Yes there is
10.01.2025 15:20 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@tylermacro.bsky.social
PM at various macro hedge funds for 20yrs. Always learning, hopefully teaching a bit as well sometimes.
Yes there is
10.01.2025 15:20 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0& then compare it to 2016β¦.
18.12.2024 20:48 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0So everyoneβs ok with the hawkishness over here?
:)
Difference is we canβt explain what these companies do
Also Tesla has risen enough to be in now
The bubble is in the real economy
17.12.2024 08:42 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Why describing Germany as βthe sick man of Europeβ is wrong β in two charts: employment (rate) has never been higher, it is one of the highest in Europe and has increased more quickly than most over the past 15 years.
www.ft.com/content/9ae3...
#ttf
Most benign weather set up Iβve seen in some time
Much above avg temps in US Europe & N Asia over the next few weeks
How big are the Chinese banks now? A 1 trillion RMB capital infection -- the largest since the post 1998 recaps -- is only 0.5% of assets
What's bizarre about the banks is that they insist on paying 30% of Net Income as dividends to minority shareholders despite being capital constrained
Thatβs incredibly impressive per capita growthβ¦
11.12.2024 22:26 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Chinese yield curve is a sight to behold when you realize all their biggest companies are banks
10.12.2024 08:24 β π 0 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Chart of the NFIB's small business optimism series for the past 20 years
You're not going to believe this but small businesses think everything is rosy now when they didn't last month.
10.12.2024 11:02 β π 528 π 69 π¬ 26 π 23How is it weird, look at these machines in our hands
10.12.2024 09:18 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Chinese yield curve is a sight to behold when you realize all their biggest companies are banks
10.12.2024 08:24 β π 0 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0#ttf
The YoY comparisons in LNG send out are going to go positive v soon & then stay that way for monthsβ¦
Strangeβ¦
09.12.2024 10:44 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Is ETS2 just entirely an add-on to existing carbon taxes in those areas of the economy?
Or is there supposed to be some true-up whereby direct double taxation is eliminated?
Thereβs something odd in the change in monetary policy stance coming so late when by conventional measures the monetary policy stance has already been loosened dramatically
Puzzling
#ttf
I believe in the new LNG era, the entire northern hemisphere is an integrated system
Since I do not believe itβs possible to have a cold winter across the whole hemisphere any longer; I do not believe we can ever run low on storage
Doesnβt mean we canβt have temporary price spikes though
Affordability measured how
05.12.2024 11:20 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0How?
05.12.2024 10:21 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0You canβt run a retirement fund (the U.S. government) on 17% of GDP in revenue
05.12.2024 10:10 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Compare
www.bea.gov/sites/defaul...
The βGreat Depressionβ in parts of Europe post GFC is the single most deceptive narrative Iβve come across (in reading or living) & yet itβs right there in the data
Strangely underexplored
What other uses?
29.11.2024 10:40 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Late night mise en place ( a la americane)
27.11.2024 20:00 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Headline.
27.11.2024 19:56 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Itβs like thanksgiving, but in France
27.11.2024 19:44 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Wah wah
Wage and salary was revised down substantially as I expected
#numbersday
Letβs make sure to look at he revisions to nominal income today
#numbersday