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eric gonzalez juenke

@egojunk.bsky.social

Personal account. I study and teach racial and ethnic politics for work. Re-posting election twitter stuff. https://goodauthority.org/people/eric-gonzalez-juenke/

3,927 Followers  |  1,678 Following  |  3,270 Posts  |  Joined: 18.01.2024  |  1.8882

Latest posts by egojunk.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Here’s what they found:

Women are interrupted more often than menβ€”by about 10–20% in economics seminars.

Those interruptions are more likely to:
- Cut women off mid-sentence
- Come from men
- Be adversarial rather than clarifying in nature

03.02.2026 20:55 β€” πŸ‘ 231    πŸ” 92    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 21
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Are female economists treated differently than males in academic seminars?

These authors wanted to know whether gender shapes how scholars are treated when presenting research.

So they built a massive dataset of 2,000+ economics seminars, job talks, and conference presentations from 2019–2023...

03.02.2026 20:54 β€” πŸ‘ 219    πŸ” 122    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 22
How AI Impacts Skill Formation
Judy Hanwen Shenβˆ— Alex Tamkin†
February 3, 2026
Abstract
AI assistance produces significant productivity gains across professional domains, particularly for
novice workers. Yet how this assistance affects the development of skills required to effectively supervise
AI remains unclear. Novice workers who rely heavily on AI to complete unfamiliar tasks may compromise
their own skill acquisition in the process. We conduct randomized experiments to study how developers
gained mastery of a new asynchronous programming library with and without the assistance of AI.
We find that AI use impairs conceptual understanding, code reading, and debugging abilities, without
delivering significant efficiency gains on average. Participants who fully delegated coding tasks showed
some productivity improvements, but at the cost of learning the library. We identify six distinct AI
interaction patterns, three of which involve cognitive engagement and preserve learning outcomes even
when participants receive AI assistance. Our findings suggest that AI-enhanced productivity is not a
shortcut to competence and AI assistance should be carefully adopted into workflows to preserve skill
formation – particularly in safety-critical domains.

How AI Impacts Skill Formation Judy Hanwen Shenβˆ— Alex Tamkin† February 3, 2026 Abstract AI assistance produces significant productivity gains across professional domains, particularly for novice workers. Yet how this assistance affects the development of skills required to effectively supervise AI remains unclear. Novice workers who rely heavily on AI to complete unfamiliar tasks may compromise their own skill acquisition in the process. We conduct randomized experiments to study how developers gained mastery of a new asynchronous programming library with and without the assistance of AI. We find that AI use impairs conceptual understanding, code reading, and debugging abilities, without delivering significant efficiency gains on average. Participants who fully delegated coding tasks showed some productivity improvements, but at the cost of learning the library. We identify six distinct AI interaction patterns, three of which involve cognitive engagement and preserve learning outcomes even when participants receive AI assistance. Our findings suggest that AI-enhanced productivity is not a shortcut to competence and AI assistance should be carefully adopted into workflows to preserve skill formation – particularly in safety-critical domains.

Interesting paper, especially interesting it's coming from researchers at Anthropic arxiv.org/pdf/2601.20245

03.02.2026 19:58 β€” πŸ‘ 58    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 7
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A framework for assessing the trustworthiness of scientific research findings1 | PNAS Vigorous debate has erupted over the trustworthiness of scientific research findings in a number of domains. The question “what makes research find...

Our new paper, with colleagues from the Strategic Council of the National Academies, offers an integrative framework of the several components that contribute to making research findings trustworthy including ethics, methodology, transparency, inclusion, assessment, etc

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

03.02.2026 19:27 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

I'm worried that the broader public isn't really understanding the Epstein Files. The problem isn't that everyone in the files is a secret pedophile, it's that all the people are corresponding with him because they *don't care that he's a pedophile*. It's a story of elite impunity.

03.02.2026 19:26 β€” πŸ‘ 5344    πŸ” 1399    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 73

Epstein list + crypto investor? Whoever they are, they are having the worst week of their lives. Thinking about them today.

03.02.2026 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Map identifying the approximate regions where various Indigenous groups lived in North America in 1776.

Map identifying the approximate regions where various Indigenous groups lived in North America in 1776.

The Utah Historical Society just produced a new, excellent map of "The Peoples of North America in 1776." Great resource for anyone teaching, writing, presenting about Native peoples as part of their 250th work. america250.utah.gov/power-of-pla...

03.02.2026 13:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1044    πŸ” 394    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 37

Square profile picture
The Athletic
@TheAthletic
Bad Bunny will be the first Spanish-language artist to perform on the Super Bowl halftime stage.

Here’s how the players feel about it ‡️

Square profile picture The Athletic @TheAthletic Bad Bunny will be the first Spanish-language artist to perform on the Super Bowl halftime stage. Here’s how the players feel about it ‡️

These folks are going to lose what’s left of their minds when he performs in a dress.

03.02.2026 17:54 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Just completely detached from the reality of rural connectedness, or rather, the lack of it. I don't think the average person can even conceive of the level to which rural areas here are not a part of the "gig"/"knowledge"/"tech" economy. #Appalachia

03.02.2026 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Prius Or Pickup?: How the Answers to Four Simple Questions Explain America's Great Divide|eBook "In this fascinating look at contemporary politics, [the authors] set out to explain what really causes the extreme political polarization seen today." —Publishers Weekly What's in your garag...

β€œDo you think an American should be playing the Super Bowl halftime show singing in Spanish?” is now somehow the key Q about one’s political identity. www.barnesandnoble.com/w/prius-or-p...

03.02.2026 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Promotional banner for "PS Call For Papers" featuring a crowd of people at a rainbow flag event.

Promotional banner for "PS Call For Papers" featuring a crowd of people at a rainbow flag event.

Deadline: February 15, 2026

Call for Papers for a Special Issue from @pspolisci.bsky.social -

'Rethinking the Global Legacies of 1776' seeks to situate the Declaration of Independence within a broader global and comparative lens - https://cup.org/3Jxodxo

02.02.2026 06:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Seahawks DE DeMarcus Lawrence was asked about Bad Bunny’s halftime show and the importance to Spanish speaking people.

β€œWe have so many cultures and ethnic backgrounds in America, I think it’s time to start embracing all of them … that’s what really makes America great.”

Seahawks DE DeMarcus Lawrence was asked about Bad Bunny’s halftime show and the importance to Spanish speaking people. β€œWe have so many cultures and ethnic backgrounds in America, I think it’s time to start embracing all of them … that’s what really makes America great.”

Hate that racism has been so mainstreamed that this is even a newsworthy Q&A, but it's another reason to root for the Seahawks. This guy suffered for a decade in Dallas Cowboys purgatory and has a chance to make Jerry Jones very sad.

03.02.2026 14:39 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Good Authority - Political Science Insights to Illuminate the News Political scientists draw on their expertise and the discipline’s research to provide in-depth analysis and inform the political conversation.

Three ways to get in-depth analysis, illuminate the news, and inform the political conversation:

β€’ Read on our website: goodauthority.org
β€’ Subscribe on Substack: goodauthority.substack.com
β€’ Get updates by email: mailchi.mp/d99298093d4e...

Stay curious. Stay informed.

03.02.2026 14:34 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Political science profs: American government is a complex interplay of institutions, competing elites, organized publics, and historical inertia.

daily Epstein file drop: No. The absolute dumbest people you know are right about everything.

03.02.2026 12:24 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Offene Stellen / Open Positions

🚨Job alert 🚨

I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.

If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by πŸ—“οΈ Mar 1, 2026.

πŸ“€ Please share widely!

www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...

31.01.2026 21:26 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 61    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
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Politicians nevertheless exhibit strong psychological projection: they begin building out distributions by anchoring them close to their own attitudes, a pattern that counterbalances conservative over-estimation among left-wing politicians but reinforces it among right-wing politicians. /3

03.02.2026 12:04 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Politicians over estimate how conservative the public is, but not as much as we originally thought. Love it this so much.

03.02.2026 12:10 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
FRITZ EMMANUEL LESLY MIOT, et al.,
Plaintiffs,
Case No. 25-cv-02471 (ACR)
V.
DONALD J. TRUMP, et al.,
Defendants.
MEMORANDUM OPINION
On December 2, 1783, then-Commander-in-Chief George Washington penned: "America is open to receive not only the Opulent & respected Stranger, but the oppressed & persecuted of all Nations & Religions." More than two centuries later, Congress reaffirmed President
Washington's vision by establishing the Temporary Protected Status (TPS) program. See 8
U.S.C. Β§ 1254a (TPS statute). It provides humanitarian relief to foreign nationals in the United
States who come from disaster-stricken countries. It also brings in substantial revenue, with TPS
holders generating $5.2 billion in taxes annually. See Part VI.
Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Kristi Noem has a different take.?
eSec Noem
I just met with the President.
I am recommending a full travel ban on every damn country that's been flooding our nation with killers, leeches, and entitlement junkies.
Our forefathers built this nation on blood, sweat, and the unyielding love of freedom-not for foreign invaders to slaughter our heroes, suck dry our hard-earned tax dollars, or snatch the benefits owed to AMERICANS.
WE DON'T WANT THEM. NOT ONE.
6:52 PM - Dec 1, 2025 - 13.2M Views
' Letter from George Washington to Joshua Holmes (December 2, 1783).
2 Dkt. 90 (Second Am. Compl.) 1110 n.91. But see supra n.l.

UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA FRITZ EMMANUEL LESLY MIOT, et al., Plaintiffs, Case No. 25-cv-02471 (ACR) V. DONALD J. TRUMP, et al., Defendants. MEMORANDUM OPINION On December 2, 1783, then-Commander-in-Chief George Washington penned: "America is open to receive not only the Opulent & respected Stranger, but the oppressed & persecuted of all Nations & Religions." More than two centuries later, Congress reaffirmed President Washington's vision by establishing the Temporary Protected Status (TPS) program. See 8 U.S.C. Β§ 1254a (TPS statute). It provides humanitarian relief to foreign nationals in the United States who come from disaster-stricken countries. It also brings in substantial revenue, with TPS holders generating $5.2 billion in taxes annually. See Part VI. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Kristi Noem has a different take.? eSec Noem I just met with the President. I am recommending a full travel ban on every damn country that's been flooding our nation with killers, leeches, and entitlement junkies. Our forefathers built this nation on blood, sweat, and the unyielding love of freedom-not for foreign invaders to slaughter our heroes, suck dry our hard-earned tax dollars, or snatch the benefits owed to AMERICANS. WE DON'T WANT THEM. NOT ONE. 6:52 PM - Dec 1, 2025 - 13.2M Views ' Letter from George Washington to Joshua Holmes (December 2, 1783). 2 Dkt. 90 (Second Am. Compl.) 1110 n.91. But see supra n.l.

So says the official responsible for overseeing the TPS program. And one of those (her word)
"damn" countries is Haiti. Relevant here, three days before making the above post, Secretary
Noem announced she would terminate Haiti's TPS designation as of February 3, 2026. See 90
Fed. Reg. 54733 (Nov. 28, 2025) (Termination).
Plaintiffs are five Haitian TPS holders. They are not, it emerges, "killers, leeches, or
entitlement junkies." They are instead: Fritz Emmanuel Lesly Miot, a neuroscientist researching
Alzheimer's disease, Dkt. 90 (Second Am. Compl. (SAC)) 1 1; Rudolph Civil, a software
engineer at a national bank, id. 1 2; Marlene Gail Noble, a laboratory assistant in a toxicology
department, id. | 3; Marica Merline Laguerre, a college economics major, id. 9| 4; and Vilbrun Dorsainvil, a full-time registered nurse, id. 9|5. They claim that Secretary Noem's decision violates the Administrative Procedure Act (APA), 5 U.S.C. Β§ 706(2), and the Fifth Amendment of
the U.S. Constitution. The Government counters that the Court does not have jurisdiction, and, in any case, the Secretary did not violate the law.
Plaintiffs seek to stay the Secretary's decision under 5 U.S.C. Β§ 705 pending the outcome
of this litigation. See Dkt. 81 (Β§ 705 Mot.). To decide their motion, the Court considers first whether it has jurisdiction. It does. See Part II. It then considers: whether Plaintiffs have a
substantial likelihood of success on the merits; whether they will be irreparably harmed absent a
stay; and whether a merged balance of the equities and public interest analysis favors a stay. See
Part III. Each element favors Plaintiffs. See Parts IV, V, and VI.

So says the official responsible for overseeing the TPS program. And one of those (her word) "damn" countries is Haiti. Relevant here, three days before making the above post, Secretary Noem announced she would terminate Haiti's TPS designation as of February 3, 2026. See 90 Fed. Reg. 54733 (Nov. 28, 2025) (Termination). Plaintiffs are five Haitian TPS holders. They are not, it emerges, "killers, leeches, or entitlement junkies." They are instead: Fritz Emmanuel Lesly Miot, a neuroscientist researching Alzheimer's disease, Dkt. 90 (Second Am. Compl. (SAC)) 1 1; Rudolph Civil, a software engineer at a national bank, id. 1 2; Marlene Gail Noble, a laboratory assistant in a toxicology department, id. | 3; Marica Merline Laguerre, a college economics major, id. 9| 4; and Vilbrun Dorsainvil, a full-time registered nurse, id. 9|5. They claim that Secretary Noem's decision violates the Administrative Procedure Act (APA), 5 U.S.C. Β§ 706(2), and the Fifth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. The Government counters that the Court does not have jurisdiction, and, in any case, the Secretary did not violate the law. Plaintiffs seek to stay the Secretary's decision under 5 U.S.C. Β§ 705 pending the outcome of this litigation. See Dkt. 81 (Β§ 705 Mot.). To decide their motion, the Court considers first whether it has jurisdiction. It does. See Part II. It then considers: whether Plaintiffs have a substantial likelihood of success on the merits; whether they will be irreparably harmed absent a stay; and whether a merged balance of the equities and public interest analysis favors a stay. See Part III. Each element favors Plaintiffs. See Parts IV, V, and VI.

Finally, the balance of equities and public interest favor a stay. The Government does not
cite any reason termination must occur post haste. Secretary Noem complains of strains unlawful immigrants place on our immigration-enforcement system. Her answer? Turn 352,959
lawful immigrants into unlawful immigrants overnight. She complains of strains to our economy. Her answer? Turn employed lawful immigrants who contribute billions in taxes into the legally unemployable. She complains of strains to our healthcare system. Her answer? Turn the insured into the uninsured. This approach is many thingsβ€” in the public interest is not one of them.
For the reasons below, the Court GRANTS Plaintiffs' Renewed Motion for a Stay Under
5 U.S.C. Β§ 705, Dkt. 81.

Finally, the balance of equities and public interest favor a stay. The Government does not cite any reason termination must occur post haste. Secretary Noem complains of strains unlawful immigrants place on our immigration-enforcement system. Her answer? Turn 352,959 lawful immigrants into unlawful immigrants overnight. She complains of strains to our economy. Her answer? Turn employed lawful immigrants who contribute billions in taxes into the legally unemployable. She complains of strains to our healthcare system. Her answer? Turn the insured into the uninsured. This approach is many thingsβ€” in the public interest is not one of them. For the reasons below, the Court GRANTS Plaintiffs' Renewed Motion for a Stay Under 5 U.S.C. Β§ 705, Dkt. 81.

BREAKING: Judge Ana Reyes, in DC, issues a stay of DHS Sec. Noem’s decision to end Haiti’s temporary protected status (TPS) designation, a decision that was to go into effect on Tuesday and could have ended legal status for up to 350,000 people overnight. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

03.02.2026 00:42 β€” πŸ‘ 4245    πŸ” 1396    πŸ’¬ 44    πŸ“Œ 167

WE are the stupid ones for asking β€œWhy can’t we have Blue Texas?”

03.02.2026 02:27 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Donald Trump’s ego might just save democracy Minnesota provides a blueprint for how to prevent a slide into authoritarianism we’ve seen in other countries.

My latest in @vox.com. Spectacle is the president's greatest strength, and his administration's greatest weakness

02.02.2026 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

hello #polisky get those awards submissions in, advocate for yourself, can't win if you don't submit, etc.

02.02.2026 20:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Section32 - American Political Science Association (APSA) Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior (Section 32) The purpose of this section is to promote interest in teaching and research on elections,

I am chairing the Emerging Scholar Award committee for the APSA EPOVB section this year. Send in your submissions (self-nominations welcomed!) with a cv to me and the committee (@wzcmarsh.bsky.social and Holli Semetko) by March 1 for consideration! More info here: apsanet.org/membership/o...

02.02.2026 18:52 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
  The decline effect (Protzko & Schooler, 2017) is an observed phenomenon where effect sizes in experiments apparently diminish in size from the first paper demonstrating the effect to later replications. This has been taken as a symptom of an unhealthy scientific ecosystem, possibly caused by the "winner's curse" (selection on significance and regression to the mean), publication bias or opportunistic analyses. I show that decline effects can arise as an artifact from a much simpler source: the original article determining the sign of the effect in a meta-analysis. Moreover, such artifactual decline effects will show correlations with some of the same experimental properties that one would expect from biases from poor behavior, such as the sample size of the original study.

The decline effect (Protzko & Schooler, 2017) is an observed phenomenon where effect sizes in experiments apparently diminish in size from the first paper demonstrating the effect to later replications. This has been taken as a symptom of an unhealthy scientific ecosystem, possibly caused by the "winner's curse" (selection on significance and regression to the mean), publication bias or opportunistic analyses. I show that decline effects can arise as an artifact from a much simpler source: the original article determining the sign of the effect in a meta-analysis. Moreover, such artifactual decline effects will show correlations with some of the same experimental properties that one would expect from biases from poor behavior, such as the sample size of the original study.

New draft: "Decline effects, statistical artifacts, and a meta-analytic paradox". In this manuscript I show how a common practice in meta-analysis (eg the 2015 Open Science Collaboration) creates artifactual signatures of poor scientific behavior. PDF: raw.githubusercontent.com/richarddmore... 1/x

02.02.2026 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 3

This is actually pretty much in line with the political psych research.

02.02.2026 20:20 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Nobody's going to watch the Turning Point Halftime Show because complaining about the real halftime show is an important part of right wing culture.

02.02.2026 19:36 β€” πŸ‘ 211    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 0
cover of Alison L. LaCroix's The Interbellum Constitution: Union, Commerce and Slavery in the Age of Federalisms by Yale University Press. Painting of people on a waterfront admiring ships sailing.

cover of Alison L. LaCroix's The Interbellum Constitution: Union, Commerce and Slavery in the Age of Federalisms by Yale University Press. Painting of people on a waterfront admiring ships sailing.

Every academic book is a conversation with the work of other scholars. Here are some of the works I cited & one I did not and how they influence me. Alison LaCroix's Interbellum Constitution was out before mine. She generously forwarded me her page proofs so I could learn from her book. 1/

02.02.2026 14:15 β€” πŸ‘ 160    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

1. Oasis
2. Dinosaur Jr.
3. Sonic Youth
4. Soundgarden
5. Oasis again

02.02.2026 18:11 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The NFL hired zero Black head coaches. That tells you everything With 10 head-coaching vacancies this offseason, the hiring cycle echoed decades past as owners defaulted to their superficial practices.

Our @jerrybrewer.bsky.social with some well-directed heat at a hiring cycle that fell short in many ways, especially for Black coaches:

www.nytimes.com/athletic/701...

02.02.2026 16:32 β€” πŸ‘ 263    πŸ” 46    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 6
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Detailed tables: Trump job approval, January 2026

If you're looking for detailed crosstabs showing Trump's current approval rating among various demographic groups in the US, we've published those here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

For example, 32% of men under 30 currently approve of Trump's job performance; 67% disapprove.

02.02.2026 15:46 β€” πŸ‘ 227    πŸ” 90    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 25

@egojunk is following 20 prominent accounts