Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. ๐งต 1/17
23.06.2025 01:25 โ ๐ 2895 ๐ 1136 ๐ฌ 93 ๐ 272
The political dimensions of the US-Iran war in the US, the region and the world will also play a role in shaping how the conflict plays out.
I'll start with the US, where the political aspects present a far greater risk than the military aspects.
๐งต
22.06.2025 11:57 โ ๐ 40 ๐ 15 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 2
In my latest piece, I unpack why Ankara is urgently pushing for an end to the Israel-Iran war โ and why itโs especially anxious to keep the U.S. out of it.
๐ฉAmong the most immediate risks is the possibility of Turkey becoming a target for Iranian retaliation, particularly because of the NATO 1/5
20.06.2025 21:38 โ ๐ 21 ๐ 12 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 1
ChatGPT's Impact On Our Brains According to an MIT Study
The study, from MIT Lab scholars, measured the brain activity of subjects writing SAT essays with and without ChatGPT.
MIT study found that AI overuse causes measurable brain damage. โCognitive atrophy.. like a muscle thatโs forgotten how to workโ MIT Publication - arxiv.org/pdf/2506.088...
Time Magazine - time.com/7295195/ai-c...
21.06.2025 01:09 โ ๐ 217 ๐ 118 ๐ฌ 13 ๐ 20
The implosion of Iranโs โno war, no peaceโ strategy
Hubris and miscalculation blew apart Tehranโs decades-old deterrence doctrine as Israelโs appetite for risk grew
โSoleimani ended up being the architect of a flawed strategyโfirst overstretching Iran by investing so much in Iraq and Syria and second by overstating the power of the network. The Iranians invested in virtually everything except in defenceโand notably air defence.โ @emile-hokayem.bsky.social
20.06.2025 12:27 โ ๐ 13 ๐ 4 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
This is terrific
19.06.2025 18:32 โ ๐ 9 ๐ 5 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
For all the millions of word that have been written about how LLMs work, this is the only thing about them that most of us need to know.
19.06.2025 13:07 โ ๐ 239 ๐ 53 ๐ฌ 12 ๐ 1
Very thoughtful, insightful and to my mind not mutually exclusive response to my earlier thread about Israel and the regional order.
To clarify one point, there's a meaningful difference between exercising a military veto, which I think Israel does, and being a regional hegemon, which I don't.
17.06.2025 11:52 โ ๐ 14 ๐ 3 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0
Short ๐งต: Bibi encouraging the overthrow of the Khamenei regime in Iran will remind people (people of a certain age, anyway) of George Bush Sr. calling on Iraqis to rise up against Saddam Hussein after the first Gulf War. That didnโt go well. 1/10
16.06.2025 22:45 โ ๐ 8 ๐ 6 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
The U.S. Pivot From the Middle East to Asia Is Still Wishful Thinking
Israelโs attacks on Iran cement a hard truth for the United States: Pivoting away from the Middle East isnโt as simple as just ignoring it.
My latest in @wpr.bsky.social, gifted for you.
"Over and over, Washingtonโs efforts to disengage from the Middle East instead keep bringing the U.S. back into the region, with increasingly disastrous effects."
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-middle-ea...
17.06.2025 13:26 โ ๐ 14 ๐ 9 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 2
Each of the unelected juntas in the Sahel have lost sovereign territory since seizing power.
Here is a look at the militant groups thriving in the region and now threatening the coastal West African countries:
www.washingtonpost.c...
16.06.2025 12:56 โ ๐ 24 ๐ 9 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 1
Class photo from the 2024 G7 Summit showing EU Council President Charles Michel, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Candaian PM Justin Trudea, French President Emmanuel Macron, Italian Pm Giorgia Meloni, US President Joe Biden, Japanese PM Kishida Fumio, British PM, Rishi Sunak and EU Commission President Ursula Von Der Leyen.
This photo is the political equivalent of a mass extinction event waiting to happen.
16.06.2025 14:52 โ ๐ 13 ๐ 4 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 2
Sober thread on the mood among the Israeli political leadership and public so far.
It seems to lean toward optimism about what this campaign can achieve and what they can expect from the US, without much justification for either.
15.06.2025 07:24 โ ๐ 35 ๐ 8 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
The Iranians just handed the excuse the Israelis were looking for to escalate further.
Any speculation about de-escalation is downright delusional
13.06.2025 18:23 โ ๐ 106 ๐ 33 ๐ฌ 19 ๐ 9
- The Prank -
Sooooโฆ and who exactly did they prank? ๐๐๐
Team Angela 23 : 0 Team Chenford
#chenford #therookie #therookieabc #therookielego #lego #aprilfoolsprank #aprilfoolsday #lucychen #timbradford
02.04.2025 14:52 โ ๐ 11 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
The only people Tim & Lucy were pranking this episode was themselves ๐
#Chenford
#therookie
02.04.2025 06:16 โ ๐ 13 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0
BUSTED ๐คฃ๐คฃ
They even took off their body cameras ๐คฃ๐คฃ๐คฃ
I canโt stop laughing ๐คฃ
#therookie
#chenford
02.04.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 15 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 3 ๐ 0
BTS ๐ฅ | Melissa OโNeil & The Rookie via Instagram Stories [04.01.25]
โ Q: Tim and greyyyy
walked in on richardtjonesโ theories on #chenford
heโs explaining the lie detector moment and then ends his presentation with his interpretation of chenโs perspective. ๐คฃ
02.04.2025 00:41 โ ๐ 11 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
I'VE NEVER SEEN #Chenford RACE OUTTA THE STATION LIKE THAT ๐๐๐
THEY ONLY HAD 55 MINUTES. HAD TO MAKE EVERY SECOND COUNT. ๐
#TheRookie
02.04.2025 02:19 โ ๐ 21 ๐ 3 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
were we really fed all of that last night?? like it happened? ๐๐คญ๐ฅฐ
#Chenford #TheRookie
02.04.2025 13:33 โ ๐ 26 ๐ 5 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0
More datapoints for chaos within the American state and economy turning the US into a paralysed geopolitical actor
03.04.2025 16:11 โ ๐ 46 ๐ 4 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Beefpup plushie on weโre soapy concrete getting sprayed in the face with the hose on her setting
Beefpup laying face down on soapy wet concrete being sprayed in his defined cheeks with the hose
YAMEROOO
24.03.2025 21:39 โ ๐ 71 ๐ 27 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 1
Still hereโฆ #chenford #therookie
21.02.2025 19:49 โ ๐ 19 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
TATTOO IT ON ME!!
#Chenford #TheRookie
26.02.2025 02:56 โ ๐ 17 ๐ 5 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
just very much here for tim always cradling lucy in times of need. Itโs his way of showing her that sheโs safe. #therookie #chenford
26.02.2025 03:55 โ ๐ 8 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
I will tell my kids this was my Titanic
#TheRookie #Chenford
26.02.2025 04:29 โ ๐ 23 ๐ 4 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 1
Northern correspondent, Financial Times
๐Manchester
Site status updates for the Archive of Our Own, a Hugo Award-winning project of the Organization for Transformative Works (@transformativeworks.org)
Defence Editor at The Economist.
Visiting Fellow at Department of War Studies, KCL. For speaking engagements: https://chartwellspeakers.com/speaker/shashank-joshi
Longtime Middle East/global affairs/diplomacy observer. Current: Senior Fellow, UCLA Burkle Center. Former: Director, RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy. More info here: https://www.daliadassakaye.net/. New book out Dec 2!
Laurentian Associate Professor of History, St. Lawrence University.
Non-resident scholar, Stockholm University, Institute for Turkish Studies (SUITS)
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Senior Fellow @ Washington Institute for Near East Policy | Visiting Research Scholar in Dept of Politics @ Brandeis | Founder of Jihadology | Author of โThe Age of Political Jihadism: A Study of Hayat Tahrir al-Shamโ
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Editor, The New Republic. Editor, Democracy: A Journal of Ideas. Scribbler. Serbo-Calabrian West Virginia Episcopalian.
Straight-shooting information and analysis at the intersection of national security, law, and policy.
Support Lawfare at https://www.lawfaremedia.org/support
Professor at the Middlebury Institute, member of the National Academies Committee on International Security and Arms Control, and former member of the State Department's International Security Advisory Board.
Editor-at-large, World Politics Review. Spent more than a year in Provence. Used to be an American in Paris. Currently bringing coal to Newcastle.
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