Clark Kernaghan

@canadianpolling.bsky.social Might we expect an updated MP name game at some-point. I need a way to test my knowledge 🥺

We need a livestream of you and @ericgrenier.bsky.social playing Super Mario Bros 3.

Leader Net Favourables:

Carney: +15%
Poilievre: -21%
Singh: -25%

Angus Reid / March 16, 2025 / n=4009 / Online

Hope I look as cool as Chrétien when I’m 91

You can really see the ONDP’s seat efficiency at play in the seat by seat results.

Some crazy stats:

- % of ridings where the candidate got under 20% of the vote : OLP-23%, ONDP-69%.

- % of >40% ridings where the candidate won : OLP-45%, ONDP-96% (only Sault Ste. Marie missing for the NDP)

The number of mail in votes in each riding is provided by Elections Ontario here: www.elections.on.ca/en/resource-...

Anything over under a 10pt jump seems pretty unlikely to me, so I think it’s safe to say the OLP holds Ajax, which means a min of 14 seats. And a few others certainly have potential to flip their way.

I say *very* rough because this assumes that the other candidates (3rd, 4th, etc) take a similar share of the mail in votes as in the rest of the votes.

Ok Ontario election people. Using a *very* rough estimation, this is the % of vote needed by each 2nd place party in the mail in ballots to flip a currently uncalled seat. The (+x) refers to the difference in the needed in the mail vote and the vote counted so far. #onpoli

Ranked ballots would indeed be better for everyone

Not only is this the highest liberal number in quite some time ; It is the best poll for the liberals, in terms of popular vote, since BEFORE the 2021 election. 👀

My professional opinion as a math major: it would appear the red line is moving upwards 😁

Merci... Mais non, merci.

lactualite.com/politique/ce...

Looks too red

As someone who cares very deeply about the future of the Liberal Party of Canada, Trudeau needs to step aside.

True, there’s no guaranty things will improve. But staying on the current course is guarantied disaster.

(Note that it’s nothing personal against him, politics just sucks sometimes)

Can you spare a minute to help this campaign? Reverse amendments to the Education Act that lower standards for teacher certification

Sign to help reverse the provincial government’s reduction of requirements for teacher certification (they removed ALL subject-area requirements).

chng.it/QRGKHJ9R9F

Thanks for noticing.

We hit 3000 followers here!

Now, let's aim higher - Give this a repost 👀

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