Arianna Tassinari

Beyond the energy crisis. The politics and political economy of inflation in uncertain times International research workshop nell'ambito del progetto MAINSOC - Managing Inflation through Social Dialogue.

Looking fwd to welcoming a great bunch of colleagues to Bologna on 9-10 October for the workshop "Beyond the energy crisis. The politics and political economy of inflation in uncertain times". Program here - write me if you're in Bologna and wanna attend some of it! 👉 dsps.unibo.it/it/eventi/be...

We're also happy to announce the calendar for the 2025-2026 CONNECT Seminar Series, featuring a brilliant line up of CONNECT members from @unibo.it and SPS visiting scholars @fbulfone.bsky.social (Leiden) & Anuscher Farahat (UWien). Every first Tuesday of the month, 1-2pm - all welcome!

After the summer break, CONNECT is back for a new academic year!🍂
Mark your calendars for our first lecture of 2025-2026:
📅 Sept 19, 3pm-4.30pm | Aula Poeti, Palazzo Hercolani, Bologna
👩‍🏫 Emma Mawdsley (Cambridge)
🗣️ “DOGE-ing USAID: what next for humanitarianism & global development”
#Connect #Unibo

Your Guide on How to Support Mutual Aid Groups in Palestine as Humanitarian Crisis Deepens

Your Guide on How to Support Mutual Aid Groups in Palestine as Humanitarian Crisis Deepens

I just donated to several of these (vetted) organizations. Please consider doing the same if you have the means and are outraged by the Israeli starvation of the Gaza population.

Thanks to all the authors and reviewers who contributed to this effort, and to the @mpifg.bsky.social for supporting the workshop that launched the project 3+ years ago! Read the full issue—including our introduction—here:
📖 Competition & Change, Vol. 29(3–4)
➡️ journals.sagepub.com/toc/ccha/29/...

The papers explore how peripheral advanced economies navigate global hierarchies, balance of payments constraints & structural heterogeneity, and how peripherality shapes coalitional politics and agency -in varied cases such as Turkey, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Spain, Serbia, Chile, Uruguay & Israel

…and what adaptations does the growth model conceptual toolkit need to make sense of the politics of growth and stagnation in peripheral capitalist contexts? To tackle these questions, the SI brings insights from Latam structuralism, dependency theory and IPE in dialogue with the GM debate in CPE.

With this project, we wanted to bring peripherality at the centre of contemporary debates in Comparative Political Economy. How does our understanding of growth models and their politics change once we take peripheral capitalism seriously?

We are delighted that our Special Issue on "The Politics of Growth, Stagnation and Upgrading in Peripheral Economies" coedited w/ @fbulfone.bsky.social & Aldo Madariaga is now out in Competition & Change @compchange.bsky.social, Vol. 29(3–4).
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1024...

My time at the @mpifg.bsky.social coincided with a good chunk of the PhD journeys of these brilliant junior colleagues - a fantastic cohort of talented political economists and economic sociologists. Follow them to keep track of the future of the discipline!

What a brilliant cohort of new doctors! It was a joy to overlap during my time at the Institute with these fantastic colleagues. Congrats you all!

Read the full paper here: pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces...

cc and with eternal thanks to my fantastic co-authors @fbulfone.bsky.social @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social who brought the paper to light whilst I have been in the trenches of post-maternity recovery and re-adjustment! you are the best!

Taking stock of more than a decade of CPE literature on Southern European growth models, the granular sectoral data we use in this paper, masterfully analysed by @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social, help to shed light on what really changed—and what didn’t—after the eurozone crisis.

📌 Bottom line:
1️⃣ Southern Europe has not converged toward the EMU core. It has diverged within itself.
2️⃣ High-value added export niches exist, but remain small.
3️⃣Exports alone can't deliver sustainable growth. Without a strong boost in domestic demand, growth, employment and wages keep stagnating.

We tentatively identify an “Iberian growth path” in Spain and Portugal—still peripheral, but relatively more successful in combining exports with domestic demand.

Meanwhile, Italy and Greece remain trapped in externally imposed austerity logics with weak domestic multipliers.

In short:
✅ Export orientation increased
❌ Structural upgrading limited
❌ Employment outcomes disappointing

Southern Europe may have moved toward a hybrid export model—but one still deeply peripheral within the EMU architecture.

🧵 Finding 3: Export-led growth in Southern Europe didn’t deliver in terms of jobs.
Employment losses during the crisis were massive.
Recovery in jobs— especially good jobs—was partial and slow. Export-related job creation didn’t offset earlier losses.

Spain and Portugal did see growth in some high value-added service exports—like IT, professional services, and R&D.
These sectors are still small, but growing faster than others—hints of emerging niches amid a broader low value-added landscape where tourism still plays a key role.

🧵 Finding 2: Despite reorientation to exports, SE economies still struggle to upgrade.
Manufacturing exports remain, overall, low-tech.
High value-added services are, overall, still marginal.
Greece stands out as most peripheralized; Italy retains stronger industrial capabilities.

The result?
🇪🇸 🇵🇹 Stronger overall growth performance.
🇮🇹 🇬🇷 Weak, export-dependent recoveries.

🧵 Finding 1: All 4 countries shifted toward greater reliance on exports as a growth driver after 2010.
BUT: Only Spain and Portugal managed to also revive domestic demand (private consumption & investment) after 2014. Italy and Greece didn’t.

We decompose the growth performance of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain between the GFC and the Covid pandemic using import-adjusted data and detailed sectoral indicators of value added, working hours and labour costs. The data tell a nuanced story of both convergence and divergence.

We revisit 3 key claims from the CPE literature:
1️⃣ Export-led growth has replaced domestic-demand-led models since the GFC.
2️⃣ South European economies still struggle to generate high value-added exports.
3️⃣ Employment creation is weak, esp. in high wage jobs.
Do the data confirm these claims?

Since the great financial crisis, much has been written in CPE on the fate of South European economies. Have they really morphed into export-led growth models? With what outcomes? Are their trajectories convergent? In this new DP, we use granular data to put claims from the literature to the test 🧵

🤣 not quite so sure about that but thanks for the warm welcome, Ben + editorial board team!

I'm very happy to be joining the editorial board of Competition & Change, a journal which has become home to some of the best and most stimulating interdisciplinary research in political economy and socioeconomics. Give us a follow and stay tuned for updates!