Cristian Carmeli's Avatar

Cristian Carmeli

@cristianmeli.bsky.social

Population health scientist · Senior lecturer at the University of Fribourg, Switzerland · Cyclist and theater lover · Papà. Social & life course epidemiology Monitoring of chronic diseases & mortality Causal inference from observational data Data science

99 Followers  |  190 Following  |  2 Posts  |  Joined: 30.12.2023  |  1.9367

Latest posts by cristianmeli.bsky.social on Bluesky


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ICE, Trump’s private army How a federal agency became a paramilitary force, built a parallel prison system, and now answers to the president alone—while Washington lectures Europe on democracy

ICE is no longer an immigration agency.
It is a paramilitary force, backed by a parallel prison system, answerable to the president alone.

What’s happening in the U.S. isn’t a deviation—it’s an infrastructure. And it won’t end with Trump.
civiceconomist.substack.com/p/ice-trumps...

08.01.2026 08:31 — 👍 57    🔁 27    💬 1    📌 3
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🧵L’Europa non sta censurando nessuno. Sta provando a impedire che la manipolazione digitale inquini il dibattito democratico.
Da quando la Commissione Europea ha multato X, gli oligarchi russi e americani gridano alla censura.
Ma la realtà è completamente diversa. 👇

1/18

08.12.2025 11:26 — 👍 218    🔁 90    💬 8    📌 4
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Opinion | The View Inside Trump’s Assault on Universities (Gift Article) The Trump administration’s attacks on universities will lead to the permanent diminishment of vital American institutions.

Explore this gift article from The New York Times. You can read it for free without a subscription. www.nytimes.com/2025/03/16/o...

16.03.2025 21:01 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
John Snow cholera map and John Snow in a party hat

John Snow cholera map and John Snow in a party hat

Happy (early) Birthday to the father of Field Epidemiology! John Snow, who turns 212 on March 15th, is legendary for using disease mapping to determine the source of the London cholera outbreak in 1854. #JohnSnow #Epidemiology

14.03.2025 16:02 — 👍 47    🔁 18    💬 2    📌 3
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Life course epidemiology and public health Life course epidemiology aims to study the effect of exposures on health outcomes across the life course from a social, behavioural, and biological perspective. In this Review, we describe how life co...

Life course #epidemiology has changed the way we understand the causes of chronic diseases 😎 Do you want to know more⁉️ Read this review in @thelancetph.bsky.social @rosevdlinden.bsky.social @stephane-cullati.bsky.social @cristianmeli.bsky.social #PopHealthLab
www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

25.02.2025 20:38 — 👍 7    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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🧵 I nostri media non si sono accorti che gli Stati Uniti sono in transizione dalla democrazia a un regime autoritario.

Non il tipo di regime in cui esiste un solo partito e gli oppositori vengono imprigionati, esiliati o uccisi.

1/

20.02.2025 16:50 — 👍 223    🔁 89    💬 9    📌 24
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‘Wrecking ball’: RFK Jr. moves to fire thousands of health agency employees Supervisors deliver bad news across NIH, CDC

There will be nothing left of biomedical research in the US when Trump is done. Just think about that and anytime you or someone
you love has been sick or dying. www.science.org/content/arti...

15.02.2025 00:20 — 👍 335    🔁 156    💬 15    📌 10

Join us for the Causal Inference for the Health Sciences Symposium on March 20th at the University of Zurich!

A day of insightful talks & networking with experts in causal inference & health research.

Program and registration for in-person or online attendance: projects.unifr.ch/pophealthlab...

13.02.2025 09:35 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Signs on McDonalds

Signs on McDonalds

McDonald's is overturning council attempts to prevent new fast food outlets by claiming they will encourage healthier lifestyles, reveals a BMJ investigation.

It shows the firm has won planning appeals in some of the most deprived areas of England
www.bmj.com/content/388/...

06.02.2025 09:49 — 👍 25    🔁 26    💬 0    📌 4
A chart in three parts showing data on child mortality to make the points that "The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time."

A chart in three parts showing data on child mortality to make the points that "The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time."

The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.

All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems.

We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵

10.12.2024 13:05 — 👍 1251    🔁 420    💬 11    📌 40
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The world’s 280 million electric bikes and mopeds are cutting demand for oil far more than electric cars Electric vehicles get all the press – but it’s the smaller unsung two wheelers cutting oil demand the most.

The world’s 280 million electric bikes and mopeds are cutting demand for oil 4x more than electric cars due to their staggering uptake in China and elsewhere.

01.12.2024 18:09 — 👍 2134    🔁 708    💬 47    📌 73
Robins 1986 My 2020 reading of Robins 1986.

During 2020, I read through Robins 1986 and did a thread as I went through. That thread disappeared after I left (but lived on in the archive I saved).

I finally put it together and host the original thread on my website now

pzivich.github.io/pages/robins...

08.11.2024 15:47 — 👍 21    🔁 5    💬 1    📌 2
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For those who still remember Wayne's World

29.07.2024 08:08 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Educational inequalities in multimorbidity at older ages: a multi-generational population-based study AbstractBackground. Social inequalities in multimorbidity may occur due to familial and/or individual factors and may differ between men and women. Using p

Educational inequalities in multimorbidity at older ages: a multi-generational population-based study
doi.org/10.1093/eurp...

07.06.2024 06:49 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Curious to learn more about epidemiology? You’re in luck! Our book is coming soon to a bookstore near you 🥳🥳

More info here: global.oup.com/academic/pro...

21.03.2024 13:22 — 👍 53    🔁 15    💬 5    📌 0
Post image Before we calculate these different treatment effects with the realized outcomes instead of the hypothetical potential outcomes, let’s look really quick at the practical difference between the true ATE, ATT, and ATU. All three estimands are useful for policymaking!

The ATE is −15, implying that mosquito nets cause a 15 point reduction in malaria risk for every person in the country. This includes people who live at high elevations where mosquitoes don’t live, people who live near mosquito-infested swamps, people who are rich enough to buy Bill Gates’s mosquito laser, and people who can’t afford a net but would really like to use one. If we worked in the Ministry of Health and wanted to know if we should make a new national program that gave everyone a free bed net, the overall reduction in risk is −15, which is probably pretty good!

The ATT is −16.29, which is bigger than the ATE. The effect of net usage is bigger for people who are already using the nets. This is because of underlyi

Before we calculate these different treatment effects with the realized outcomes instead of the hypothetical potential outcomes, let’s look really quick at the practical difference between the true ATE, ATT, and ATU. All three estimands are useful for policymaking! The ATE is −15, implying that mosquito nets cause a 15 point reduction in malaria risk for every person in the country. This includes people who live at high elevations where mosquitoes don’t live, people who live near mosquito-infested swamps, people who are rich enough to buy Bill Gates’s mosquito laser, and people who can’t afford a net but would really like to use one. If we worked in the Ministry of Health and wanted to know if we should make a new national program that gave everyone a free bed net, the overall reduction in risk is −15, which is probably pretty good! The ATT is −16.29, which is bigger than the ATE. The effect of net usage is bigger for people who are already using the nets. This is because of underlyi

Mirrored histogram showing “weird” parts of the population: treated people who were unlikely to be treated, and untreated people who were likely to be treated

Mirrored histogram showing “weird” parts of the population: treated people who were unlikely to be treated, and untreated people who were likely to be treated

Mirrored histogram showing pseudo-populations of treated and untreated people that have been reweighted to be more comparable and unconfounded

Mirrored histogram showing pseudo-populations of treated and untreated people that have been reweighted to be more comparable and unconfounded

New blog post! Have you (like me!) wondered what the ATT means and how it's different from average treatment effects? I use #rstats to explore why we care about the ATE, ATT, and ATU + how to calculate them with observational data! #polisky #episky #econsky www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2024/03...

21.03.2024 13:50 — 👍 114    🔁 39    💬 8    📌 7

Apparently this Annual Review of Dev Psych issue is open access, so this paper -- wonderfully led by Dr. Gabe Schwartz -- is available: www.annualreviews.org/doi/full/10....
re causal inference in lifecourse epi.
#EpiSky

12.12.2023 00:50 — 👍 19    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 1

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