history and politics. Now postdoc at CBS SI department. https://sites.google.com/view/paolo-santini/home-page

774 Followers  |  549 Following  |  19 Posts  |  Joined: 05.10.2023  |  2.3241

Latest posts by paolosantini.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Substantial earnings penalties exist for racial minorities in France. Compared to the US, lower overall inequality benefits French racial minorities, but rank gaps are comparable, from Yajna Govind, Paolo Santini, and Ellora Derenoncourt https://www.nber.org/papers/w34013

16.07.2025 21:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 38    ๐Ÿ” 24    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Are you sure the data for the graph on the left is correct? The turnout in Florence was 45.6%. This is indeed the case for question 5. All questions had a very similar turnout rate. Maybe some issues with the averages?

13.06.2025 12:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think excluding non-voters in this case is highly misleading, as not voting was a specific recommendation from some parties to make the "no" win.
Would your argument work even in that case? Certainly, the South would not come out as a stronger supporter than the North.

13.06.2025 11:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@cairosofie.bsky.social @hckongsted.bsky.social

12.06.2025 15:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

With the upcoming referendum on citizenship on June 8-9th in Italy, with @maartenpvink.bsky.social & @lorenzopiccoli.bsky.social , we discuss how this would be a crucial step toward aligning Italy with the more inclusive and modern citizenship regimes common across Europe!

31.05.2025 15:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 19    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Does the fact that Musk significantly helped Trump's win not count? Are you saying that all money spent in electoral campaigns in the US does not influence it?
If not, your definition is, in my opinion, way too narrow.

06.06.2025 09:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Italyโ€™s citizenship referendum: a chance to catch up with Europe In this article, experts in migration and citizenship policies, applied labor, and public economics discuss the upcoming referendum in Italy, examining its potโ€ฆ

On 8โ€“9 June, Italian citizens vote in referendum to reduce the residency requirement for non-EU nationals to apply for ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น citizenship from 10 years to 5

With @lorenzopiccoli.bsky.social & @yajnagovind.bsky.social in @larepubblica.bsky.social on why this matters

firenze.repubblica.it/dossier/fire...

31.05.2025 13:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 78    ๐Ÿ” 36    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15

Even more after reading your paper! Applying what I learnt to "our" specific case: I do not see the numb. of PhDs as a collider, as you are ASKING for more money to spend on PhDs. So, to me, you are in a chain situation, A-->B-->C, and not A-->B<--C. Again,

29.05.2025 13:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Your paper speaks about *causal* identification... I was not. If people misuse or overinterpret a method, the method itself is not the issue.

P.S. Do you know the other guy who liked this comment? Cause I don't, and I do not understand why he liked it ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

29.05.2025 12:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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New study: The relative wage premium for going to college has halved for low-income Americans since 1960.

What is to blame? Rising selectivity? Tuition hikes? State disinvestment? We decompose changes in the premium since 1900 to find out.

๐Ÿงต#EconTwitter nber.org/papers/w33797

19.05.2025 11:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 62    ๐Ÿ” 30    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5

Very cool indeed, although I would interpret their results more broadly than just war.

15.05.2025 15:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In this new paper joint with @ondineberland.bsky.social, featured in The Guardian, we show that :
-women in France emit 26% less COโ‚‚ than men from food & transpor
- the gap isnโ€™t just down to biology or labor market differences.

Thread will follow, see full paper here:
www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminst...

14.05.2025 11:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
Preview
REGIS Welcome! REGIS is a bi-weekly, pan-European virtual reading group series focusing on Science, Technology, and Innovation topics. REGISโ€™ main objectives are twofold. First, it seeks to train young sch...

๐Ÿ“ข The next #REGIS seminar year will occur this Friday, April 25, 2025, at 12.30 PM CET. ๐Ÿค“ Astrid Ulv Thomsen (CBS) will present "Climbing the ivory tower: How socio-economic background shapes academia."by Ran Abramitzky, Lena Greska, Santiago Perez, Joe Price, Carlo Schwarz & Fabian Waldinger.

22.04.2025 23:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Super interesting, although I would not say employers' political leaning. Those are the employees' averages, and I can think of many cases where employers and employees substantially differ in their political views. Actually they could easily be at the opposite (e.g., large industrial firms).

06.04.2025 21:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Intergenerational mobility of immigrants in 15 destination countries
( @yajnagovind.bsky.social et alii)
docs.iza.org/dp17711.pdf

17.02.2025 21:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Very important paper!

31.01.2025 16:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As others pointed out, you are not comparing the real times. 9h vs 6.30h as someone said seems more reasonable. In any case, nobody said low emissions were easy, they are necessary.

02.01.2025 18:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
IZA/Leiden University/OECD Workshop: Recent Advances in Labor Economics Using Linked Employer-Employee Data

๐ŸšจCall for Papers: IZA/Leiden University/OECD Workshop โ€œRecent Advances in Labor Economics Using Linked Employer-Employee Dataโ€

May 22, 2025 - May 23, 2025, The Hague, The Netherlands

Submission Deadline: February 14, 2025

๐Ÿ“„Full details here: legacy.iza.org/conference_f...

17.12.2024 09:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
https://shorturl.at/zQ8bJ

https://shorturl.at/zQ8bJ

New paper published @ajpseditor.bsky.social

Showing that reduced access to public services fuelled far right support in ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

Existing work on far right highlights globalization & migration grievances, what about peopleโ€™s experiences with the state?

We use ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น reform to find out

shorturl.at/zQ8bJ

05.12.2024 17:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 830    ๐Ÿ” 388    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 26    ๐Ÿ“Œ 84
INCENTIVES TO COMPLY WITH THE MINIMUM WAGE IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM 
ANNA STANSBURY
There is substantial evidence of minimum wage non-compliance in
the United States and the United Kingdom. In this article, the
author compiles new, comprehensive data on the costs that mini-
mum wage violators incur when non-compliance is detected. In
both countries, the costs violators face are often little more than the
money they saved by underpaying. To have an incentive to comply
under existing penalty regimes, typical US firms would thus have to
expect a 47% to 83% probability of detection by the Department of
Labor (DOL), or a 25% probability of a successful Fair Labor
Standards Act (FLSA) suit. In the United Kingdom, typical firms
would have to expect a 44% to 56% probability of detection. Actual
probabilities of detection are substantially lower than this for many
firms and would likely remain so even with realistic increases in
enforcement capacity. Improved enforcement alone is thus insuffi-
cient: Expected penalties must also substantially increase to ensure
that most firms have an incentive to comply.

INCENTIVES TO COMPLY WITH THE MINIMUM WAGE IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE UNITED KINGDOM ANNA STANSBURY There is substantial evidence of minimum wage non-compliance in the United States and the United Kingdom. In this article, the author compiles new, comprehensive data on the costs that mini- mum wage violators incur when non-compliance is detected. In both countries, the costs violators face are often little more than the money they saved by underpaying. To have an incentive to comply under existing penalty regimes, typical US firms would thus have to expect a 47% to 83% probability of detection by the Department of Labor (DOL), or a 25% probability of a successful Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA) suit. In the United Kingdom, typical firms would have to expect a 44% to 56% probability of detection. Actual probabilities of detection are substantially lower than this for many firms and would likely remain so even with realistic increases in enforcement capacity. Improved enforcement alone is thus insuffi- cient: Expected penalties must also substantially increase to ensure that most firms have an incentive to comply.

Basically, US and UK firms that violate minimum wage laws face little probability of getting caught and pay only small fines when they do.

Via @annastansbury.bsky.social in @ilrreview.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1...

28.11.2024 12:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 76    ๐Ÿ” 47    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

Very cool paper, very strong candidate: Nikita is on the JMP!

27.11.2024 10:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Very nice paper! I do not see turnover, have you tried? I thought part of the story is that employment stability is higher in FFs, perhaps partly offsetting the lower wages in lifetime income. Relatedly, how many FFs do you have to drop in the AKM estimation?

27.11.2024 09:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@yajnagovind.bsky.social

23.11.2024 19:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Podcasts | Princeton Industrial Relations Section Centennial The Work Goes On: An Oral History of Industrial Relations and Labor Economics with Princetonโ€™s Orley Ashenfelter

I have not seen this as an answer. Fantastic podcast, hosted by a legendary scholar that interview other pillars of industrial relations and labor economics. Plenty of people speaks about unions and inequality, including the last, Henry Farber.

irs100.princeton.edu/podcasts

19.11.2024 14:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The French touch to @bsky.app !

16.11.2024 18:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In a nutshell, Republicans see scientists as clever but selfish and devious. Sort of Dr. No from a 007 movie. No wonder they fear and despise them.

15.11.2024 13:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Also @yajnagovind.bsky.social.
Thanks!

15.11.2024 09:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In estrema sintesi: secondo le nostre stime, in Italia solo un lavoratore su 5 sarebbe sindacalizzato invece che uno su 3 come si crede oggi basandosi sui dati forniti dalle tre maggiori confederazioni.

06.10.2023 09:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Articolo in cui cerco di fare il punto su cosa sappiamo e su cosa non sappiamo sul numero di iscritti al sindacato in Italia. lavoce.info/archives/102...

Basato su un paper con @ulojkine.bsky.social e Cyprien Batut.

06.10.2023 09:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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