Joel Wertheimer

True but that also suggests what they feel they can cut and try to get by with.

Great stuff from George. The share of long term unemployed (27 weeks or more) is increasingly office and admin support and decreasingly transport and warehousing. Broad trends in data are one of the more squint and see impacts of AI on white collar jobs I’ve seen.

Honestly one of the more squint and see AI impacts sets of data I’ve seen

Data finder seems to have it by occupation/industry/age. Sadly on my phone so can’t make much heads or tails. data.bls.gov/dataQuery/fi...

What are the demographic and industry characteristics of the right skewed 27 weeks or more?

Tottenham are not owned by Joe Lewis they are owned by the Lewis family trust which is in no way associated with Joe Lewis

Hassett becoming Fed chair right before the Dow falls 25 percent to 36000 would be a little on the nose.

Following on. Can't imagine that NY one month drop keeps up but everything else...yeah.
bsky.app/profile/pear...

Really feels like there is a game of musical chairs being played but pricing is like there’s a seat for everybody.

Would be pretty surprising to see that big of a fall especially in nominal terms.

Loan to value ratios are still good so it's not a foreclosure crisis issue, but a lot of people are going to be skittish about the true value of their largest assets and it might put some pressure on the home ATM as well as interest rates fall.

I've been convinced by @conorsen.bsky.social that our national conversation about rent and home prices is going to feel really weird very soon with NYC/SF based media on a different planet from Sun Belt, where falling home prices are going to be a bigger story than too expensive housing.

Can you break out white voters by Ed?

The two Bens on here, very good. Biggest takeaway to me from presser was @annemariegray.bsky.social getting this spot right next to ZM. Good sign if you want more housing built in NYC.

this dumb shit is what i mean when i say this is a purely aesthetic “politics.” yeah man, why can’t we have a fusion of cosmopolitan social democracy and revanchist hierarchies of wealth and privilege? tough question.

Court was clear in fn 21 that despite dismissing without prejudice, the Court thinks the indictment is dead. Otoh, dismissing w/o prejudice sort of undercuts this claim.

another paper that's just "turns out Platonism is empirically true about truth, beauty, and goodness"

If I had to guess this means 28 million shares are outstanding and some leeds fan put $50k on them to win and bought up all the shares spiking the market that day and so there's "28 million in volume" but not actually 28 million bet. That volume goes up as you go down the table is suggestive.

Selection bias plane meme.

Never thought I’d get to post this meme into a discussion about sexting but

As I spent more and more of my life under the care of doctors, nurses, and researchers striving to improve the lives of others, I watched as Bobby cut nearly a half billion dollars for research into mRNA vaccines, technology that could be used against certain cancers; slashed billions in funding from the National Institutes of Health, the world's largest sponsor of medical research; and threatened to oust the panel of medical experts charged with recommending preventive cancer screenings. Hundreds of N.I.H. grants and clinical trials were cancelled, affecting thousands of patients. I worried about funding for leukemia and bone-marrow research at Memorial Sloan Kettering. I worried about the trials that were my only shot at remission. Early in my illness, when I

Just an absolutely gutting essay by Tatiana Schlossberg, a writer, mother of two young children, and cousin of RFK Jr who is dying of leukemia.

www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...

The problems are bad, but the problems caused for the Ellisons would be so so good

I do love the text of these articles is “she was with all these bad and crazy men and definitely has a type except for me a totally normal guy”

It can be found

These people just want to take credit for everything. Profound idiots. The Trump Zohran thing had nothing to do with ideology or their brand of populism and the one place they expressed policy agreement was on YIMBYism which they’ve spent all year calling neoliberalism pejoratively.

Zohran is the outer borough boy who got the approval of all the boroughs which is all Trump ever wanted

"Wettest from the standpoint of water" and the Frederick Douglass monologue erasure.

We need polls on here because I have a question. Which is a funnier Trumpism now: "You can just say yes" or "at seven it's marginal"?

Would also guess these voters are harder to poll in general and this is related to polling misses involving trump elections

I guess the other question here is whether Trump's celebrity (and broad internal and verbal incoherence) inherently makes him thought of less ideologically in a way even other Republicans saying functionally the same things cannot recreate.

And it's valuable because it engenders trust that you are actually focused on affordability and not what the ideologues want, that you're telling the truth that all you care about is affordability.