Dr. K

Happy bday!

What is it with that? The last few years in October have been the worst, is it weather the getting cold?

I was running at 50% of all-in EV before yesterday, but I ran super hot (above EV) in the second event I won Sunday, so the stats evened out a bit.

But, both live and online, I've been running below EV all year... and still winning above expectation for my former ROI.

We love to see it!

And I'm sure lots of folks are thinking "yeah, whatever, such low volume, just running hot."

But it's possible to measure this. And my results aren't from just 1 or 2 big scores.

I haven't had a win over 5k in 5 years, and I ran at 70% of all-in EV in chips for the series

Still got it in the mixed games, which really helps to even out the variance of a big series.

Wish I could play them more. NLHE makes up the vast majority of my play now, and I wish it were half max.

But it is what it is, and I play them whenever I can and crush!

As of today, I've only played half of my usual low volume that I usually play (health has been particularly bad this year, didn't play at all for 4+ months).

But I've already surpassed my expectation for a 40-50% ROI for double the games I've played.

Downswings are a choice!

I've steadily added 1-2 tittles each of the last ~5 series, with 6 final tables and 2 wins this time around.

The approach I finalized about a year and a half ago for game selection and risk management is working fantastically. I'm having lots of fun, and winning consistently.

I'm not one of the biggest all time winners obv. I have a serious illness so I don't play very much, a fraction of most of the players who regularly top the leaderboards.

But I had a better series than almost all of them, and my ROI is higher than almost all on both the lifetime and Fall COOP lists

I wanted to see how I'm doing compared to the "top" regs/pros in Ontario that I play with all the time.

One lost so much in the last week (prob over $10k) they set their stats to private a few days ago. But I was able to find the rest.

Pretty happy with my results!

Patrick Leonard: "I know its a dumb thing to say, but you really do play better poker when you're playing against better players and it's a lot more fun. GL GRINDERS."

I used to think this.

Then I started playing every hand trying to figure out the best strategy to get my opponent, regardless of skill level, to make mistakes against me.

And now I have fun playing against everyone.

And it's super duper fun playing soft games with a huge ROI!

It was a good day.

It's been a great week.

But, you know, I'm just a rec and it's super low volume, so, like always, I must just be lucky! 🤣📈

Oooops I did it again!

Sick week hahahahaha.

Don't mess with the Dr. in O8!

8th COOP title, 2nd in NLO8.

Not only is autism not a problem, much less one that needs to be solved, but I'm gonna say what no one else probably will:

Autistic people are being targeted because they are the future and the biggest threat to those currently in power.

Read Bulter's Parable of the Sower if this is puzzling.

What stage of science/academia are we in when people think that "identical" research papers, and not ones with novel ideas and perspectives, are actually publishable?

The cultural elevation of group-think, crockery, and hallucinations as success is weird and wild.

Yep, most are. But there are a few who become monsters and/or cult leaders like Enron Musk. Luckily the psychopathy and autism combo is rare though.

🤦

Have you considered going on year round birth control and basically only having 2 periods per year max?

I know it's weird as a lesbian, I resisted when I was younger, but almost never having a period the last 20+ years was worth it given all the pain...

Anyway, hope you're ok, that sucks.

Still #7 on the leaderboard despite not playing at all yesterday and skipping the first two events today.

🤣😎

And as I say all the time now: when we run bad, we basically break even.

And that's exactly what happened tonight. Up or down maybe $20, not exactly sure, but it's < + or - $100 so it counts.

Really hard to feel bummed when I almost never have big losses. Makes poker super fun.

Day 5 of COOP. Really not my day even though there were two 8 game events, which are probably the ones I have the biggest edge in. But, as it sometimes happens, I just pretty much couldn't win a hand tonight in limit.

5 events played, 1 cash (but 2/5 were Total KOs where I won more than the buyin).

Does the reg make more money than I do in absolute $$ over the year? Usually yes, but sometimes not by much.

And they play at least 10x as many days and hours as I do.

There's plenty of reasons for the reg to do this, including bragging rights of potentially topping the series leaderboard.

But I've consistently done almost as well or beaten this particular reg (and the other regs) by playing way fewer events and days.

And with considerably less variance.

Firing max bullets for the reg includes doing things like entering 5 times in high buyin PKOs ($250-500), which, as I've demonstrated in a recent article for the GTOw blog, is incredibly unprofitable.

They also fire max bullets in mixed games, including high buyins, that they are terrible at.

I don't try to play everything. I pick peak windows for 4-6 hour sessions and don't reg anything that starts too early or late. I also schedule days off (not playing today).

The reg's approach? Play every single event, lots of tables, fire max bullets, and play 8-12 hour sessions every single day.

The difference between my approach to a series and pros. These are results to date for me (top) and a successful reg in the Ontario pool (bottom).

My approach: curated schedule maximized for my capacity as well as game selecting the most profitable events for me while keeping table count to <=5.

Because all of us who would have fought never got jobs and are long gone from academia.

The professor class doomed themselves decades ago by failing to unionize and act in solidarity with the casualization of the profession.

The let their numbers decline by attrition, and now no one is left.

Ran awful early on, bricking highest buyins, and was in for over $700 with 4 tables left and was under 5-10bbs on all of them.

Came back to final table 3/4, and while I didn't ITM in the PKO, I won enough bounties for a $75 profit, for a total profit today of about +$500.

Can't stop me!

Today my power was out for 15 hours, and I was not feeling great because it was super hot and that impacts my health badly since no A/C.

But I have backup battery power for Internet and laptop, and backup food when I can't access fridge/freezer, and I played for 5 hours in the dark.

Day 4 of COOP (plus bonus NLO8 OSS on ACR):

- 3/4 sessions in profit (about -$200 on losing session)
- 16 series events
- 4 final tables (2nd, 4th, 6th, 9th)
- Currently 5th on COOP leaderboard while playing about 1/4 to 1/3 of the events of the leader/all the regs
- About +$1100