Chris Holbrook

We did best in the recent local elections. You might want to think more critically about those "pollster rankings".

Find Out Now is not owned by Matt Goodwin. Unless I'm Matt Goodwin.

Yeah but YouGov and MiC were also totally off in WoE. Were were much closer for the other Mayoralties, in particular Lincolnshire.

👏

Full write-up and data tables here: t.co/PWvn07FaSL

The main shift since November has been the growth of Reform UK (from 22% to 25%). The main driver of this is Conservative switchers - up to a quarter (24%) of 2024 GE Conservative voters now saying they’d vote for Reform UK, compared to only 14% in November and early December

However, when looking at the results of our voting intention polls in unison, the following trends seem likely:
📉 Conservatives: slight decline
🔴 Labour: steady overall
📈 Reform UK: slight rise

In addition, due to Labour, the Conservatives and Reform UK being very close together, their relative rankings can change very easily, even if their levels of support change only by 1 or 2 percentage points

Note, due to the margin of error (the statistical range within which the true result is likely to fall, usually 2-3% for opinion polls), small week-on-week changes in results may be caused more by random sampling variation, rather than reflect genuine shifts in public opinion

Find Out Now voting intention:

🔴 Labour: 25% (-1)
🟦 Reform UK: 25% (-)
🔵 Conservatives: 20% (-3)
🟢 Greens: 11% (+2)
🟠 Lib Dems: 11% (-)

Changes from 11th December
[Find Out Now, 8th January, N=2,076]

"Do you think he should be able to return as MasterChef presenter?"

He should be able to return: 21%
He should NOT be able to return: 37%
Don't know: 42%

t.co/KEyKx1MYkz

"Which comes closest to your view?"

We need to take these kinds of complaints more seriously: 48%
We need to be more thick-skinned and take less offence: 26%
Don't know: 26%

t.co/bwuK8jH3Jn

"Which comes closest to your view? Gregg Wallace’s comments were..."

Inappropriate and offensive: 47%
Just banter or blokey humour: 23%
Don't know: 30%

t.co/VMTsAbzuV0

"From what you’ve heard, do you think that these comments were inappropriate?"

Inappropriate: 59%
Not inappropriate: 11%
Don't know: 30%

t.co/yDiKhcht4e

Launched survey today of "middle-class women of a certain age" (ABC1 women aged 35-64). At 5000 respondents...

📣9 in 10 heard of Gregg Wallace story
👨‍🍳2-1 say he should leave MasterChef
🛑2-1 say comments 'inapproriate and offensive' over being 'just banter / blokey humour' 🧵👇

Top marks to Volvo for taking Black Friday too far. Booked an appointment at their exclusive Black Friday "event" where I was told I could get a black car for the same price as a non-black car. I'm not even joking. The 1.5 hour round trip was worth it for the laugh.

Full write-up and data tables here: t.co/6VF3J7cLGk

Find Out Now voting intention:

🔵 Conservatives: 27% (+2)
🔴 Labour: 25% (-9)
🟦 Reform UK: 22% (+8)
🟠 Lib Dems: 12% (-)
🟢 Greens: 9% (+2)

Changes from 2024 GE
[Find Out Now, 27th November, N=2,316]

Full data tables here: cms.findoutnow.co.uk/app/uploads/...

The petition says "I believe the current Labour Government have gone back on the promises they laid out in the lead-up to the last election".

Which comes closest to your view?

Has broken promises: 54% 💔 (including 1 in 4 Lab voters)
Has not : 14% ❤️
Not sure: 32%🤷‍♂️

Despite the petition calling for a #GeneralElectionNow, the (admittedly, underwhelming) majority don't want this:

Yes: 44% 👍
No: 56% 👎

14% of Lab voters say Yes (Vs. 74% of Con voters)

[Find Out Now, 25th Nov, N=2,018]

🧵👇

Full data table here: cms.findoutnow.co.uk/app/uploads/...

1 in 5 UK Twitter users also using Bluesky. But Twitter still over 3x more popular, and 4 in 5 Brits using neither platform

🐦 I only use X/Twitter: 16.6%
🌈 I only use Bluesky: 1.9%
🔄 I use both: 4.5%
🚫 I don't use either platform: 77.1%

[Find Out Now, 25th November, N=2018]

Full data table here: cms.findoutnow.co.uk/app/uploads/...

Was the ICC's decision right or wrong?

✅ Right: 37%
❌ Wrong: 11%
🤔 Don’t know: 52%

Had you heard about the ICC warrant for Netanyahu?

📰 Yes, a lot: 22%
📖 Yes, a little: 37%
🙅 No: 41%

Should the UK arrest Netanyahu if he visits? 🧵

🚔 Yes: 42%
🙅‍♂️ No: 14%
🤷 Don’t know: 44%

By 2024 GE (Lab majority in favour, Cons split):

🌹 Labour: 58% / 8% / 35%
🔵 Conservatives: 37% / 30% / 33%

[Find Out Now, 22nd Nov, N=2100]

Also, a much bigger % of NYT followers on X will have followed ages ago and since become dormant (or even dead). Followers on Bluesky will be more recent (and alive).

I was thinking about this… doesn’t the lower engagement have (at least) something to do with more accounts/noise on X? NYT has more followers on X but those followers follow more things on average? Anyway, just a thought.

Good luck America

www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...