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@jonwheatley.bsky.social

43 Followers  |  77 Following  |  13 Posts  |  Joined: 19.08.2024  |  2.0398

Latest posts by jonwheatley.bsky.social on Bluesky


Nigel Farage in answering Nick Robinson's question about why he believes Britain is broken gave an analysis of falling net migration that is demonstrably factually inaccurate.

"It is so broken and its declining so quickly that anybody with a dispassionate view can see it. It is quite interesting. Just look at the net migration numbers. 'Oh isn't it good net migration is coming down?' But do you know why? It is because there is an exodus. There is now an exodus.Those who are of a situation and a financial position to have a choice are now fleeing the country in numbers".

This is factually incorrect. Net migration fell year on year by 465,00 in the most recent Official of National Statisitcs figures: the year to June 2025. This was not because of an "exodus" (an increase in emigration). It is because immigration fell by 401,000 (to 898,000 from 1.299 million the previous year). That accounts for 90% of the big drop in net migration. The increase in emigration by 41,000 was a minor component. Most of the increase in emigration was of non-EU nationals. British citizens made up a third of emigrants, but there was no significant increasse in British emigration, which was at very similar levels in 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025: it is not a significant cause of the drop in net migration.

Nick Robinson did tell Mr Farage that he was exaggerating the number of people who don't speak English - and BBC Verify did produce an analysis showing that was a five-fold exaggeration. But this central incorrect claim about immigration and net migration was not caught in the programme, or before broadcast.  

It should at least be scrutinised and corrected afterwards - so that an accurate account of why net migration fell (primarily a reduction in immigration visas to the UK) can be communicated to the audience.

Nigel Farage in answering Nick Robinson's question about why he believes Britain is broken gave an analysis of falling net migration that is demonstrably factually inaccurate. "It is so broken and its declining so quickly that anybody with a dispassionate view can see it. It is quite interesting. Just look at the net migration numbers. 'Oh isn't it good net migration is coming down?' But do you know why? It is because there is an exodus. There is now an exodus.Those who are of a situation and a financial position to have a choice are now fleeing the country in numbers". This is factually incorrect. Net migration fell year on year by 465,00 in the most recent Official of National Statisitcs figures: the year to June 2025. This was not because of an "exodus" (an increase in emigration). It is because immigration fell by 401,000 (to 898,000 from 1.299 million the previous year). That accounts for 90% of the big drop in net migration. The increase in emigration by 41,000 was a minor component. Most of the increase in emigration was of non-EU nationals. British citizens made up a third of emigrants, but there was no significant increasse in British emigration, which was at very similar levels in 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025: it is not a significant cause of the drop in net migration. Nick Robinson did tell Mr Farage that he was exaggerating the number of people who don't speak English - and BBC Verify did produce an analysis showing that was a five-fold exaggeration. But this central incorrect claim about immigration and net migration was not caught in the programme, or before broadcast. It should at least be scrutinised and corrected afterwards - so that an accurate account of why net migration fell (primarily a reduction in immigration visas to the UK) can be communicated to the audience.

I have asked the BBC to scrutinise + correct the factually inaccurate claims made by Mr Nigel Farage about why net migration fell in 'Political Thinking with Nick Robinson'

Here is the link if you want to do something like this.
www.bbc.co.uk/contact/comp...

13.02.2026 21:48 β€” πŸ‘ 853    πŸ” 294    πŸ’¬ 33    πŸ“Œ 11

Most politicians and advisers seem to way underestimate the stakes they're playing with. The fantasists, conspiracists and wreckers of Reform UK deeply sympathise with the dictators we face. Idea of them with executive power and access to the panoply of state functions dwarfs most else we've faced.

09.02.2026 08:42 β€” πŸ‘ 72    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

After a certain point the sanity of Palantir's leadership does matter to the national security of the UK and other European states buying its software

08.02.2026 12:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1508    πŸ” 496    πŸ’¬ 50    πŸ“Œ 18

Young men are the second most liberal group in the country after young women.

07.02.2026 11:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1039    πŸ” 253    πŸ’¬ 47    πŸ“Œ 9
Post image Post image 30.01.2026 15:57 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The gender gap among the young is not about economics.
It is about culture, identity, and how these issues are framed and politicised. Great piece by @jonwheatley.bsky.social

26.01.2026 08:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Manchester University Press - New Labour, New Britain? New Labour, New Britain? - Browse and buy the Hardcover edition of New Labour, New Britain? by Glen O'Hara

My book on New Labour and the Blair years is out in just over two weeks... And it's now **ON SALE** for just Β£12! Come on, you can't say fairer than that when it comes to the bargains. Roll up and/ or repost! It's just twelve quid!
manchesteruniversitypress.co.uk/9781526146328/

25.01.2026 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

25.01.2026 12:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Remember that the UK has far, far weaker protections against state power than did the US. And the latter folded up like a pack of cards. The US is a warning from the British future.

24.01.2026 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 444    πŸ” 133    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 11

If that is the case, the Gorton and Denton by-election risks becoming a two-horse race - between Reform UK and the Greens.

22.01.2026 19:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Canadian PM Mark Carney Declares the End of US Empire and Old Global Rules at WEF 2026 | AC1G
YouTube video by DRM News Canadian PM Mark Carney Declares the End of US Empire and Old Global Rules at WEF 2026 | AC1G

Please watch PM Carney's speech. Powerful, and in my view as a political scholar, 100% accurate. We must stop living within the lie.

m.youtube.com/watch?v=fV5f...

22.01.2026 09:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2804    πŸ” 826    πŸ’¬ 103    πŸ“Œ 45
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How Badenoch’s meeting with Mike Johnson led to Trump’s Chagos deal rant A brief encounter set off a chain of events that culminated in a public rebuff to the US president from Keir Starmer

So it was Badenoch *personally* who stabbed Britain in the back during the Greenland crisis! Simply unbelievable. Ought to be a resignation matter.
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/j...

22.01.2026 09:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1283    πŸ” 566    πŸ’¬ 68    πŸ“Œ 51
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Russia in the South Caucasus: two factors explaining what has changed - Osservatorio Balcani Caucaso Transeuropa Russia’s influence in the South Caucasus has decreased in recent years. Well beyond Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and long-term trends, two factors in particular help understanding why things have chan...

in the present context the South Caucasus is less important for Russia’s imperial idea than it used to be. Russian imperialism today focuses on the Slavic core and on geopolitical competition with the West www.balcanicaucaso.org/en/cp_articl...

21.01.2026 17:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Young women are radicalising Britain's young women are sad, alienated and increasingly left-wing

Also this by Scarlett Maguire

www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

And this by Gaby Hinsliffe

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

20.01.2026 16:41 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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How the politics of culture and identity drive a gender gap among young voters: a study of UK voters in 2024 In recent years, a wide gender gap has emerged both in voting and in political ideology among young voters in a number of countries, with young women more likely to vote for left-wing and socially ...

Check out my recent article on this: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

20.01.2026 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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It’s Sundowning in America A presidential mind is a dangerous thing to lose

"Trump is so deeply unwell that it's time to stop blaming [him]..responsibility rests with his enablers."

As Krugman says, some are monsters, some narcissists, some amoral opportunists, some just cowards.

paulkrugman.substack.com/p/its-sundow...

20.01.2026 11:50 β€” πŸ‘ 174    πŸ” 56    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 2
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Wow! πŸ”₯ No punches pulled by President Steinmeier of Germany in his scathing analysis of the Trump administration.

"Today it's about preventing the world from turning into a den of thieves in which the most unscrupulous take what they want."

#c4news

09.01.2026 20:08 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The ideological gender gap among young voters in the UK is confined to issues of culture and identity. Read more. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

08.01.2026 15:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Two social media posts. 

The first is from Keir Starmer and reads: β€œThe UK has long supported a transition of power in Venezuela. We regarded Maduro as an illegitimate President and we shed no tears about the end of his regime. I reiterated my support for international law this morning. The UK government will discuss the evolving situation with US counterparts in the days ahead as we seek a safe and peaceful transition to a legitimate government that reflects the will of the Venezuelan people.” 

Below it is a post from Ed Davey that reads: β€œThis cop out isn’t good enough. Standing up for international law means condemning leaders when they break it, whether that’s Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump.”

Two social media posts. The first is from Keir Starmer and reads: β€œThe UK has long supported a transition of power in Venezuela. We regarded Maduro as an illegitimate President and we shed no tears about the end of his regime. I reiterated my support for international law this morning. The UK government will discuss the evolving situation with US counterparts in the days ahead as we seek a safe and peaceful transition to a legitimate government that reflects the will of the Venezuelan people.” Below it is a post from Ed Davey that reads: β€œThis cop out isn’t good enough. Standing up for international law means condemning leaders when they break it, whether that’s Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump.”

03.01.2026 21:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1873    πŸ” 459    πŸ’¬ 82    πŸ“Œ 35
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Kemi Badenoch: Don’t blame boys for misogyny The Conservative leader said Labour had the wrong priorities and should stop β€˜people who come from cultures that don’t respect women’ from entering the country

Still astonished and horrified by yesterday's intervention from the Leader of the Opposition. In a normal country, at any normal time, it would be a resigning matter - immediately. Yet it just blows past, like everything else. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

19.12.2025 11:18 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
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When Farage uses his millions to promote hate, we all pay the price.

04.12.2025 16:23 β€” πŸ‘ 65    πŸ” 33    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 3
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UK politics followers, these graphs are in a paper by @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social and co (inc. me).

There's so much useful info in them.

The long-term context for the politics of our time, how the 'Brexit elections' differed, though note the Y axes may need to be bigger for the next election!!

28.11.2025 09:29 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Net migration IS coming down quite fast, and we will soon know who was right about whether it was a good or a bad idea economically and politically.

13.11.2025 21:08 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

Lots of stuff here that you won't read in most of the legacy media which seems completely uninterested in the backgrounds, associations and possible motivations of those behind the BBC crisis.

Why was the BBC having its homework marked by a lobbyist who hasn't worked as a journalist for 20 years?

11.11.2025 21:25 β€” πŸ‘ 399    πŸ” 193    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 3
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Brilliant to speak with so many residents during my advice surgery on Friday. Thank you to Oxford Brookes for hosting me!

✍️ If you ever need my support, please contact me and my team at anneliese.dodds.casework@parliament.uk

21.10.2025 08:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tbilisi metro. #GeorgiaProtests

πŸ“· Mariam Darbaidze

18.10.2025 20:18 β€” πŸ‘ 117    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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Bertrand Russell to Oswald Mosley. Perfection.

16.10.2025 15:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1433    πŸ” 515    πŸ’¬ 44    πŸ“Œ 74

Agree. While the parties themselves (and their activists) are obviously different in various ways, at the level of voters the main difference between Lab and LD, particularly post 2024, is electoral geography - there's a sizeable LD/Lab vote which votes LD in Con-LD seats and Lab in Con-Lab seats

17.10.2025 09:19 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 0
Rob Ford on Caerphilly By-Election and Labour's Decline (Part 1) | Horse Race Politics #14
YouTube video by Horse Race Politics Rob Ford on Caerphilly By-Election and Labour's Decline (Part 1) | Horse Race Politics #14

🚨Who will win the #Caerphilly by-election next week? @robfordmancs.bsky.social joined us on the Horse Race Politics podcast to talk the upcoming contest on this week's episode and the state of national British politics on the next one. We hope you enjoy!

YouTube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_JK...

17.10.2025 07:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
The Farage Con Explained: Send This To A Flagsh*gger. They’ll Hate It
YouTube video by Supertanskiii The Farage Con Explained: Send This To A Flagsh*gger. They’ll Hate It

Show this to a flagshagger. They’ll hate it.

Reform isn’t a party. It’s a pyramid scheme. Farage and his billionaire donors aren’t patriots. They’re con men up to their BALLS in foreign money.

This explains how they do it.

Stop believing the bullshit.

youtu.be/e4CrfRpjvCY?...

12.10.2025 14:23 β€” πŸ‘ 347    πŸ” 143    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 5

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