Justin Schultz

This picture is giving off Pops from Regular Show vibes.

The annual winter outlook from @nws.noaa.gov just dropped!

The June 20, 2025 Enderlin, ND tornado was just upgraded to an EF-5 earlier this morning. This breaks the 12 year drought of EF-5 tornadoes in the US (last was the May 20, 2013 Moore, OK tornado).

www.weather.gov/media/fgf/En...

Glad I didn't watch that poop-show!

Her spine surgery was denied. Doctors say it's all too common. Insurance denied 18-year-old Nala White’s surgery for degenerative disc disease. After NBC News reached out, it was approved the next day.

I saw this report on NBC Nightly News this evening. I used to have Aetna for my health insurance, and frankly, their actions in this story are not surprising. Glad I dropped them years ago.

www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...

Houston AFD this morning belongs in the AFD hall of fame.

forecast.weather.gov/product.php?...

Radioactive wasps found at South Carolina nuclear facility Radioactive wasps, yes, you read that right, were found at a nuclear facility in South Carolina.

I did NOT have radioactive wasps on my 2025 BINGO card. 😱

www.wyff4.com/article/radi...

So sorry for your loss, Chris.

That one's easy. MSM is scared of Trump. Talk bad about him, and get a litigation sledgehammer. Look at what happened to both ABC and CBS for examples.

Great thoughts, Brett! I'm not as familiar with the REFS as I am with the HREF ensemble membership. Does the REFS use the output from the previous runs of the individual ensemble members like the HREF (e.g., HRW FV3 - 12h), or does it only use the new runs?

WTAF

National Weather Service hydrologist W. Scott Lincoln has put together a technical report on the Midwest dust event which brought dust storm conditions to Chicago earlier this month.

www.weather.gov/media/lot/ev...

Year to date (1/1-5/22), @nws.noaa.gov offices have issued 10,939 #SevereThunderstorm and #Tornado Warnings, slightly ahead of 2011. Of those, 2,126 (19.5%) were issued in the last week alone. I want to express thanks to my colleagues, #meteorologists, EMs, & first responders for their hard work!

This is quite the video of a UAV flying inside a tornado. For a split second, you can actually see multiple suction vortices as it broke through the outer wall of the tornado.

In the NWS, you wouldn't be back to probationary status if you lateral, which is what most of these positions are. You are only probationary in two instances: 1) you're a new hire to the NWS, or 2) you are a newly hired manager in a field office.

This is something. Watch the background just SHIFT during this earthquake!

Today, I said goodbye to two of my NWS Quad Cities colleagues as they head off to retirement, along with three others in my office over the past few months. This video by Cole Vaughn is an excellent tribute to those leaving NOAA. Thank you all for your service to America! 🫡 🇺🇲

Frequency of a given watch probably value within SPC's MCDs that contain a watch probabilty

An accounting of the frequency of a given watch probability value within Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Convective Discussions that contain such a probability.

My heart goes out to my colleagues in the southern Mississippi River region. I did a brief forecaster exchange with WFO Memphis a few years ago, and they were such great hosts to me. Seeing them go through a historic weather event like this is just heartbreaking. @nws.noaa.gov

Large and violent #tornado ongoing near Lake City, AR. You can see the CC drop/TDS. Extremely dangerous situation!

Oof, that is a lot of rainfall coming for the mid-Mississippi River Valley. 15+" possible over the next few days! Classic training convection signal with copious amounts of Gulf moisture into a baroclinic zone. 😬

Interesting analysis here. No wonder the FV3 is always so damn aggressive with CI.

Today marks the 100th anniversary of the #TriStateTornado* of 1925, which took 695 lives. NWS Paducah, KY assembled this web page about the tornado and the advances in meteorological science that it inspired:
www.weather.gov/pah/1925torn...
*likely tornadoes, plural, see below

It takes me nearly an entire week before I start getting back to normal sleep. It's terrible!

Some early, subjective verification for the Level 4 - Moderate risk severe weather outbreak across the Mississippi Valley. Storm reports will continue to come in over the next day or two.

a man wearing sunglasses and a red scarf is holding his hand to his ear . ALT: a man wearing sunglasses and a red scarf is holding his hand to his ear .

Wow!

YouTube video by ABC News Here’s how National Weather Service layoffs could impact your forecast

An excellent video by ABC New's Ginger Zee about the importance of the National Weather Service. youtu.be/qPrJgJorKMU?...

Map of continental U.S. with Warn-on-Forecast domains shaded in gray. The southwestern domain covers an extremely critical fire weather risk; the eastern domain covers an ongoing severe weather risk, and the northern domain will cover an ongoing rainfall/winter weather risk.

So for the first time in Warn-on-Forecast history, THREE simultaneous domains are being run in realtime to capture different weather regimes (fire, severe, and winter). Time to push the limits on what can be done with this cloud-based system!

Forecasts: cbwofs.nssl.noaa.gov/Forecast

Excellent visual depiction of why the recent NWS firings aren't helping to remove fraud/waste in the government at all.