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Roger Middleton

@rogermid.bsky.social

Horn of Africa research. MD Sabi Insight Ltd and Rift Valley Inst Fellow. Ex CDI, Oxfam & Chatham House.

1,093 Followers  |  530 Following  |  79 Posts  |  Joined: 12.02.2024  |  1.6944

Latest posts by rogermid.bsky.social on Bluesky

Preview
Ethiopia builds secret camp to train Sudan RSF fighters, sources say The covert site is new evidence of how Sudan's civil war is expanding across the region.

Strong sourcing here for #Ethiopia backing the RSF in #Sudan: www.reuters.com/investigatio...

10.02.2026 09:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Please do join us later today for the seminar. Details & webinar registration link below.

10.02.2026 09:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Ethiopia inches ever closer to war The latest flare-up in Tigray shows the risk of a regional conflagration

Tigrayโ€™s interim president described the fighting as โ€œsomething resembling an all-out warโ€.

That outcome appears to have been averted, for now. Yet the risk of further violence remains uncomfortably high.

Our piece on the latest war-scare in Ethiopia๐Ÿ‘‡

www.economist.com/middle-east-...

05.02.2026 18:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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UPDATE

Join EWNET for an online webinar on how #Ethiopia has been written into global knowledge and how Ethiopian thinkers have written the world from Ethiopia.

Fri 30 Jan 2026 | 13:30 Cambridge | 16:30 EAT (corrected time)
Register here: tinyurl.com/3kbm7xuj

28.01.2026 09:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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SAVE THE DATE | Join EWNET for an online webinar exploring how #Ethiopia has been written into global knowledge and how Ethiopian thinkers have written the world from Ethiopia.

Fri 30 Jan 2026| 13:30 Cambridge | 15:30 EAT

Register: tinyurl.com/3kbm7xuj

22.01.2026 10:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

unbelievably, incredibly pleased to share with you that one of my oldest friends managed, with a straight face, to convince her partner that Jon Hamm was married to an Italian woman called Ana Mortadella

23.01.2026 20:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 610    ๐Ÿ” 33    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 22    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Anyone here is from Somaliland?

I use to connect with many Somalilanders on ex-Twitter...

06.01.2026 16:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Somaliaโ€™s 2026 election risks a legitimacy crisis Unilateral reforms and elite deadlock threaten the countryโ€™s fragile settlement.

A sobering, timely warning from Dr Afyare Elmi on the danger of #Somalia's fragile political settlement unravelling: "The federal governmentโ€™s unilateral pursuit of power, cloaked in the language of democratic reform, threatens to trigger a legitimacy crisis..."

www.aljazeera.com/opinions/202...

19.12.2025 11:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I do a Book Club subscription (see attached).

for #buyastrangerabook day, in memory of his Dad, who died this year, @mjazzg.bsky.social is offering to buy a 6 month subscription for for someone who'll be by themselves at Xmas or working Xmas shifts in NHS.

If you'd like it, get in touch.

UK only.

17.12.2025 14:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 20    ๐Ÿ” 20    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Some photos of Haitians running in the streets. There's smoke in the background. It looks like political disorder.

Some photos of Haitians running in the streets. There's smoke in the background. It looks like political disorder.

A Haitian man stands next to a wall with some barbed wire behind him. The original Magnum caption said the man felt Haiti was a prison and he dreamed of making it to the United States. He wanted to be a rapper.

A Haitian man stands next to a wall with some barbed wire behind him. The original Magnum caption said the man felt Haiti was a prison and he dreamed of making it to the United States. He wanted to be a rapper.

Some men take a break from building a boat.

Some men take a break from building a boat.

A boat sets sail far off into the distance.

A boat sets sail far off into the distance.

A story I found about Haiti:

In 1999, a group of Haitians were tired of political disorder and dreamed of a better life in the United States. So they built a small, 23-foot boat by hand using pine trees, scrap wood, and used nails. They called the boat "Believe in God."

18.12.2025 02:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3969    ๐Ÿ” 1106    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 32    ๐Ÿ“Œ 235

Itโ€™s not necessary to keep highlighting the qualities of exceptional immigrants as a reason for them to be treated well by their governments. We donโ€™t have to be on our best behaviour to receive a basic level of human decency: thatโ€˜s why theyโ€™re called โ€œhuman rightsโ€, and not โ€œhuman privilegesโ€.

12.12.2025 23:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 558    ๐Ÿ” 173    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

You better watch out,
You better not cry,
You better not pout,
I'm telling you why,
Big Green Books will post to your town,
Big Green Books will post to your town.

Now make a long a list,
Weโ€™ll work out a price.
Weโ€™ll find lots of books to make you feel nice.
Big Green Books can post to your town

11.12.2025 22:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 50    ๐Ÿ” 22    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Watch the whole thing. Absolutely chilling.

11.12.2025 12:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 618    ๐Ÿ” 204    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Starmer urges Europeโ€™s leaders to curb ECHR to halt rise of far right Exclusive: PM calls for members of European convention on human rights to allow tougher action to protect borders

Adopt far-right policies to stop the far right gaining influence - continues to be the stupidest idea in European politics today.
www.theguardian.com/law/2025/dec...

10.12.2025 09:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 261    ๐Ÿ” 111    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 13

SKULL OF THOMAS AQUINAS: TAKE A LEFT NOW
PRIEST: No, the GPS says we have to keep goingโ€”
SKULL: I KNOW A SHORTCUT
PRIEST: Do you remember the last tiโ€”
SKULL: FOR THOSE WITH FAITH, NO EVIDENCE IS NECESSARY; FOR THOSE WITHOUT IT, NO EVIDENCE WILL SUFFICE

10.12.2025 17:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13608    ๐Ÿ” 4861    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 108    ๐Ÿ“Œ 227
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Local responders are holding communities together as aid to #Sudan and #SouthSudan hits historic lows. Join RVI and partners in Nairobi on 10 Dec to discuss whatโ€™s needed to adapt policy and practice.

Register: tinyurl.com/CharitytoSolidarity

๐Ÿงต1/2

09.12.2025 12:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Image of people laughing together with the writing: "Migrants are not statistics. We are part of communities. We are your colleagues, friends and family. Donate today to combat misinformation about migrants".

Image of people laughing together with the writing: "Migrants are not statistics. We are part of communities. We are your colleagues, friends and family. Donate today to combat misinformation about migrants".

๐ŸšจDonate today and help combat misinformation about migrants๐Ÿšจ

Hate and hostile policies are rooted in misinformation about migrants. If you can, please donate today to support Migrant Voice and help us continue to ensure migrants' voices and experiences are heard.
www.gofundme.com/f/help-comba...

08.12.2025 16:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Quรฉ papel juega EE.UU. en Somalia, el paรญs del que Trump no quiere inmigrantes y el Pentรกgono lleva aรฑos bombardeando - BBC News Mundo El paรญs africano es uno de los mรกs pobres del mundo y lleva dรฉcadas en guerra. A los actores locales hay que sumar las influencias extranjeras.

Had the chance to speak with BBC Mundo about the current situation in Somalia and US policy there www.bbc.com/mundo/articl...

07.12.2025 12:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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UK rejects visa for girl left destitute in Jamaica by Hurricane Melissa Lati-Yana Brownโ€™s parents had asked for application to be expedited so she could join them in UK after house ruined

Another example of all that is wrong with the Home Office and the hateful immigration rhetoric in the UK. And why should she have to pay visa fees if her parent is British? www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

28.11.2025 09:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

(Although one point here is that the left should maybe start trying to actually have the argument on issues like this, instead of just giving up on it and hoping that if the policy is passed quietly no one will notice)

27.11.2025 13:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 50    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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"We fought as fighters, not as women": women's participation in ethnonational armed groups in Ethiopia - XCEPT Ethnonational mobilisations โ€” characterised by a strong sense of national and political identification, whether organised along ethnic, religious, or regional political identifications โ€” tend to flatt...

New XCEPT report by Hilina Berhanu Degefa on womenโ€™s participation in Ethiopiaโ€™s ethnonational armed groups.

Completed through the Women Researchers Fellowship in the X-Border Local Research Network, where RVI is a core partner.

Read here: tinyurl.com/w8dupaah

25.11.2025 08:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The UK isnโ€™t a โ€œsoft touchโ€ on asylum.

UK asylum seeker benefits are similar to European neighbours

No right to work before 12 months (itโ€™s 6 months in France, Spain, Belgium, Netherlands)

UK settlement after 5 years (itโ€™s 3 or 4 in Germany)

Letโ€™s cut out the alarmist rhetoric.

19.11.2025 11:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 735    ๐Ÿ” 282    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 35    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15
Screenshot of a headline reading: "Refugees' jewellery could be seized to pay for asylum costs, says Home Office minister."

Screenshot of a headline reading: "Refugees' jewellery could be seized to pay for asylum costs, says Home Office minister."

This is a new low from a govt plumbing the depths of performative cruelty in hopes that the public wonโ€™t notice they have no answers to the real issues facing this country

A sensible, humane govt would focus on safe routes to prevent people making dangerous small boat crossings

17.11.2025 10:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1813    ๐Ÿ” 550    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 130    ๐Ÿ“Œ 73
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ICE-style raids on Britain's streets: that's all Labour's brutal asylum reforms will achieve | Stella Creasy If we want to โ€˜stop the boatsโ€™, we need to stop the BS when it comes to what creates refugees, and how to respond to them, says Labour MP Stella Creasy

Stella Creasy MP writes that the asylum proposals of the Labour government are "performatively cruel" and likely to be ineffective in securing control or going after the smuggling gangs
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

17.11.2025 09:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 257    ๐Ÿ” 88    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
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UK set to limit refugees to temporary stays Shabana Mahmood is expected to say the era of permanent protection for refugees is over, in major changes to the UK's asylum and immigration system.

I came to this country as a child refugee. No English, no certainty, no idea what my life could become. Britain gave me refuge.

Not on a timer, not with conditions attached, but with a chance to grow roots.

A thread ๐Ÿงต 1/8
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

15.11.2025 10:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1471    ๐Ÿ” 665    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 45    ๐Ÿ“Œ 72
Put Britain's safety before migrants' rights, Mahmood to tell judges

Home Secretary to increase deportations and restrict asylum seekers' use of ECHR in plans modelled on Denmark

36

Gift this article free

Plans for more deportations come as migrants continue to arrive by

small boat Credit: PA

Charles Hymas

Home Affairs Editor

13 November 2025 6:30pm GMT

Shabana Mahmood will force judges to prioritise public safety over the rights of illegal migrants in a crackdown on asylum claims.

Put Britain's safety before migrants' rights, Mahmood to tell judges Home Secretary to increase deportations and restrict asylum seekers' use of ECHR in plans modelled on Denmark 36 Gift this article free Plans for more deportations come as migrants continue to arrive by small boat Credit: PA Charles Hymas Home Affairs Editor 13 November 2025 6:30pm GMT Shabana Mahmood will force judges to prioritise public safety over the rights of illegal migrants in a crackdown on asylum claims.

The Home Secretary will on Monday pledge to "scale up" deportations as she announces new restrictions on the way judges apply the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) when foreigners appeal against being removed from the UK.

Ms Mahmood will propose new statutory rules that require judges to prioritise public interest and safety over migrants' claims that deportation would breach their family rights or put them at risk of โ€œinhuman" treatment if they were returned to their home country.

The Home Secretary will on Monday pledge to "scale up" deportations as she announces new restrictions on the way judges apply the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) when foreigners appeal against being removed from the UK. Ms Mahmood will propose new statutory rules that require judges to prioritise public interest and safety over migrants' claims that deportation would breach their family rights or put them at risk of โ€œinhuman" treatment if they were returned to their home country.

Sickening rhetoric by Home Secretary. Denying access to human rights isn't "protecting the public". This is Labour further demonising those seeking asylum in language very reminiscent of the far right. Yes, some break the law, so should be prosecuted within the law. Removing rights is not the answer

13.11.2025 21:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 355    ๐Ÿ” 145    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 17    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11
Flyer for event, with image of book cover, event time & address and blurb.

Flyer for event, with image of book cover, event time & address and blurb.

On 18 Nov, the Northeast Africa Forum will be co-hosting a book launch & discussion at Maison Franรงaise d'Oxford (4pm UK time).

Catherine Dom will be discussing 'Mekelle Stories: Life in Time of War'

Full details & venue address:
talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/3aa...

11.11.2025 14:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Clear out toys now!

Clear out toys now!

Love being reminded to do this every year. It's a win/win all round

11.11.2025 11:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1588    ๐Ÿ” 1034    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 17    ๐Ÿ“Œ 23
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WePresent | Salah Elmurโ€™s paintings inspired by a childhood in Sudan Painter Salah Elmur now lives in Cairo, but the things he saw and experienced in his time growing up in Sudan are always at the heart of his work

TB to the time when I was writing about Sudan to talk about art, not war...

Born in Khartoum in 1966, artist Salah Elmur now lives and works in Cairo, yet, no matter where in the world he finds himself, Sudan is always at the heart of his work...

wepresent.wetransfer.com/stories/sala...

10.11.2025 22:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@rogermid is following 20 prominent accounts