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Lee Irving

@magpieuk.bsky.social

Green Party member, proud member of anti growth coalition. Based NE England, UK Ruby on Rails developer

745 Followers  |  2,814 Following  |  486 Posts  |  Joined: 11.12.2023  |  2.1589

Latest posts by magpieuk.bsky.social on Bluesky

Image from OBR's Budget docuoment: "Our economy forecast now incorporates the net effect of the changes to universal credit (UC) 
policies which remain in force following the policy changes made in July. We estimate these will add around 15,000 average hours equivalent (AHE) to labour supply in 2029-30. This reflects 
the net effect of: (1) the increase in the generosity of the UC standard allowance, which is expected to reduce recipients’ financial incentive to enter or remain in employment, leading to an estimated 11,000 AHE reduction to labour supply; and (2) the reductions in the generosity of and eligibility for health-related benefits in UC, which 
are expected to lower income for new claimants, increasing work incentives, and resulting in an estimated 26,000 AHE increase in labour supply. We have also assessed the new employment support programme announced in the Green Paper. Based on evidence from similar past schemes, combined with the Department for Work 
and Pensions’ range of estimates of the numbers of individuals that could be provided with support, we estimate that the programme could support 20,000 to 40,000 inactive claimants"

Image from OBR's Budget docuoment: "Our economy forecast now incorporates the net effect of the changes to universal credit (UC) policies which remain in force following the policy changes made in July. We estimate these will add around 15,000 average hours equivalent (AHE) to labour supply in 2029-30. This reflects the net effect of: (1) the increase in the generosity of the UC standard allowance, which is expected to reduce recipients’ financial incentive to enter or remain in employment, leading to an estimated 11,000 AHE reduction to labour supply; and (2) the reductions in the generosity of and eligibility for health-related benefits in UC, which are expected to lower income for new claimants, increasing work incentives, and resulting in an estimated 26,000 AHE increase in labour supply. We have also assessed the new employment support programme announced in the Green Paper. Based on evidence from similar past schemes, combined with the Department for Work and Pensions’ range of estimates of the numbers of individuals that could be provided with support, we estimate that the programme could support 20,000 to 40,000 inactive claimants"

Today the OBR finally published employment impacts of Govt’s (remaining) disability benefit cuts, which weren’t ready in the spring. Confirms @jrf-uk.bsky.social analysis at the time that these huge cuts to disabled people’s incomes come with relatively few expected to move into work. 🧵1/3

26.11.2025 16:08 — 👍 30    🔁 16    💬 1    📌 3

Penalise or just contribute

23.11.2025 14:33 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Because you are still using services.

23.11.2025 14:33 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Pensioners should pay a NI contribution on income above the state pension

23.11.2025 10:17 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

#BBCLauraK “The economy of course isn’t like a household “ then goes on to say but many people think it is so it’s a thing.

FFS

23.11.2025 09:35 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Zack Polanski: ‘People will have to find some other way to hurt me’ | The Observer

"You can agree or disagree with him, but Polanski does not pretend to be something he is not.

He is unusually willing for a politician to give a straight answer to questions.

Does he want to rejoin the EU? “Yes."

observer.co.uk/news/nationa...

22.11.2025 11:29 — 👍 2199    🔁 561    💬 62    📌 57
Preview
Iran president says capital move now a necessity as water crisis deepens Iran’s capital must be moved because the country “no longer has a choice,” President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday in remarks carried by state media, warning that severe ecological strain has mad...

'Iran’s capital must be moved because the country “no longer has a choice,” President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday in remarks carried by state media, warning that severe ecological strain has made Tehran impossible to sustain'

#Iran 🇮🇷

21.11.2025 04:52 — 👍 1150    🔁 709    💬 35    📌 319
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Social housing provider? Interested in Passivhaus?

Don't miss this brilliant opportunity to visit a near-completed large scale project next week in London!

🗺️ Newham, London
🗓️Tuesday 25 November 10.00-12.00

BOOK NOW: https://www.passivhaustrust.org.uk/event_detail.php?eId=1497

Please share!

21.11.2025 07:00 — 👍 8    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

Whilst we were watching the chaos unfold in Italy, we allowed people to go there on holiday. Couldn’t interrupt their skiing

21.11.2025 06:49 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
WELCOME TO NEWCASTLE GREEN PARTY

Cllrs Musharraf, Chisholm (with guide dog), Peters, and Hartley standing in a park.

WELCOME TO NEWCASTLE GREEN PARTY Cllrs Musharraf, Chisholm (with guide dog), Peters, and Hartley standing in a park.

A headshot of Cllr Alistair Chisholm.

ALISTAIR CHISHOLM
COUNCILLOR FOR OUSEBURN

A headshot of Cllr Alistair Chisholm. ALISTAIR CHISHOLM COUNCILLOR FOR OUSEBURN

Welcoming Ouseburn Councillor Alistair Chisholm to Newcastle Green Party! 💚

“Residents tell me they feel let down by Labour — and I can’t tell them they’re wrong.

(1/4)

20.11.2025 10:27 — 👍 56    🔁 19    💬 2    📌 0

I remember Rishi launching it wearing one of those plastic visor and I was thinking that’s just directing his breath down onto the food …..

20.11.2025 09:27 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

If it's weird to you that the other parties don't get something so obvious:

Join.greenparty.org.uk

19.11.2025 23:21 — 👍 644    🔁 157    💬 34    📌 5

And then there were four!

Exciting news 💚

A big welcome to new @nclgreenparty.bsky.social councillor, Alistair Chisholm.

As Alistair says, so many people feel let down by Labour. With Alistair joining the Greens, it makes us stronger as a local party to work together for Newcastle.

20.11.2025 07:36 — 👍 49    🔁 13    💬 0    📌 2
HOW WE WIN ON THE LEFT IN NEWCASTLE

6TH DECEMBER 2-5PM
AT NEWCASTLE BANGLADESHI ASSOCIATION

Want to protect your community from racism, austerity and the climate crisis?

This event is for you.

Hot food! Children welcome!

tinyurl.com/4aavns7n

HOW WE WIN ON THE LEFT IN NEWCASTLE 6TH DECEMBER 2-5PM AT NEWCASTLE BANGLADESHI ASSOCIATION Want to protect your community from racism, austerity and the climate crisis? This event is for you. Hot food! Children welcome! tinyurl.com/4aavns7n

An event to unite and grow the left in Newcastle ahead of the May 2026 all-out elections and into the future!

🗓 Saturday 6th December
🕥 2-5pm
📍 Newcastle Bangladeshi Association, NE4 6SN

RSVP tinyurl.com/4aavns7n

19.11.2025 13:23 — 👍 18    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Newcastle Labour councillor defects to Greens and attacks government 'failure' Ouseburn ward councillor Alistair Chisholm has announced he is quitting the Labour Party and joining the Greens

www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/north-e...

20.11.2025 06:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Newcastle Labour councillor defects to Greens and attacks government 'failure' Ouseburn ward councillor Alistair Chisholm has announced he is quitting the Labour Party and joining the Greens

And then there was 4. Greens on the rise in Newcastle

www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/north-e...

20.11.2025 06:48 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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At the Budget, the Green Party's message is clear: Cut Bills. Tax Billionaires.

19.11.2025 08:20 — 👍 669    🔁 367    💬 26    📌 56
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He bullied this woman reporter because he is pathetic and scared.

He knows the files are coming.

18.11.2025 22:01 — 👍 713    🔁 292    💬 42    📌 24

What the Home Sec announced today is not the politics of compromise but of being compromised.

Labour has just increased the salience of an issue they will always be outbid on by the right.

17.11.2025 19:37 — 👍 327    🔁 76    💬 14    📌 3

Polanski hitting it out of the park on Newsnight, however putting a Reform Councillor shows how the BBC are weirdly obsessed with Reform.

18.11.2025 09:56 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Home Secretary says "we have become the destination of choice in Europe, clearly visible to every people smuggler and would-be illegal migrant across the world"

That is a factually untrue claim: the Home Office shows that the UK is fifth, getting 1/10 claims, while Germany gets 1/5 claims

17.11.2025 15:51 — 👍 942    🔁 487    💬 43    📌 40

Another regular reminder that the current government has a huge FPTP majority which they could use to improve the representativeness of our voting system, along the lines of the NI Assembly, Senedd or Holyrood

16.11.2025 11:09 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

👀💚👀💚 what a result!! Well done Mike and North Somerset Greens 💚

14.11.2025 07:16 — 👍 21    🔁 7    💬 2    📌 0
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"This energy!!!" 👏👏👏👏

Zack Polanski joins Rizzle Kicks out on stage in Bristol

13.11.2025 08:57 — 👍 849    🔁 242    💬 40    📌 79
body..so yes- dangerous

body..so yes- dangerous

"I have met some very bad people....none as bad as trump.

Not one decent cell in his body..so yes - dangerous."

Jeffrey Epstein 2017

13.11.2025 09:23 — 👍 1286    🔁 531    💬 62    📌 51
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🟢 Here's why you should join the Green Party 👇

Join.greenparty.org.uk

14.10.2025 12:26 — 👍 289    🔁 121    💬 11    📌 7

Boris Johnson says the idea that criticism of the BBC is being organised by the right is ‘complete and utter bollocks’, which makes me think there might be something in it.

11.11.2025 14:33 — 👍 3531    🔁 736    💬 139    📌 26

Or just write something that happens before he dies

11.11.2025 13:28 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

If this is true - this should have happened a long time ago.

The Green Party alongside campaigners have been calling for this - and it's good to see maybe they've finally listened.

Will reserve relief for all children being lifted out of poverty until we know it's happening.

10.11.2025 16:51 — 👍 1260    🔁 244    💬 49    📌 7

Did he say how?

10.11.2025 19:52 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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