Andrew Mangan

Trump 2.0 makes history—and not in a good way Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics. Trump in the tank ...

Trump's approval polls, they're bad. Historically bad.

My latest Survey Says column:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

JD Vance wants more babies. Americans want help raising them Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics. Global birth rates are ...

📣 Survey Says ...

JD Vance wants you to have more babies—for America! Meanwhile, Americans are like: “Sure, right after I find $13,000 lying around for daycare and a health care system that doesn’t kill me during childbirth.”

www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

So much digital ink was spilled last year about America's anti-immigration turn ... when, in reality, it was just basic thermostatic politics.

New Gallup data reveals Americans are suddenly more supportive of immigration after they've seen a few months of Trump's crackdown.

Elon Musk has an idea for a new political party—that already exists Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics. About a week ago, as his ...

Elon Musk has an extremely naive view of the party system in America. Three weeks ago, I dove into that and why the main planks of Democratic Party’s platform are supported by a decisive majority of Americans. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

A key civil right is losing support. Plus, the polls missed Mamdani Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics. Republicans flip-flop-...

Republican support for same-sex marriage is tumbling. I dive into why in my latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Why Biden's decline matters to Democrats' future Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a vibe ...

My latest Survey Says column is on the totally uncontroversial topic of Biden's reported cognitive decline—and why it unfortunately matters to Democrats' future.

www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Trump's waging a war on fridges—and voters hate it President Donald Trump is waging a war on your fridge—in more ways than one. And he’s doing so with strong voter opposition. The Food and Drug Administration is reportedly drawing up plans to ...

"President Donald Trump is waging a war on your fridge—in more ways than one. And he’s doing so with strong voter opposition."

I look at some exclusive polling from Civiqs: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Walmart’s price hike hits a sore spot for Trump—his voters Last Thursday, Walmart announced it would hike prices because of President Donald Trump’s tariffs, and when that happens later this month, it will wreak disproportionate harm on his voters.� ...

I scraped data for every Walmart store in the country to find that the company's tariff-induced price hike will disproportionately hit states that Trump won last year.

My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

If House Republicans successfully slash Medicaid, they'll hurt 1 in 5 of those who live in their district (on average).

My latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Americans are irate over tariffs. Plus, voters still trust GOP on economy Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a vib...

Turns out Americans really, really don't like when things cost more.

My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Democrats need to gain just three seats on net in next year’s midterms. That just so happens to be the number of GOP-held House districts that Harris won last year.

My latest, with a hat tip to @the-downballot.com for the data:

President AOC? Plus, Americans are waking up to climate change threat Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a vib...

AOC 2028? I look at the very, very, very early numbers:

www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Are voters really anti-immigration? Plus, the most polarizing country Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a vib...

In early March, I wrote about how this very thing was likely to happen: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Thermostatic public opinion strikes again

Even Republicans cringe at chat leak. Plus, DOGE targets popular programs Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a ...

"Americans are less 👊🇺🇸🔥 about the leak, and more 🤬."
– @mangan.bsky.social

Trump's economic score sinks to new low. Plus, is America ruder now? Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a ...

47% of Americans think people are ruder in public now than before the COVID-19 pandemic. Big question is, what world are the other 53% living in?

My latest Survey Says column:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Just a reminder that all the data FiveThirtyEight collected—polls, election results, and much more—is available for download (for now) on our GitHub page. github.com/fivethirtyei...

Sometimes folks treat 538 as synonymous with the forecast models, but
a) the polling data they compiled was a huge undertaking that underpinned *so much other work* both inside and outside
b) they did a phenomenal amount of nuanced, thoughtful writing about politics and public opinion

Disney to Cut Nearly 6% of Staff Across ABC News, Disney Entertainment Networks About 200 employees are being let go at Disney’s ABC News Group and Disney Entertainment Networks unit, people familiar with the matter said.

ABC News is killing off 538, which is incredibly stupid but means there will be a lot of really exceptional people on the job market.

Are voters really anti-immigration? Plus, the most polarizing country Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a ...

Americans claim to be more anti-immigration than they have been in a long time. However, early data suggests they won't be able to stomach the ugly truth of mass deportations.

My latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Who do Democrats want to run in 2028? Plus, Musk skeeves out America Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a ...

Great new edition of Survey Says from @alexsamuelsx5.bsky.social! We made *a lot* of graphics for this one. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

New York Times caught passing off GOP flack as average Black voter The New York Times published a story pushing the idea that support for President Donald Trump from a young Black man was organic, but the paper hid a key fact from its readers. On Thursday night, I re...

Daily Kos' own @owillis.bsky.social seems to have spurred The New York Times into correcting a story. A+ www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Trump’s imperialism gets savaged by voters. Plus, COVID at 5 years Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a ...

Stock up on some handy stats about the wild world we live in thanks to @mangan.bsky.social’s insightful dive into the data…

Americans overstate Trump’s win. Plus, is Christian nationalism popular? Survey Says is a weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, plus a ...

Despite what Trump and his MAGA minions want you to believe, @mangan.bsky.social shows that facts and figures still matter in @dailykos.com’s weekly dive into the data…

GOP abruptly warms to economy. Plus, who gets credit for the ceasefire? Survey Says is a new weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, ...

I am *thrilled* to share that @mangan.bsky.social and I will write a weekly polling column for @dailykos.com titled “Survey Says.”

This is our first piece, which reviewed why the GOP suddenly thinks the economy is doing OK and who supports Trump’s price-raising tariffs, among other things.

GOP abruptly warms to economy. Plus, who gets credit for the ceasefire? Survey Says is a new weekly column rounding up three of the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about. You’ll also find data-based updates on past Daily Kos reporting, ...

Want to dig a little deeper into the data and trends driving the news?

@dailykos.com has you covered!

Check out this great new series from @alexsamuelsx5.bsky.social and @mangan.bsky.social!

Why making Canada a state would backfire on Trump A new Trump administration, a new country Trump wants to force to be the 51st state. In 2019, Donald Trump tried to buy Greenland from Denmark, an absurd offer the Danish government rejected. And ...

Obviously, Canada won’t become a state in our lifetimes. But how bad would it be for Republicans if it did?

My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

How will Jimmy Carter be remembered? 538 analysts discuss President Jimmy Carter's legacy.

I edited this story nearly two years ago. Surreal to see it now published. abcnews.go.com/538/jimmy-ca...

This one weird trick could fix the Senate All voters are equal, but some voters are more equal than others. And the most equal of all live in the Equality State.� Wyoming has fewer than 435,000 eligible voters but gets two senators—the ...

Great story by @mangan.bsky.social

www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Altogether, when I read the piece now, I don't cringe at anything—a huge success, tbh. Holds up pretty darn well. 9/9