The food industry must face up to nature-related risk
Boardrooms need to acknowledge that without healthy soils and reliable seasons the system could face collapse
New CEO of Diageo writes:
"Environmental shocks, from flooding to soil degradation to heat stress, pose direct threats to commercial viability
Recent evidence found that the share prices of companies most exposed to biodiversity risk underperformed those less exposed"
www.ft.com/content/5094...
04.12.2025 08:12 β π 140 π 70 π¬ 5 π 9
OBR reckons pay per mile for EVs "is likely to reduce demand for electric cars as it increases their lifetime cost". Expecting 440k fewer sales through to 2030 compared to previous forecast, offset by a 130k increase in sales from more funding for the government's grant scheme'.
26.11.2025 12:46 β π 3 π 5 π¬ 4 π 0
Assuming your gas boiler is 90% efficient, your heat pump needs to have a SCOP of 3.6 to break even.
This is certainly achievable - my heat pump is comfortably above this. But I had a really good installer.
26.11.2025 13:14 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
This will reduce the price of electricity, good for bills and will make the transition easier. But because of other levies (nuclear, correcting two decades of underinvestment in the grid), electricity will still be around 4x the cost of gas.
26.11.2025 12:37 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 3 π 0
This is a big deal. The reduction in sulphur emissions from ships means clouds arenβt as reflective and persistent, so the warming from greenhouse gases is not offset as much. So, while this change is very good for air quality, itβs very bad for almost everything else. #climate
24.11.2025 14:26 β π 61 π 25 π¬ 5 π 0
The case for delaying the application of the EUβs carbon border levy to electricity
The inclusion of electricity in CBAM creates more problems than it solves; ways should be found to exempt it
Brughel calling for a delay to CBAM on electricity as it risks pushing prices power prices up for a couple of years with v little climate benefit.
Better to have accelerated ETS/elec market linking but we're 6 weeks away from CBAM's application...
www.bruegel.org/analysis/cas...
20.11.2025 08:13 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Time series of annual GISTEMP data from 1880 onwards with an estimate for 2025 based on Jan-Oct data showing that it will be cooler than 2024, but probably a little warmer than 2023.
Now that the Sept and Oct data are (belatedly) in, it looks like 2025 will be the second warmest year in the record (~80% probability). The last three years are in a class of their own.
15.11.2025 16:54 β π 378 π 208 π¬ 10 π 18
Hundreds of thousands to lose heat pump subsidies in Reevesβs budget plan
Exclusive: chancellor plans to fund energy efficiency levies via warm homes plan as part of drive to lower energy bills
This will kill the heat pump market.
And that means cuts in investment in the whole system: tech, skills, supply chain, business investment.
And the subsidy is not a *benefit*, it's designed to equalise the choice between gas and electric.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
13.11.2025 16:39 β π 109 π 43 π¬ 13 π 6
Probably re 2030. Re your point about solar, I've done no modelling, but have wondered whether a big surge in (v cheap) solar might do two things for CP2030: 1) increase exports in the summer which count against one of the two subtargets; 2) make summer prices cheap, helping cut annual bills.
27.10.2025 16:45 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
You are right - AR6 had Β£455m for technologies other than offshore wind. Fixed offshore wind had Β£1.1bn though, after the uplift in budget, no?
27.10.2025 16:35 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Β£1.1bn for UK renewables this year (AR7) vs Β£1.5bn for renewables last year (AR6).
The message to developers is to not take the mick on pricing - but the reality is that this isn't the final number, and everyone knows that. ππ‘
27.10.2025 15:58 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0
This isn't going to happen. What car manufacturer is going to bet their market share on selling cars that go slow after the 100km PHEV battery dies?
27.10.2025 11:08 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Pleased to be talking about the future of UK wind power in light of the loss of political consensus on climate - alongside Andrew Bowie, Conservative energy minister.
23.10.2025 08:36 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Five staples fuelling UK food inflation as climate risks rise, study finds
Findings challenge narrative that food price growth is being driven by higher taxes and wage costs
"climate impacted products alone added almost two percentage points to the 5.1% rise in the food and drink basket β roughly 4x the inflationary impact of the rest."
www.ft.com/content/ced8...
21.10.2025 06:52 β π 9 π 5 π¬ 0 π 0
imo, the obliteration of of the IRA Waste Emissions Charge (the "methane rule") is an underdiscussed loss with global ripple effects.
the EPA had a solid framework for identifying & abating cheap, high-impact GHG emissions in up/midstream gas. it's all gone now. the EU methane reg stands alone.
21.10.2025 05:55 β π 8 π 4 π¬ 0 π 0
π±
16.10.2025 15:30 β π 40 π 29 π¬ 1 π 0
This is the quiet, but slowly getting louder horror story taking place across the northern hemisphere
15.10.2025 05:26 β π 51 π 27 π¬ 1 π 0
Nice bit of journalism here on a potential 5x rise in the farming inheritance tax threshold. I tend to agree that it buys no goodwill: news.sky.com/story/damage...
13.10.2025 16:34 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
PART 1: Uncharted Territory
Overshoot Episode 1: Uncharted Territory
If the world didnβt win, has it lost?
We meet the underdog diplomats who helped the world set the 1.5Β°C goal, and the champion sailors who can help us set a course for navigating what comes next
Listen to episode one now: open.spotify.com/episode/1bJl...
06.10.2025 09:25 β π 72 π 35 π¬ 4 π 9
The question for me is less whether you can, but whether you should. The UK promised investors that the RO renewables would operate according to a set formula. The best alternative to RO I have seen is Imperial's Pot Zero idea, but when govt tried it voluntarily nobody signed up...
06.10.2025 14:04 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
- CfDs: Β£29/y but varies (would break contract law)
- ETS costs vary but killing the ETS means no EU electricity deal, which might even put bills up in net terms.
Of these, only CPS doesn't involve retrospective change that would destroy investor confidence.
06.10.2025 12:01 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Claire Coutinho would scrap carbon/renewables costs to save Β£126/y on bills. What might go?
- Carbon Price Support: Β£26/y (main loser is the taxpayer)
- Renewables Obligation: Β£86/y (retrospective change- v bad for investment)
- Small scale FiTs: Β£20/y (retrospective- bad for small solar investors)
06.10.2025 12:01 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0
Does the example of Pakistan not make you think maybe demand growth is instead met by solar in sunbelt countries like Vietnam? Much more spare capacity in the solar supply chain.
02.10.2025 16:15 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Another politician saying don't invest in Britain. π€¦ββοΈ
02.10.2025 10:29 β π 2 π 3 π¬ 0 π 0
Grid battery prices fell by 40% last year.
Evidence is mounting they falling by around ANOTHER 40% THIS YEARπ€―π€―π€―
30.09.2025 11:59 β π 104 π 31 π¬ 3 π 3
Well, USMCA (RIP NAFTA) still just about exists, at least for now...
17.09.2025 14:20 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
I'm looking forward to tea production stats from English tea growers (shout out to www.dartmoorestatetea.com, tregothnan.co.uk, and peterstontea.com) that look like this chart...
17.09.2025 13:02 β π 12 π 5 π¬ 2 π 1
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Just retired as Assoc.Prof, Centre for Environment & Sustainability, University of Surrey. Environment, policy, ethics. Anglican. 25% Scot. Germanophile. ACCESS, CUSP, CECAN research networks; & Perspectiva, GreenAlliance, Theos, WWF. Views here personal