Anton Strezhnev

YOURE FUCKING KIDDING ME

Why most polls overstate support for political violence Misperceptions about the popularity of violence increase public support for it — but you can help change that.

Why most polls overstate support for political violence
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/most-polls...

i wrote a custom llm sampler for llama-3.1-8b so it could only say words that are in the bible

The Ig Nobel is incredible , one year an Indian guy won it for calculating the average surface area of an elephant and during his acceptance they had an elephant hold up a sign with the surface area of the scientist on it, they do showbiz better than the Oscars

Yeah - turns out the unrealistic part of that book was the whole “international cooperation” thing.

This feels like mean-reversion a bit? Lab-based fields usually have more consistent output v burstiness in other fields - that plus incentive to get the big stuff out right before tenure

I've written an essay reflecting on how I use the word slop and some theory of what distinguishes slop from spam and kitsch.

minihf.com/posts/2025-1...

The pandemic response was weirdly the biggest gift to the Trump 1 ag bailout strategy b/c otherwise they were running out of discretionary funds in 2020.

It will be an annual bailout, because the buyers are not going back to unreliable sellers, and other countries now have windfall revenues they can use to ramp up even more production for the next cycle.

The language is stunning, but it's also one of the most clear-eyed and comprehensive statements I've seen from ANYBODY involved in government thus far as to the nature of the constitutional revolution that we are currently undergoing.

I continue to think that one of the reasons this country is falling apart is the wholesale abandonment of public virtue as a broadly shared aspiration. Or even something people should be embarrassed about if they don’t have it.

“therefore I hold this principle” optional tbh

I need someone to tell me when there’s a good survival mod like Horizon in FO4.

This is true, & backed by the best peer-reviewed research.

@kevinshih.bsky.social of @ucrchass.bsky.social uses large shocks to international student supply in the past to test the hypothesis that they crowd out natives. They crowd *in* natives, via tuition revenue—>

doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...

Ai 2002 rtvrn video and its just an excel sheet for the box offices of every medium sized film from 1995-2004

Hades 2 is like *instantly* better than Hades 1. Right out of the gate it's better. How is it possible. They did it. Those crazy bastards actually did it.

Yeah - there’s too much alternate model spec stuff and not enough falsification/placebo tests in papers. Hopefully changes over time.

This is a corollary of why I dislike the battery of “robustness checks” approach in a lot of papers - just do it right the first time!

Gemeinschaft is not a fun place to live. And it's the exact opposite of liberation, it's basically as far from liberation as you can get. This is why I think communitarianism is always intrinsically reactionary as a political project, no matter how radical the rhetoric and theory.

How Democracies Fall Apart - Dissent Magazine An interview with Adam Przeworski.

It was a true honor to talk to legendary political scientist Adam Przeworski about how he understands the present crisis, what he learned from Chile and Poland, and how to move forward from here www.dissentmagazine.org/article/how-...

casual remarks like this i think are a data point for capitalism having died of natural causes sometime in the last ~30 years

Instead of joining Chinese apps as an alternative to TikTok, Gen Z users should simply stop dancing and having fun and become mildly depressed 37 year old Bluesky users talking about Star Trek Deep Space 9

Were You Assigned Full Books to Read in High School English? Tell Us.

I think education is an underrated political issue right now

we're at a moment where

a) clearly American kids are not getting as good an education as they should, but also
b) this doesn't have obvious partisan valence yet, neither party has a theory of the the case www.nytimes.com/2025/09/24/u...

Come hear what Larry Katz, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Kei Hirano, Francesca Molinari, and Andres Santos think about publishing econometrics in general interest journals!

Tomorrow's Chamberlain Seminar: 12pm ET

OUR BATHROOM MIRRORS ARE VITAL TO OUR NATIONAL SECURITY

Tumblr post from every-lemon Sep 8 so my spouse is part of a weirdly intense but mostly benign men's workout group that meets at like, 5:30am outside every day, even in winter. they do a lot of burpees and lugging cinder blocks up hills and stuff. they take turns leading the workouts and tomorrow is his turn. I asked what he was planning. he handed me a sheet of William Carlos William poems from a large stack he'd printed. I said "what" and he explained, helpfully, "it's a William Carlos William themed workout." I asked what inspired it and he said "l've been planning this for months."

Follow up tumblr post every-lemon Sep 9 it was a smash hit. a dozen guys showed up (more than usual). spouse brought a red wheelbarrow and they took turns bringing cinder blocks up the hill with it. then they broke up in teams and did a relay with an "icebox" (cooler filled with 40lbs of ice). at the end he opened the cooler to reveal it was full of beach plum lacroix and all the guys cheered. they drank sparkling water as he read 'approach of winter' out loud. he was home by 6:30am.

dudes rock

The doomerism spiral Democracy depends on optimism. This isn't simply a pithy slogan; it's an encapsulation of what it means to agree that power should be allocated by consensus. If you cast a vote for a candidate who los...

I wrote about the importance of optimism in politics, particularly when it comes to younger Americans.

chotiner is primo at what he does to be sure but the real thruline in all of this is that our best and brightest have never been either of those things and that the only thing exceeding the impunity they enjoy for their actions is their self-regard and deference in pontification

YouTube is truly the broadcast TV of the Internet. Extremely important and extremely invisible in discourse because elites find it boring and cringe.