Andrew Whitelaw's Avatar

Andrew Whitelaw

@wheatwatcher.bsky.social

Agri market analyst (fertilizer, grains etc). Scottish accent (it's not Irish). Co-Founder of Episode3.net, co-host of the AgWatchers podcast. Based in Canberra, Australia. πŸ΄σ §σ ’σ ³σ £σ ΄σ ΏπŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί

929 Followers  |  1,006 Following  |  196 Posts  |  Joined: 07.02.2024  |  2.0433

Latest posts by wheatwatcher.bsky.social on Bluesky

Wheat Trading Simulator (BETA)

I played the Wheat Trading Simulator and finished with $9848.95 (Realised P/L: $-151.05)
Period: 7/04/2023 to 4/05/2023
Try it yourself! whitelaw.net.au/wheat_tradin...

Seems accurate to RL.
10 day price crash broke the channel and took my fully exposed position with it! Lucky 2 day recovery end!

28.05.2025 22:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It is on my shelf. I have a large number of books that I will read. When I get hospitalised after hockey, I'll catch up.

23.06.2025 10:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Bored? Help us out by testing our new wheat trading simulator

It's just a bit of fun, but uses historical data. Can you trade the market?

episode3.net/conversation... #agsky #econsky

28.05.2025 07:52 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Two in 10,000: The vital context of animal welfare that the Guardian didn't include - Episode 3 We add the context to the story.

Two in 10,000: The vital context of animal welfare that the Guardian didn’t include

We add the context to the story. Read more on the link below

episode3.net/conversation...

21.05.2025 03:18 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
12.05.2025 23:24 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I thought it was maybe because I reduced my fast food intake over the past three months.

05.05.2025 08:01 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

CPI for Aussie food items from Q1, 2024 to Q1, 2025 shows some big price increases at the retail level over the last year. #agsky #econsky

05.05.2025 00:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

The non-religious population in Australia versus the vote for parties other than the coalition/ALP.

Correlation does not equal causation.

#auspol

05.05.2025 07:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks.

05.05.2025 06:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks Marcia.

05.05.2025 03:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

The Australian election is over; the next campaign starts soon. I thought I would share some thoughts I had over the weekend.

The political landscape is likely to be very different in the future. I put my thoughts into this article on LinkedIn.

www.linkedin.com/pulse/ag-pos...

05.05.2025 01:05 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

AgWatchers Podcast: A complacent nation with John Blackburn AO.

John is a retired vice-air marshal.

Is Australia at risk in the event of a conflict? This sobering episode is up there with our best content.

Apple:

podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/a...

Spotify:

open.spotify.com/episode/55yx...

01.05.2025 02:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man and a woman are walking through a clear bubble on a sidewalk with a no parking sign in the background ALT: a man and a woman are walking through a clear bubble on a sidewalk with a no parking sign in the background

People on the left: "There is no way Dutton can win, no one I know is voting for him"

People on the right: "There is no way Albo can win, no one I know is voting for him"

It's a bubble, people tend to frequent with others of the same political persuasion. #auspol

28.04.2025 23:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Five reports of #varroa mite in Victoria in the past 16 weeks, incl one north of #SwanHill. Much too close for comfort. #beesky #agsky
bees.agriculture.vic.gov.au/Public/Varroa

22.04.2025 22:43 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

"The importance of independence from your analyst."

I wrote a short piece on LinkedIn, you can read it on the link below.

linkedin.com/pulse/import...

18.04.2025 02:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
8 charts underpinning why EP3 sees cattle prices heading higher - Beef Central Prices for Australian heavy steers are set to rise from an average of 365c/kg liveweight in 2025 to 400c/kg in 2026, according to an outlook presented to the 2025 WagyuEdge conference by economist and...

Thanks James Nason for a detailed description in this
Beef Central article (including charts) of my presentation to the Australian Wagyu Association annual conference in Perth last week. #agsky
www.beefcentral.com/news/8-chart...

15.04.2025 03:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Canberra confirms no Russian planes to be stationed in Indonesian air base Indonesia has denied it will allow any Russian long-range aircraft at its air force base after reports send Canberra scrambling.

Reporting on this is all over the place. 🧐

Canberra confirms Indonesia won't host Russian planes at air force base
#agsky #Australia #Putin

www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...

15.04.2025 09:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Can't wait to tell farmers about the fake feral pigs and fake sticky nightshade in their pastures 🫣

15.04.2025 00:30 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

I hear a lot of people talking about Australia becoming a Muslim country. It isn't. Australia is becoming a non-religious country.

15.04.2025 23:32 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

This is what comes up when you put in search terms related to agriculture. Interesting because in rural areas I have seen a lot of signs for Palmers party.

14.04.2025 22:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Trumpet of Patriots is running on a platform of 'commonsense policies for all Australians'β€”although potentially not for agriculture.

The leader and funder of the Trumpets has called for an end to our 'fake biosecurity rules'

14.04.2025 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

This chart combines the AUDUSD forecasts for 36 major financial institutions.

A falling Aussie dollar will be beneficial, but only to an extent. If it falls to an extreme, say below 50Β’, it would likely only be caused by a substantial economic shock lowering demand for our produce

11.04.2025 07:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Let them eat cake.

10.04.2025 08:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

I wrote a piece on agricultural subsidies and how Australian farmers largely go it alone. You can read it on my LinkedIn below:

www.linkedin.com/pulse/austra... #agsky

10.04.2025 04:24 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump argues about Australia having stringent biosecurity protocols but then subsidies US farmers to protect them from his poor trade policies.

10.04.2025 02:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Australia has one of the lowest rates of subsidies for agriculture in the world.

I dont think Australia is guilty of trade manipulation through subsidies. #agsky

10.04.2025 02:38 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
ALP's offer for agriculture Podcast Episode Β· AgWatchers Β· 08/04/2025 Β· 26m

Lucky to record a short podcast with the federal Aust ag minister Julie Collins while at the AMIC conference on the Gold Coast. Listen to her here #agsky
podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/a...

08.04.2025 20:48 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Ep 66: Market forces shaping agriculture with Matt Dalgleish | Agrimaster Matt Dalgleish unpacks market trends, global trade, and ag risks in today's interconnected world.

This podcast was recorded prior to the Trump inauguration but speaks a lot about what may happen. Pleased to see that what was discussed has aged reasonably well. #agsky

agmstr.com/3XRivKU

09.04.2025 04:12 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
China hit hard by Trump tariffs - what it'll mean for Aus ag | Episode 3 China to pay a total tariff of 54pc on goods entering the US.

A great reminder from my @episode3.net colleague
@wheatwatcher.bsky.social about the Trump tariff risks to China and Australian agricultural trade exposures to a potential Chinese economic downturn #agsky #econsky www.farmonline.com.au/story/893341...

06.04.2025 00:32 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

China has been hit with a 34% tariff, which stacks on top of the existing tariffs, giving them an overall 54% tariff on Chinese goods in the United States.

Read the rest on the link

episode3.net/grain/market... #econsky #agsky

06.04.2025 02:37 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@wheatwatcher is following 20 prominent accounts