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Justin Schultz

@justinschultzwx.bsky.social

NWS Lead Meteorologist. Husband, father (x2), film critic. My posts are my own. BS/MS Meteorology from Iowa State University. Go Cyclones! ๐ŸŒช Go Hawks! ๐Ÿค

141 Followers  |  96 Following  |  30 Posts  |  Joined: 25.11.2024  |  1.7153

Latest posts by justinschultzwx.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Radioactive wasps found at South Carolina nuclear facility Radioactive wasps, yes, you read that right, were found at a nuclear facility in South Carolina.

I did NOT have radioactive wasps on my 2025 BINGO card. ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

www.wyff4.com/article/radi...

31.07.2025 17:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
28.07.2025 03:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So sorry for your loss, Chris.

25.07.2025 06:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That one's easy. MSM is scared of Trump. Talk bad about him, and get a litigation sledgehammer. Look at what happened to both ABC and CBS for examples.

18.07.2025 00:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Great thoughts, Brett! I'm not as familiar with the REFS as I am with the HREF ensemble membership. Does the REFS use the output from the previous runs of the individual ensemble members like the HREF (e.g., HRW FV3 - 12h), or does it only use the new runs?

27.06.2025 01:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

WTAF

02.06.2025 21:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

National Weather Service hydrologist W. Scott Lincoln has put together a technical report on the Midwest dust event which brought dust storm conditions to Chicago earlier this month.

www.weather.gov/media/lot/ev...

30.05.2025 23:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Year to date (1/1-5/22), @nws.noaa.gov offices have issued 10,939 #SevereThunderstorm and #Tornado Warnings, slightly ahead of 2011. Of those, 2,126 (19.5%) were issued in the last week alone. I want to express thanks to my colleagues, #meteorologists, EMs, & first responders for their hard work!

22.05.2025 11:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 66    ๐Ÿ” 25    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

This is quite the video of a UAV flying inside a tornado. For a split second, you can actually see multiple suction vortices as it broke through the outer wall of the tornado.

19.05.2025 18:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In the NWS, you wouldn't be back to probationary status if you lateral, which is what most of these positions are. You are only probationary in two instances: 1) you're a new hire to the NWS, or 2) you are a newly hired manager in a field office.

14.05.2025 16:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is something. Watch the background just SHIFT during this earthquake!

12.05.2025 16:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Today, I said goodbye to two of my NWS Quad Cities colleagues as they head off to retirement, along with three others in my office over the past few months. This video by Cole Vaughn is an excellent tribute to those leaving NOAA. Thank you all for your service to America! ๐Ÿซก ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ

30.04.2025 21:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Frequency of a given watch probably value within SPC's MCDs that contain a watch probabilty

Frequency of a given watch probably value within SPC's MCDs that contain a watch probabilty

An accounting of the frequency of a given watch probability value within Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Convective Discussions that contain such a probability.

16.04.2025 22:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 17    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

My heart goes out to my colleagues in the southern Mississippi River region. I did a brief forecaster exchange with WFO Memphis a few years ago, and they were such great hosts to me. Seeing them go through a historic weather event like this is just heartbreaking. @nws.noaa.gov

04.04.2025 20:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Large and violent #tornado ongoing near Lake City, AR. You can see the CC drop/TDS. Extremely dangerous situation!

02.04.2025 23:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Oof, that is a lot of rainfall coming for the mid-Mississippi River Valley. 15+" possible over the next few days! Classic training convection signal with copious amounts of Gulf moisture into a baroclinic zone. ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

01.04.2025 12:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Interesting analysis here. No wonder the FV3 is always so damn aggressive with CI.

31.03.2025 23:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
1925 Tri-State Tornado

Today marks the 100th anniversary of the #TriStateTornado* of 1925, which took 695 lives. NWS Paducah, KY assembled this web page about the tornado and the advances in meteorological science that it inspired:
www.weather.gov/pah/1925torn...
*likely tornadoes, plural, see below

18.03.2025 14:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 77    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

It takes me nearly an entire week before I start getting back to normal sleep. It's terrible!

17.03.2025 14:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Some early, subjective verification for the Level 4 - Moderate risk severe weather outbreak across the Mississippi Valley. Storm reports will continue to come in over the next day or two.

15.03.2025 13:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 58    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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a man wearing sunglasses and a red scarf is holding his hand to his ear . ALT: a man wearing sunglasses and a red scarf is holding his hand to his ear .

Wow!

11.03.2025 02:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Hereโ€™s how National Weather Service layoffs could impact your forecast
YouTube video by ABC News Hereโ€™s how National Weather Service layoffs could impact your forecast

An excellent video by ABC New's Ginger Zee about the importance of the National Weather Service. youtu.be/qPrJgJorKMU?...

07.03.2025 19:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Map of continental U.S. with Warn-on-Forecast domains shaded in gray. The southwestern domain covers an extremely critical fire weather risk; the eastern domain covers an ongoing severe weather risk, and the northern domain will cover an ongoing rainfall/winter weather risk.

Map of continental U.S. with Warn-on-Forecast domains shaded in gray. The southwestern domain covers an extremely critical fire weather risk; the eastern domain covers an ongoing severe weather risk, and the northern domain will cover an ongoing rainfall/winter weather risk.

So for the first time in Warn-on-Forecast history, THREE simultaneous domains are being run in realtime to capture different weather regimes (fire, severe, and winter). Time to push the limits on what can be done with this cloud-based system!

Forecasts: cbwofs.nssl.noaa.gov/Forecast

04.03.2025 17:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 123    ๐Ÿ” 26    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Excellent visual depiction of why the recent NWS firings aren't helping to remove fraud/waste in the government at all.

01.03.2025 21:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Crowdsourcing advice for federal employees DO NOT: Preemptively resign. Force your employer to lay you off and give a reason. If you are laid off in a RIF you have rights, possible severance pay, and the right to receive unemployment benefits ...

NOAA family, please share:
Linked is a crowdsourced document via r/fednews on Reddit with advice for terminated employees. Not perfect, but itโ€™s at least something. Some kind of guidance in this horrible time.

docs.google.com/document/d/1...

27.02.2025 21:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 185    ๐Ÿ” 135    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

Similar energy: asking someone where grocery stores get their food and the reply is "other grocery stores."

28.02.2025 19:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A recent study also determined that the return on investment for the NWS is $73:1. Not only will the recent staffing and possible budget cuts hurt our ability to keep the public safe, but it's going to cost the American economy, too. yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/02/cuts...

28.02.2025 10:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€œMy weather app does it better!โ€

-Weather Watches/Warnings? NWS
-Forecast data? NWS
-Observations? NWS
-Satellite? NOAA/NESDIS
-Futurecast modeling data? You guessed it, NWS (via EMC).
-Climatology data? The weather data compiled over a long period by techs.
-Outlooks? NWS

Food for thought. ๐Ÿ’ญ

28.02.2025 04:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 473    ๐Ÿ” 124    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19    ๐Ÿ“Œ 18

I am just gutted by the termination of some of my NWS colleagues today. This, coupled with several other colleagues who took the "Fork in the Road" deal and are leaving this week, will lead to even lower staffing in our agency. We are less safe from dangerous weather because of this.

28.02.2025 05:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"A study found that for every $1 invested in NWS, it produces $73 in value to Americans."

Pretty dang good ROI!

15.02.2025 02:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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