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Paul Pharoah

@paulpharoah.bsky.social

Jack of some trades, master of none: public health, epi and genetics mainly. Arsenal supporter, hiker. Live in LA. If home is also where the heart is England, South Africa, Papua New Guinea. Photos are my own. Views expressed are my own.

658 Followers  |  544 Following  |  1,445 Posts  |  Joined: 20.11.2023  |  2.3214

Latest posts by paulpharoah.bsky.social on Bluesky

Do people eat mints any more?

21.11.2025 15:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Almost certainly 😜

20.11.2025 15:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There goes my bonus.

20.11.2025 15:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Aren't you supposed to go into the office and not hang out in the local restaurants?

20.11.2025 15:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

I like the sound of the pint.

20.11.2025 15:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I generally enjoy reading The Onion, but joking about suicide is utterly tasteless.

19.11.2025 21:28 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I am pleased to be able to tell you that I have never heard the term - until now. You have ruined my day.

19.11.2025 19:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I've just realised that this is my first first-author manuscript for 9 years.

19.11.2025 19:07 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

One of endless moments...

19.11.2025 00:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Labour have managed to achieve in 18 months something that took the Tories a decade of lies and corruption. Spectacular incompetence.

18.11.2025 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Swear away. It's so awful.

18.11.2025 02:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Saying 'canc instead of 'tin' is done by someone who thinks using an Americanism makes them sound more erudite.

17.11.2025 15:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The banality of evil: how Epstein’s powerful friends normalised him Long after his conviction for sexual abuse, people in royalty, academia, business, journalism and politics sought his ear

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
The Epstein files show us a "world where immense wealth, privileged access and proximity to power can insulate individuals from accountability and consequences".

In short they tell us nothing that we did not already know.

17.11.2025 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There are still a lot of people in science using Twitter.

16.11.2025 22:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you. I will try again.

16.11.2025 22:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

So proud of our flagship Kent Council, who cut wasteful spending by painting yellow lines outside a school that has been closed for nine years.

16.11.2025 13:49 β€” πŸ‘ 659    πŸ” 164    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 9

Key point is that they are all much of a muchness and, given all the vagaries of study design and the vagueness of any inference you might draw from the estimates, it doesn't matter which one you use. CI estimation arguments is the 'how many angels fit on a pinhead' argument of statisticians.

16.11.2025 13:51 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Amazon.com. Spend less. Smile more. Free shipping on millions of items. Get the best of Shopping and Entertainment with Prime. Enjoy low prices and great deals on the largest selection of everyday essentials and other products, including fashion, home, beauty, electronics, Alexa Devices, sporting goods, toys, automotive, pets, baby, books, video games, musical instruments, office supplies, and more.

Baby's Breath seems to be unavailable on amazon.com

16.11.2025 13:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Good summary of the issue. It highlights the important point that excess mortality requires assumptions about the counterfactual and those assumptions need to be sensible. But, MAGA manipulators are not interested in anything sensible.

16.11.2025 13:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Predict Breast Breast cancer survival prediction tool

2/2 The web implementation of PREDICT breast continues to be highly used.

breast.v3.predict.cam

Our next task is to raise some funds to enable us to do the required web programming for the updated version. Donations gratefully recieved.

#breastcancer

15.11.2025 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
PREDICT breast v4.0: an update to the PREDICT breast prognostic model

1/2 Our update of the PREDICT breast prognostic and treatment benefit model is now published by BMC Research Notes.

rdcu.be/ePXTJ

15.11.2025 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

It's tipping down in West Hollywood. Feels about right for watching and enjoying the rugby (England v All Blacks).

15.11.2025 17:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Of all the depressing things going on in the world, the disastrous efforts of Labour to govern sensibility are right up there.

15.11.2025 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And no grasp of the most important science for this sort of thing, epidemiology.

15.11.2025 14:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Are you sure about that?

14.11.2025 14:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

When God said chins
I thought she said gins
So I asked for a double.

14.11.2025 13:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I get stuck after Remrats.

14.11.2025 11:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
[Scene is a kitchen - a middle aged woman called JANET is boiling peas at the stove. A younger more colourfully dressed woman named LIZ approached her.]

JANET:
Ugh...

LIZ:
What's up?

JANET:
I am so bored of cooking peas!

LIZ:
Have you tried...

AI peas?

JANET:
AI peas?

LIZ:
They're peas with AI!

[Liz holds up to us a packet of peas labelled: Pea-i AI - Peas with AI].

LIZ:
Al-powered peas harness the potential of your peas

JANET:
What

LIZ [Now a voiceover as we cut to a whizzy technology diagram of peas all connected by meaningless dotted lines]

Why not take your peas to the next level with Al Peas' new Al tools to power your peas?

[Show a techno diagram of a pea with a label reading 'AI' pointing to a random zone in it]

LIZ:

Each pea has Al in a way we haven't quite worked out yet but it's fine

[Show Janet and Liz now in a Matrix-style world of peas]

LIZ:
With Al peas you can supercharge productivity and make AI work for your peas!

JANET:
What

LIZ:
Shut up

LIZ:
Our game-changing Pea-Al gives you the freedom to unlock the potential of the power of the future of your peas workflow

From opening the bag of peas

to boiling the peas

to eating the peas

To spending millions on adding Al to the peas and then having to work out what that even means.

JANET:
Is it really necessary to-

LIZ [Grabbing Janet by the collar]:
THE PEAS HAVE GOT AI, JANET

[Cut to an advert ending screen, with the bag of peas and the slogan:

AI PEAS: Just 'Peas' for god's sake buy the AI peas.

[Ends]

[Scene is a kitchen - a middle aged woman called JANET is boiling peas at the stove. A younger more colourfully dressed woman named LIZ approached her.] JANET: Ugh... LIZ: What's up? JANET: I am so bored of cooking peas! LIZ: Have you tried... AI peas? JANET: AI peas? LIZ: They're peas with AI! [Liz holds up to us a packet of peas labelled: Pea-i AI - Peas with AI]. LIZ: Al-powered peas harness the potential of your peas JANET: What LIZ [Now a voiceover as we cut to a whizzy technology diagram of peas all connected by meaningless dotted lines] Why not take your peas to the next level with Al Peas' new Al tools to power your peas? [Show a techno diagram of a pea with a label reading 'AI' pointing to a random zone in it] LIZ: Each pea has Al in a way we haven't quite worked out yet but it's fine [Show Janet and Liz now in a Matrix-style world of peas] LIZ: With Al peas you can supercharge productivity and make AI work for your peas! JANET: What LIZ: Shut up LIZ: Our game-changing Pea-Al gives you the freedom to unlock the potential of the power of the future of your peas workflow From opening the bag of peas to boiling the peas to eating the peas To spending millions on adding Al to the peas and then having to work out what that even means. JANET: Is it really necessary to- LIZ [Grabbing Janet by the collar]: THE PEAS HAVE GOT AI, JANET [Cut to an advert ending screen, with the bag of peas and the slogan: AI PEAS: Just 'Peas' for god's sake buy the AI peas. [Ends]

Every ad now

13.11.2025 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 5066    πŸ” 2252    πŸ’¬ 64    πŸ“Œ 86
Preview
β€œCake causes herpes?” - promiscuous dichotomisation induces false positives - BMC Medical Research Methodology Background Continuous biomedical data is often dichotomized into two or more groups for analysis, despite long-standing warnings from statisticians that this constitutes bad practice. This dichotomisa...

Nice one, from @drg.bsky.social and @jamesheathers.bsky.social

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

13.11.2025 19:46 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 4

Sometimes you give the impression of being on another planet πŸŽ‚πŸŽˆ

13.11.2025 15:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

@paulpharoah is following 20 prominent accounts