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John Voorheis

@johnvoorheis.bsky.social

Principal Economist, US Census Bureau I study people, places, businesses and the environment Opinions are not my employer's, my coauthors nor mine (in expectation)

6,464 Followers  |  917 Following  |  285 Posts  |  Joined: 08.09.2023  |  2.2257

Latest posts by johnvoorheis.bsky.social on Bluesky

Facts care about *some people's* feelings

06.10.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Gotta do prehistory imo

06.10.2025 01:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Introvert married to an extrovert

06.10.2025 00:11 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Guess I better get a lions flag to fit in in the neighborhood

05.10.2025 23:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The between sets music playlist is all shit like Take Me Out, and it is killing with the crowd, many of whom were infants or nonexistent when said song came out

03.10.2025 00:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

We ain't got no place to go, etc

03.10.2025 00:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Extremely high marginal income and wealth tax rates are not just a valuable public health intervention for a vulnerable community (rich people gone crazy with wealth) but also have important spillover effects for another population (young men who will otherwise bankrupt their families on gambling)

02.10.2025 21:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

At a top 1% share of say 10% (of a gini of say .25), a young man at median income had dignity. Double that, and the only way to have a "good life" feels like just being lucky

02.10.2025 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Not an original thought, but the twin scourges of sports betting and crypto/options trading (honestly the same thing at root) are downstream of a policy/social choice to allow inequality to increase dramatically and stay high.

02.10.2025 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think it is harder to know ex ante which specific tasks are "no brainers" and which are going to eat up efficiency gains in not having to write code from scratch with extensive review/debug/reprompt cycles than would be needed to actually make this true

02.10.2025 14:37 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Given the preponderance of evidence re: PM2.5 related mortality, taking literally any steps to continue burning coal when another, lower particulate matter producing option is available actually is something like murder.

29.09.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Also I haven't had coffee yet don't listen to me

27.09.2025 12:07 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I'm just saying the distribution of productivity gains in final income determines whether this is a nightmare dystopia or not, and the fact that "and we'll have to pay our workers more if they're so much more productive" never seems to show up in these is telling

27.09.2025 12:05 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"we anticipate a productivity boom and we intend on capturing all of it"

27.09.2025 11:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

The right way to read these is as a statement of intent, that AI is a magic money printing macguffin that lets CEOs increase revenue and limit payroll (aka good old fashioned Marxist exploitation)

27.09.2025 11:58 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

About the only upside to having a shitty commute foisted on me is that I can really lean into middle aged dudeness, audiobooks about the ancient world-wide

25.09.2025 13:48 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Some of that depends on whether you think of nomadic pastoralism as a sort of primitiva communism though, right?

25.09.2025 13:39 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

5) mistaking lifecycle effects for cross-cohort effects is something that a lot of people do, but that doesn't mean you should jump off the bridge too, or whatever the aphorism is

21.09.2025 15:11 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

3) So over-indexing on household-level measures (like SCF or HVS based stats) continues to be misleading and 4) At least for homeownership (in the CPS-ASEC), improvements stopped in 2022, and 35-45 year olds have slightly lower homeownership rates in 2024 vs. 2022

21.09.2025 15:11 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There's a kernel of truth here that's relevant -- through about 2023, the fortunes of the 35-45 year old cohort did improve relative to the mid-2010s -- but it remains the case that for this group, 1) homeownership is *way* lower than it was 40 years ago and 2) householder status is less common

21.09.2025 15:11 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Your wife/girlfriend/husband/boyfriend/partner/random person you know probably wants a pumpkin donut and a dirty chai latte and if you get them one they will like you more

20.09.2025 12:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A big problem with basically everything is that the median person is a confident dumbass

19.09.2025 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Vance is tiebreaker though, so would be same result either way

17.09.2025 18:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Verbal debate, like upper body strength for men, is largely a vestige of previous eras, so it's a sort of historical playacting. Some guys like to reenact civil war battles, some guys like to debate like a pre-literate Sumerian, everyone needs a hobby

17.09.2025 13:58 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I feel like this is not adjusting for population properly, so it would be better to choose only the best single item/dish from each. My controversial list

A = French fries
B = cacio e pepe (going to say rome is B)
C = pizza
D =falafel
E = shiro on injera
F = maafe
G = burritos

17.09.2025 00:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This implies a grandma pie vs Detroit within-square factional struggle which I quite like

16.09.2025 23:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

On a per capita basis it's less impressive though, thats like half the worlds population, it would be weird if it wasn't the top

16.09.2025 23:51 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is more fun if it's "plants and animals domesticated in each region" instead of cuisines, but this still gets you to D

16.09.2025 23:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Is Sicily D or E?

16.09.2025 23:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Sensible countries rarely make history or whatever the aphorism is

16.09.2025 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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