Sergi Ferrer

Content (i afortunat) d'haver pogut treballar amb ell aquests darrers anys! Enhorabona @ehernandez.bsky.social! Premi molt merescut!🥳🥳

📢 Call open!
We are hiring a Postdoctoral Researcher for the EU-funded project TaCT-FoRSED, which studies how conspiracy theories affect democratic attitudes.

ℹ️ Info: tauler.seu-e.cat/detall?idEns...

🔗 Application: seleccio.uab.cat/seleccio/log...

📢 Convocatòria oberta! Busquem un Tècnic especialista de Suport a la Recerca per al projecte europeu TaCT-FoRSED, finançat per
@EU_H2020
, sobre conspiracions i democràcia.

ℹ️ Informació: tauler.seu-e.cat/detall?idEns...
🔗 Sol·licituds: seleccio.uab.cat

From the research group @dec-gr.bsky.social, we are glad to share our new Scientific Data article presenting the release of the first 12 waves of the Spanish Political Attitudes Panel (POLAT).

rdcu.be/eIkms

Sexism and the Gender Gap in Support for the Radical Right Using survey data from Spain we show that the gender gap in the probability of voting for the radical-right party Vox is mainly due to men having higher levels of modern sexism than women. We find ...

We have a new paper out with @gricoc.bsky.social in @jwpp.bsky.social (this time I swear I am going to post the right link): www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

The value of liberal democracy: Assessing citizens' commitment to democratic principles SERGI FERRER, ENRIQUE HERNÁNDEZ, ENRIQUE PRADA, DAMJAN TOMIC

📘 64.4

📊 Citizens strongly resist trading off free elections for income, but show more willingness to compromise on other liberal norms according to @sergiferrer.bsky.social @ehernandez.bsky.social @enprava.bsky.social @damjantomic.bsky.social

🔗 buff.ly/2uIi1YT

🧲 We are hiring!
✨ PhD position to join @dec-gr.bsky.social
🏁 4-year FPI contract
🎓 Pol Sci / Social Sci background + Master’s + English
📧 Send expression of interest with CV and motivation letter to gr.dec@uab.cat
🔗 tinyurl.com/yc3epmv2

Three weeks left to apply 👇

🚨 Reposting to avoid any confusion between EPSS & EPSA 🚨

If you want to support non-for-profit, member-led political science association, EPSS is the place to be!

More here 👇🏽

Ausschreibung

@deeesharp.bsky.social & I are looking for a collaborator on a project w/ @offenegesellschaft.bsky.social on empathy-based interventions against affective polarization @uni-hamburg.de
j0b.de/veca

75% PhD position, 1st yr project funded & can be converted to a position w/ teaching afterwards
📆31/08

Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients into Clear Quantities Abstract Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear models, but is more challenging for more complex models with, for example, categorical variables, interactions, non-linearities, and hierarchical structures. Here, we introduce an alternative approach to making sense of statistical models. The central idea is to abstract away from the mechanics of estimation, and to treat models as “counterfactual prediction machines,” which are subsequently queried to estimate quantities and conduct tests that matter substantively. This workflow is model-agnostic; it can be applied in a consistent fashion to draw causal or descriptive inference from a wide range of models. We illustrate how to implement this workflow with the marginaleffects package, which supports over 100 different classes of models in R and Python, and present two worked examples. These examples show how the workflow can be applied across designs (e.g., observational study, randomized experiment) to answer different research questions (e.g., associations, causal effects, effect heterogeneity) while facing various challenges (e.g., controlling for confounders in a flexible manner, modelling ordinal outcomes, and interpreting non-linear models).

Figure illustrating model predictions. On the X-axis the predictor, annual gross income in Euro. On the Y-axis the outcome, predicted life satisfaction. A solid line marks the curve of predictions on which individual data points are marked as model-implied outcomes at incomes of interest. Comparing two such predictions gives us a comparison. We can also fit a tangent to the line of predictions, which illustrates the slope at any given point of the curve.

A figure illustrating various ways to include age as a predictor in a model. On the x-axis age (predictor), on the y-axis the outcome (model-implied importance of friends, including confidence intervals). Illustrated are 1. age as a categorical predictor, resultings in the predictions bouncing around a lot with wide confidence intervals 2. age as a linear predictor, which forces a straight line through the data points that has a very tight confidence band and 3. age splines, which lies somewhere in between as it smoothly follows the data but has more uncertainty than the straight line.

Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life?

Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social)
Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...

📢 EPSS 2026 Call for Papers! @hannaeback.bsky.social and I are excited to invite submissions for the Political Representation section at EPSS 2026 in Belfast. EPSS has some exciting new panel formats this year - read on! 🧵

Apply to EuroWEPS 12/13! We're organizing the next EuroWEPS workshops at Bocconi (Nov 14) and EUI (Dec 15) to discuss designs/papers focusing on causal inference. No presentations, just constructive discussions. Early career scholars are especially welcome to apply! Submission deadline is Sep 30

Young men, gendered labour market competition, and opposition to gender equality policy across 27 EU countries Recent studies have shown an increasing divide in political values between young men and women, particularly regarding gender equality attitudes. In this study it is argued that this is due in part...

New publication in @wepsocial.bsky.social!

Are young men becoming more conservative?

This debate requires a) more nuance and b) theoretical explanations for often descriptive results. With Amy Alexander and Nicholas Charron, we try addressing both.

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.

😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.

👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.

A short 🧵

The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference!

📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast

🗓️ June 18–20, 2026

📍 ICC Belfast

📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025

🧵

The @epssnet.bsky.social call for the 2026 conference in Belfast opened today! 😮

epssnet.org/belfast-2026...

Deadline: 7 November 2025

🧪How did COVID-19 affect citizens’ democratic preferences?

➡️ @cescamat.bsky.social A.Arenas A.Falcó & @jordimunoz.bsky.social find a lasting rise in technocratic preferences and a temporary bump in the willingness to sacrifice civil rights and freedoms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

Gracias Pablo!!

Gracias María!🥳

Thank you Markus!

Gràcies Rubén!🥳

Thank you Morgan!

Thank you Dieter!

Gracias Álvaro!

Gràcies Pep!

Gracias Alejandro!😊

Gracias Damjan!😊

🥳🎉 Thrilled to announce that I'll be officially joining the @uocuniversitat.bsky.social as Assistant professor of Political Science as of Agust 1st! Looking forward to initiating this new step in my career with my new colleagues! 🙌

Introducing "Etched in Marble": Writers on the Forces That Shape Us and the Writing That Endures Catherine Talks to Writers About Why and How They Write

This September, I’m launching a new series as part of my Respect the Marble Substack called:

Etched in Marble: Conversations with writers about how & why they write

I wrote about in my latest post: catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/introducin...

🧵