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Paul Carney

@paul.posts.fyi

Politics & Polling, Market Research, Economics, Tech, Sport and Food.

178 Followers  |  466 Following  |  1,804 Posts  |  Joined: 15.10.2023  |  2.3625

Latest posts by paul.posts.fyi on Bluesky

My kids have had it rammed into them by their school that it’s an awful source of knowledge. Probably with well-meaning intentions to do ‘proper’ research. Let’s see how it works out when they use ChatGPT instead…

03.10.2025 22:41 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Poor Hartlepool…

30.09.2025 14:16 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I’d love to know what those possible 3rd factors could be. Open vs closed? I guess for it to be truly orthogonal to the first 2, it might be a bit weird…

20.09.2025 21:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

All 2-dimensional maps are simplifications of multivariate data. I guess we need to know how much of the complexity is explained by these 2 dimensions. 50%? I’d say the framework is useful if it’s at least that much…

20.09.2025 21:41 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

And it’s not even correct. Technically it’s 2 in less than a week.

But yes, completely baffling angle to take. By the same logic, he probably thinks Liverpool are going to win the league.

11.09.2025 19:22 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Really looking forward to head-scratching, after the gov’t announces a policy to round up poor attenders in the first week, of a new causal link between poor attendance in the second week and overall attendance

31.08.2025 19:52 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Atlas of Space An interactive exploration of the planets, moons, asteroids, and other objects in the Solar System.

“Welcome to the Atlas of Space — an interactive visualization to explore the planets, moons, asteroids, and other objects in the Solar System.” [atlasof.space]

26.08.2025 18:46 — 👍 26    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 3
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I don't know why this lad is building a subterranean city for cats, but I'm all for it.

16.08.2025 23:12 — 👍 9417    🔁 3144    💬 8    📌 476
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I'd like to hear from some of the commentators shouting about revolution why they never bothered to cover the complete collapse of the processing system. Was visible from space (and before 2014 too).

10.08.2025 19:29 — 👍 158    🔁 42    💬 5    📌 4
C is for Contrafibularity | Blackadder The Third | BBC Comedy Greats
YouTube video by BBC Comedy Greats C is for Contrafibularity | Blackadder The Third | BBC Comedy Greats

https://youtu.be/hOSYiT2iG08?si=i5SDc14EjhQ_2js8

07.08.2025 18:34 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Tbh there are plenty of issues with polling itself, as with all social sciences. But that doesn’t mean that a) there are any easy answers with no downsides, and b) we should ditch polling completely…

21.07.2025 13:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Also, not referencing @markpackuk.bsky.social‘s excellent book, Polling UnPacked, feels like cherry picking of sources…

20.07.2025 21:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I made it all the way to the end before this zinger made me grumpy: “…the imaginary public’s confected opinion…”

The public are not imaginary, and their opinion is not confected! It is an inexact science, but so is, well, science.

20.07.2025 21:31 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Menu from Knockhill race circuit, with many variations on 3 themes: chips; burgers; steak

Menu from Knockhill race circuit, with many variations on 3 themes: chips; burgers; steak

Reminds me of this menu at Knockhill race circuit from a few years ago. To this day I wonder what ‘chips and spicy chips’ is.

05.07.2025 22:44 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I might possibly expect *one* giant star anise pizza order per evening. But *two*? That’s just unrealistic.

05.07.2025 19:53 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Number of daily detections from BirdNET-Pi over last 2 weeks

Number of daily detections from BirdNET-Pi over last 2 weeks

Turns out birds don’t like the heat much either. Detections down about 60% over the last week on my BirdNET-Pi… 😕

01.07.2025 22:31 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Cristiano Ronaldo’s £492m Saudi deal: two cynical regimes form a strategic alliance | Jonathan Liew In the social media age, football is a fraction of the Portuguese Übermensch’s appeal and he is untroubled by his paymasters’ morals

the curious thing about the "biggest contract in the history of sport" is how little it has to with sport. in a way, it helps to think of ronaldo x saudi as a kind of trade deal, an alliance between two rogue states with roughly similar ideologies

www.theguardian.com/football/202...

01.07.2025 22:07 — 👍 95    🔁 18    💬 9    📌 2

If you think trans people are a danger to anyone and not fascists and patriarchs and billionaires and bullies and zealots, or think universities don’t have power to resist, you are being manipulated by the bad guys or you are choosing the wrong side of history, that’s it.

01.07.2025 22:10 — 👍 400    🔁 81    💬 2    📌 0

It’s bonkers, isn’t it. If they can’t watch it and enjoy the music, then at least enjoy the crowd enjoying the music. I watched the Myles Smith set yesterday and there was a kid there having the Time Of His Life.

28.06.2025 19:19 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
a tissue on a tray with a bunch of pictures and phrases and about food. but it seemingly contains a bunch of errors and nonsense:

“Doltclous”
“A full suamsh makes for you a happy heram”
“bood food is bood mood”

a tissue on a tray with a bunch of pictures and phrases and about food. but it seemingly contains a bunch of errors and nonsense: “Doltclous” “A full suamsh makes for you a happy heram” “bood food is bood mood”

AI in the wild? This tray tissue I was given at a restaurant is full of errors and hallucinations…!

25.06.2025 17:46 — 👍 3712    🔁 763    💬 345    📌 1139

Actually I’ve been thinking about this - it would be fantastic to see what the 2nd or 3rd closest match is - it may be a close call between different options…

17.06.2025 21:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Yep the family think I’m raving mad but it makes me so happy checking the updates!

17.06.2025 20:07 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Yeah our garden backs on to a lovely park with a lake - but didn't expect such a variety...

Thanks again!

17.06.2025 18:41 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Apparently there was a 58% chance of a Russet-Crowned Motmot in my back garden, which would have been impressive given I'm 5,438 miles away from its natural habitat.

17.06.2025 18:23 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I'm getting a bit too obsessed with the stats behind it, though. It only shows the recordings with high confidence, but you can scroll through the log and find every attempt.

17.06.2025 18:23 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Link to Nikki's original thread below:

17.06.2025 18:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Spectogram of a Dunnock bird song, showing 97% confidence

Spectogram of a Dunnock bird song, showing 97% confidence

And here's an example of a spectogram it picks up. I can't find a way to attach an audio clip to a post...?

17.06.2025 18:19 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Bar chart from BirdNET-Pi showing frequency of different birds, by time of day. Eurasian Wren wins, with European Goldfinch and Rose-Ringed Parakeet in 2nd & 3rd

Bar chart from BirdNET-Pi showing frequency of different birds, by time of day. Eurasian Wren wins, with European Goldfinch and Rose-Ringed Parakeet in 2nd & 3rd

Here's today's haul so far. Parakeets are lower down than I thought, but they are MUCH louder than the others. A bit like right-wing nutters on the socials.

17.06.2025 18:17 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0
Raspberry Pi on a table

Raspberry Pi on a table

Small microphone hanging from a window frame, overlooking a garden

Small microphone hanging from a window frame, overlooking a garden

With huge thanks to @nikkicoates.bsky.social, and a bit of nudging from ChatGPT, I've managed to set up a Raspberry Pi with BirdNet-Pi, a birdsong recognition app.

It sits slap-bang in the middle of my Venn diagram of:

1) birds
2) data overload
3) gadgets I want but don't need

17.06.2025 18:14 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 3    📌 0

Thanks! I doubt I’ll get to this soon (or, if past performance is anything to go by, ever) so please don’t go out of your way. You’ve been really helpful already…

12.06.2025 07:35 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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