Robbert🇳🇱🇺🇦

Not including storage & newly manufactured.

T-80BV & BMP-1 losses are above 100% because Russia has reactivated a significant number from storage.

Some tanks (e.g. T-62) are excluded since these were not in active service according to MB2022.

Damaged losses may be repairable.

*Unknown T-72 and unknown tanks are adjusted since not every lost unknown T-72 or unknown tank was a tank variant in active service (could have been a T-62, T-64, T-72A/AV, or T-90S). Only tanks that were in active service before the invasion (excluding T-62, T-64, T-90S etc.). Only visually confiirmed losses. Reactivation from storage and production affects the % (this is why the T-80BV & T-90M are above 100%).

An estimate of visually confirmed losses of Russian tanks, AFVs, self-propelled artillery, and MLRS in active service (not storage).

Data from Oryx/Jakub & The Military Balance 2022, retrieved on April 17th.

Not including storage & newly manufactured.

Some tanks (e.g. T-62) are excluded since these were not in active service according to MB2022.

Damaged losses may be repairable.

T-80BV & BMP-1 losses are above 100% because Russia has reactivated an unknown number from storage.

An estimate of visually confirmed losses of Russian tanks, AFVs, self-propelled artillery, and MLRS in active service (not storage).

Data from Oryx/Jakub & The Military Balance 2022, retrieved on March 31st.

I will sleep well tonight

Going Down Swinging The Point of Putting Up a Fight

Here. I wrote about the point of deciding to just fight and die on a hill rather than endlessly calculating the best moment to put up an opposition.

othermeans.io/p/going-down...

Based

Not including storage & newly manufactured.

Some tanks (e.g. T-62) are excluded since these were not in active service according to MB2022.

Damaged losses may be repairable.

T-80BV & BMP-1 losses are above 100% because Russia has reactivated an unknown number from storage.

An estimate of visually confirmed losses of Russian tanks, AFVs, self-propelled artillery, and MLRS in active service (not storage).

Data from Oryx/Jakub & The Military Balance 2022, retrieved on February 19th.

I agree that, if we wanted, we have the capacity to take charge but I question the political willpower to do so. And we are too divided as well.

I hope so too but I think you are overestimating us.

Not including storage & newly manufactured.

Some tanks (e.g. T-62) are excluded since these were not in active service according to MB2022.

Damaged losses may be repairable.

T-80BV & BMP-1 losses are above 100% because Russia has reactivated an unknown number from storage.

An estimate of visually confirmed losses of Russian tanks, AFVs, Self-Propelled Artillery, and MLRS in active service.

Data from Oryx/Jakub & The Military Balance 2022, retrieved on January 11th.

Haha it does. Although in both epochs an American president (wants to) invade Panama. Some things never change.

I am probably biased due to my own age, but I feel like 90s events shouldn't be in the same song as late 10s/early 20s events

Billy Joel should rewrite his song "We Didn't Start The Fire" but only include events that happened this year/2020s. Enough to write and sing about.

Russian oligarchs versus South African oligarch: who wins the battle for U.S. government?

Not including storage & newly manufactured.

Some tanks (e.g. T-62 and T-90S) are excluded since, according to MB2022, they were not in active service.

Damaged losses may be repairable.

T-80BV loss is above 100% because Russia has reactivated an unknown number from storage.

An estimate of visually confirmed losses of Russian tanks in active service.

Data from Oryx/Jakub & The Military Balance 2022, retrieved on December 18th.

a man in a suit and tie is standing next to another man in a yellow shirt in an office . ALT: a man in a suit and tie is standing next to another man in a yellow shirt in an office .

This timeline is shit

Dead Carl Lives! - Why Clausewitz Endures Reading and understanding Clausewitz is worth your time

My most recent post is on why Carl’s still not dead, and the continued failure of many people to understand this simple concept shows why it’s important we know that.

open.substack.com/pub/deadcarl...

Ah thanks, learning every day. Sucks either way though.

Or some chapters at least

Damn, that is a good qoute. That Prussian should have written a book!

Any national security/geopolitics/war studies books recommendations?

Hopefully Santa will finally give me a B-2 bomber for Christmas

Part III of the AirPower and Strategic Bombing series is now live! This is my favorite installment to research and write, and I’m excited to share it with you. (Reposts very much appreciated!)