Josh Balbosa

No major #hurricane had struck before August on the Pacific coast of #Mexico until #Erick2025 did so in *mid-June*. #Erick made landfall as a category 3 after peaking as a 145 mph Cat 4 monster (map from @noaa.gov). 📈 weather extremes take a ☠️ & 💸 toll. And a lot of dead canaries in coal mines.

YouTube video by Jamie M Loud thunder from close +CG (48 kA) during very active thunderstorm - Herne Bay, Kent, UK - 13/06/25

www.youtube.com/watch?v=6BGZ...
Very loud thunder from yesterday's storm - I realise I posted a lot of clips to Twitter/X and very little here so I'll have to post more pics later to balance it out

🔴⚠️⛈🇦🇺Unprecedented rains, almost 500mm in three days for some towns, have hit #NewSouthWales with floods that involved 50000 people. #Australia declared the natural disaster for the state.⬇️#Sentinel1 animation of the flooded area covering 160km2.

Can easily see the wave vorticity on the GFS model next Saturday, along 55W

The Atlantic Hurricane Season is near, the 1st official African Easterly Wave as of 18z has been analzyed by the NHC, this trough feature is anticipated to affect Northern S-America next weekend, reaching Trinidad and Tobago next Sun, it is easily idenfited on satellite as well as hovmoller imagery

The GFS model has finally picked up on the first likely tropical wave of 2025, with its departure from Western Africa possibly on May 19th , next Monday, it will lose its signature as it traverse the Atlantic Ocean, usually first AEW’s are generally weak/low latitude in nature.

It’s almost that time to be seeing those African Easterly Waves being born, every May the first few AEW’s are born, generally weak and low latitudes.

Usually around 60 waves are born and track through the Atlantic Ocean on an annual average basis, with much of them becoming TC’s down the road.

Lowlights:

* Only 1 per day hand-edited forecasts
* Permanent 1 per day balloon launches if 25%+ vacancy at office
* No balloon launches if an office goes to 3 shifts/day
* Reduced shifts
* Combining offices

The world's example for weather services is being destroyed.

Pretty cool day exploring the Sierras and Lake Tahoe

Down goes those stocks again.

Myanmar's military junta responded with another round of airstrikes to impacted areas... oh man, humanity...

Screenshot of the cover of World Meteorological Organization's State of the Climate 2024 report.

The World Meteorological Organization has released its annual State of the Climate report for 2024.
"The annually averaged global mean…temperature in 2024 was 1.55 °C…above the 1850–1900 average…the warmest year in the 175-year observational record…"
wmo.int/publication-...

#Climate #ClimateChange

I've added the Meteosat Third Generation Imager 1 satellite, with images every 10 minutes and higher resolution data in line with Himawari-9 and the GOES satellites. Will be very useful this upcoming season to monitor tropical waves and watch disturbances in the eastern Atlantic!

Saw a synop station in Choluteca Honduras maxed out at 40.6C this afternoon, that's sounds like some record was crushed for March

Looking for some wx people?

Hey. You should text/call/voice-note some friends just because. Don't just DM silly videos. Check in with them. We all need some genuine connection right now!

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Climate scientists be like..

Think I can add the desert SW US heatwave and Mexico heatwave too as a notable one for its record breaking intensity

My annual Top 10 list of most notable weather / climate events:

1) Hurricane Helene (US)
2) Typhoon Yagi (Asia)
3) Hurricane Milton (US)
4) Spain Floods / DANA (October)
5) US SCS Season (2nd Costliest Year)

1/4

The impacts of climate change are already disastrous, and are going to intensify in coming years: “It’s likely the total number of people killed in extreme weather events intensified by climate change this year is in the tens, or hundreds of thousands.”

METAR xkcd.com/3024