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David Dunning

@daviddunning6.bsky.social

Studying the psychology underlying human misbelief. Mary Ann and Charles R. Walgreen, Jr., Professor of the Study of Human Understanding, University of Michigan. (PS. Neither Justin nor I named it that. Best career move we never made.) he/him/his

4,385 Followers  |  332 Following  |  315 Posts  |  Joined: 24.09.2023  |  2.2718

Latest posts by daviddunning6.bsky.social on Bluesky

There are two Bs!

07.08.2025 21:49 β€” πŸ‘ 81    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Outstanding...nothing finer than Rapanos Chicken Sausage Chorizo Style!

02.08.2025 23:24 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

True. Even a raw deal is, by definition, still a deal.

01.08.2025 12:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But no cancer research for the rest of us.

But let them eat cake...

How's that plane comin'.

31.07.2025 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump’s AI plan is here. What's in it, what does it leave out, and what happens to your job?

#AI #ArtificialIntelligence #AIPolicy #Jobs #Policy #DigitalEconomy #News #Explained #TechNews #OpenAI #Politics

31.07.2025 18:49 β€” πŸ‘ 124    πŸ” 51    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 5
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Happy Birthday, Rosalind Franklin. She captured an X-ray diffraction image of DNA and stated that a helical structure was probable. Watson and Crick then created a detailed model based on her results. They initially received credit for the discovery and were awarded the Nobel Prize after her death.πŸ§ͺ

26.07.2025 06:05 β€” πŸ‘ 229    πŸ” 93    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 7

Thus, perhaps teaching students metacognition more directly, that is what Anatole France emphasized, will also help them pass through life more successfully. /end

25.07.2025 15:46 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Improving General Chemistry Course Performance through Online Homework-Based Metacognitive Training In a first-semester general chemistry course, metacognitive training was implemented as part of an online homework system. Students completed weekly quizzes and multiple practice tests to regularly assess their abilities on the chemistry principles. Before taking these assessments, students predicted their score, receiving feedback after completing the assessment on their prediction accuracy. They also received detailed information regarding their ability for each assessment topic and used this information to create a future study plan. During this study plan, students indicated their general ability by chemistry topic and selected areas they would focus their studying upon. A control section completed the same assessments and received the same feedback of ability by topic, but students did not predict scores or create study plans. Results indicate identical initial assessment performance between the two chemistry course sections. However, metacognitive training resulted in improved assessment performance on each subsequent midterm exam and on the American Chemical Society (ACS) general chemistry final exam. After factoring out the effect of teacher differences, metacognitive training improved student ACS final exam average performance by approximately 4% when compared to the control section. Additionally, metacognitive training targeted the bottom quartile of the course by improving their ACS final exam average performance by approximately 10% when compared to the control section.

Perhaps, as educators, we should spend more effort…
Focusing students on achieving Anatole’s true education. Previous work has shown that requiring intro chemistry students to test what they know before they take exams helps them pass the course. 11/n

pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/...

25.07.2025 15:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Epistemic Trespassing Abstract. Epistemic trespassers judge matters outside their field of expertise. Trespassing is ubiquitous in this age of interdisciplinary research and rec

At its extreme, it can lead to epistemic trespassing, invading the province of other people’s expertise with what you think is your own, as was notably seen during the COVID epidemic. 10/n
academic.oup.com/mind/article...

25.07.2025 15:38 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Research: Competent Leaders Know The Limits of Their Expertise It is very important as a manager to accurately gauge one’s competence; overconfidence can lead to significant business failures. Self-perceived expertise can cause individuals to overclaim knowledge,...

It does have its side effects, leaving people more expert in what they know than they actually areβ€”in possession of an overly expansive impression of their circle of competence. What is to be done? 9/n
hbr.org/2024/09/rese...

25.07.2025 15:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Exactly on those questions when they were prone to extend the knowledge they had learned to circumstances where it didn’t necessarily apply. There, they were confident, but not competent.

So, what to make of education? No doubt, it is invaluable, but…
8/n

25.07.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Education not only gives a student direct knowledge of specific facts, but shards of information, β€œschematic knowledge,” that they can use to infer answers to novel questions. In one last GPS study, we showed that participants answered questions overconfidently…
7/n

25.07.2025 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Miscalibrated about their knowledge about material never covered in the videos. Once again, students had a difficult time recognizing the boundaries of their newly acquired β€œcircle of competence.” Why?
6/n

25.07.2025 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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IWe then took to online studies, giving people brief video courses on global positioning systems (GPS), or a control topic (breadmaking). Afterward, GPS students were not only more confident answering questions about nonexistent terms, but they were also more… 5/n

25.07.2025 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The same results emerged in a finance class where students rated if they could answer multiple choice items about the terms for candy rewards.

Finance students were less likely to request that questions about nonexistent terms be altered to make them easier. 4/n

25.07.2025 15:31 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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But they also did the same to terms never discussed because those terms do not exist. We made them up in the office.

Apparently, students didn't have a completely accurate snapshot of their new β€œcircle of competence.” Students contacted 2 years later continued to β€œrecognize” these bogus terms. 3/n

25.07.2025 15:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

In one study, students in a psych and law class were asked if they recognized psycholegal terms at the beginning and end of the semester. So was a comparison class.

Good news: By the end of the semester, the psych and law students reported familiarity with the terms taught in class.
2/n

25.07.2025 15:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Learning More Than You Can Know: Introductory Education Produces Overly Expansive Self-Assessments of Knowledge | Management Science

New from the lab, w/@stavatir.bsky.social, in press at Management Science:

Anatole France said that true education isn’t what you commit to memory but the ability to separate what you know from what you don’t.

Does the classroom do that? Well, um, a πŸ§΅β€¦ 1/n
pubsonline.informs.org/doi/abs/10.1...

25.07.2025 15:23 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Equifinality.

23.07.2025 08:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I have some good news, and some bad news.

22.07.2025 12:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯

22.07.2025 05:26 β€” πŸ‘ 3780    πŸ” 676    πŸ’¬ 42    πŸ“Œ 15

True, but an improvement over the Paul Simon, who provided only 4, and they were all Irish goodbyes.

21.07.2025 17:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Chart shows Republicans turn less positive about science’s impact on society

Chart shows Republicans turn less positive about science’s impact on society

Before the pandemic hit, 70% of Republicans said that science has had a mostly positive effect on society. Four years later, fewer than half (47%) said so. πŸ§ͺ
https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2023/11/14/americans-trust-in-scientists-positive-views-of-science-continue-to-decline/

20.07.2025 23:40 β€” πŸ‘ 200    πŸ” 73    πŸ’¬ 23    πŸ“Œ 22

Yes, finally, the level beyond keto.

11.07.2025 22:04 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Contemplating this evening that in TV political commentary we've evolved from David Gergen to Scott Jennings.

RIP...To whom or what I am referring, I am not sure.

11.07.2025 21:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Jesus Christ.

06.07.2025 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
WACTH: Josh Riley Absolutely Explodes At House Republicans During Big Beautiful Bill Debate
YouTube video by Forbes Breaking News WACTH: Josh Riley Absolutely Explodes At House Republicans During Big Beautiful Bill Debate

youtu.be/MCFPM-87Kgc

WACTH: Josh Riley Absolutely Explodes At House Republicans During Big Beautiful Bill Debate

03.07.2025 03:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Arbeit macht frei.

01.07.2025 14:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Face it, you're older and have more insurance.

28.06.2025 13:14 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The world of ideas and public engagement feels diminished tonight. RIP.

27.06.2025 02:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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