Doug Analytics

Snap Weighted Team Ages

• Youngest: Packers (25.5 years old)
• Oldest: Commanders (28.4 years old)

Skill Player Motion Frequencies

y-axis: Motion at the snap
x-axis: Pre-snap motion

The rich get richer

It’s never too early

2026 Draft Pick Probabilities

Target Percentage by Position
(weeks 1-4)

EPA/Dropback when IN and OUT of the Pocket

Data: @ftnfantasy.com

How often do QBs stay in the pocket and how well do they perform when they do?

Pressure Rate with and without Stunts

Data: @ftnfantasy.com

Which teams use the most DL stunts and do they pressure QBs more or less when they do?

Seahawks
• 21.3% usage (7th)
• +26.4% pressure difference (1st)

My favorite graphic is back and the top names are starting to fall into place.

Abdul Carter 👀

a group of football players including smith and barnes are standing together ALT: a group of football players including smith and barnes are standing together

Bring it on

The Giants doubled their season stunt total with 10 vs the Chargers, per @ftnfantasy.com

They generated pressures on 7 of them (70%) compared to 33% without stunts for a 37% boost, the 2nd largest gap this season for any defense with 5+ stunts in a game.

EPA/Play with & without pressure

• Fields and Penix are the only QBs better under pressure
• Jordan Love: best EPA/play clean, 6th worst pressured
• Daniel Jones… good under pressure??

Yards per Route Run from Out Wide and Slot

Before his injury, Tyreek Hill was 2nd in the NFL in YPRR when lined out wide.

QB EPA/Play Rankings
(weeks 1-4 | min 40 plays)

1) Josh Allen: +0.35
2) Jordan Love: +0.35
3) Daniel Jones: +0.31

Rookie running backs ran for 737 yards this week. Most by any rookie class in any week of September football in NFL history.

Kayvon Thibodeaux averaged a 0.66s Get-Off (time to cross the LOS) vs the Chargers.

That’s the 2nd-fastest of any defender in a game this season with 20+ pass rush snaps.

Thibodeaux (0.66s), Burns (0.76s), Carter (0.79s), Dex (0.92s), & Darius Alexander (0.93s) all set season-best Get-Offs vs LAC

Pressure % and Time to Pressure from EDGE Alignment

Pressure % and Time to Pressure from DT Alignment

The Giants pressured Justin Herbert on 47.7% of dropbacks despite Herbert averaging a 2.63-second time to throw, per NextGenStats.

Pressures:
• Abdul Carter - 8
• Brian Burns - 6
• Kayvon Thibodeaux - 6

Number of Runs between Play-Action

Question for the nerds: Which offense’s play-action sequencing makes it easier for defenses to anticipate, the Ravens or the Colts?

First Read Throw % and EPA/Play

Daniel Jones has targeted his first read on 82% of attempts (highest in NFL), generating +0.57 EPA/play on those throws (4th best).

Defensive Line Stunts

Highest Usage:
1) Patriots: 25.8%
2) Bucs: 23.9%
3) Broncos: 23.1%

Lowest Usage
30) Colts: 7.5%
31) Giants: 7.1%
32) Lions: 3.2%

Offensive Rushing Success Rates

• Cowboys lead the league despite only 2 (unsuccessful) rushes with the most common concept (Man/Duo)
• Texans struggling

Time to Pressure Leaderboard
(weeks 1-3 | min 9 pressures)

1) Odafe Oweh: 2.06s
2) Jonathan Greenard: 2.09s
3) Will Anderson Jr: 2.29s

Russell Wilson’s 2025 Pass Chart

• 16.4% of his attempts were 10–20 air yards (5th lowest in NFL)

• 44% of those intermediate attempts went into a tight window (<1 yard separation, highest)

Which RBs are the most explosive and carry their teams in explosive play rate?

Bijan Robinson’s 10.8% explosive play rate (3rd best) accounts for 63.6% of the Falcons explosive plays

% of Team’s Targeted & Completed Air Yards
(min 15 targets)

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 368 air yards, 60% of Seahawks’ total
• Malik Nabers: league-high 531 air yards, 78 more than Tyquan Thornton (2nd)

Kickoff Return Data
(weeks 1-3)

- Avg starting field position (returns only): 28.6 yard line
- Avg return fielded at 4 yard line
- 17.6% of returns reached the 35
- Only 9.5% of returns from the endzone made it to the 35